Morris Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Park low of 36 in the morning. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Park low of 36 in the morning. Pathetic. 35 at 8 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 35 at 8 am So NYC on track for no below normal days this month. February was the complete opposite with only 1 above normal and 1 normal day. Only 4 days of -10 or lower since May 1st must be the new record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 27 here. Had some flurries yesterday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 39 in the park at midnight. Was there ever a December when KNYC failed to record a freeze? Well, we ARE the warmest December on record. No. The fewest days is 6 (set in 1984 and tied in 2006). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 No. The fewest days is 6 (set in 1984 and tied in 2006). We're smashing about every December record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 NYC has a shot at joining the exclusive 12/15-2/15....70 degree club on the 24th. 71....12/22/2013 70....12/29/1984 72....1/6/2007 70....1/14/1932 72....1/26/1950 70....2/5/1991 73....2/15/1949 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 We're smashing about every December record. Except for the record December high. Don't think we'll quite hit 75. Close though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 The GFSx for the next 8 days (including today) is back to +16degs. Isn't this where we came in? Using the GFSx for the next 8 days, and Accuweather for the last 4 days: (11.7x19) + (8x16) + (4x10) = 390 or 390/31 = +12.6degs. for the month. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 The GFSx for the next 8 days (including today) is back to +16degs. Isn't this where we came in? Using the GFSx for the next 8 days, and Accuweather for the last 4 days: (11.7x19) + (8x16) + (4x10) = 390 or 390/31 = +12.6degs. for the month. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Now showing 71 for Thursday.+30 in the summer would be a mass-casualty event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Look here. Anyone who believes our 30 year normals are still in effect and accurate must also believe that this months final result means that one could take a thermometer and stand in CPK for the next 1,000 to 10,000 years before he could reasonably expect to get another December like this recorded. We must be 6-7 Sigmas above the norm. Why this month alone will add about .40 degs. to the 30 year avg. Gotta change to a 20 year norm (or even shorter) updated every other year to keep up with the changes and have an equal chance of being above or below that new normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 this is something that worries me going forward. .but my gut says by 1/25 if we get real cold and right storm track we could overcome this I think the cold comes before this. The ensembles from the GFS and Euro have it coming way before this. The warm sst can really help us out if we get cold air into the area with a favorable track. Talk about bombogenisis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Now showing 71 for Thursday. +30 in the summer would be a mass-casualty event. It would be like 120/85 mid July. Thank goodness that's pretty much impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 There seems to be some support growing for more of a normal to slightly above temp pattern starting at the end of the month. We might still be above normal, but the huge torch days might be coming to a end... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 There seems to be some support growing for more of a normal to slightly above temp pattern starting at the end of the month. We might still be above normal, but the huge torch days might be coming to a end... Agree-most modeling shows us above after the 24th, but not this +20 type stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Well the 12z gfs looks very entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 There seems to be some support growing for more of a normal to slightly above temp pattern starting at the end of the month. We might still be above normal, but the huge torch days might be coming to a end... Nice bowling ball on 12z at 200. That would be interesting but a direct west to east bomb seems crazy...would be nice to be on north side of that....and I agree with your point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Well the 12z gfs looks very entertaining. Yeah at 300 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yeah at 300 hours It starts at 192 and its been there for 2 days now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 We've shaved a whole 1.5 degrees off the monthly depature after this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 We've shaved a whole 1.5 degrees off the monthly depature after this weekendWe'll gain most of that back by the end of this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA I am not going to bother with my usual computations till tomorrow. Just noting that X-Mas Eve is now at 76degs.! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 All long-period stations east of longitude line thru New Orleans likely to set record high minimum records Xmas Eve https://t.co/eqsbpSA7v1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA I am not going to bother with my usual computations till tomorrow. Just noting that X-Mas Eve is now at 76degs.! Holy cow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 The 22nd through the 28th should boost the monthly departure as the GEFS has the 7 day departure at +16. NYC needs to finish with a +12.5 for the first 50 degree December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA I am not going to bother with my usual computations till tomorrow. Just noting that X-Mas Eve is now at 76degs.! That's an almost unreal forecast. Seen this afternoon: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yet another record about to fall Sent from my VS986 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Yet another record about to fall FB_IMG_1450642215025.jpg Sent from my VS986 Unless I'm super high, that doesn't look right. There's 26 days between the start of the top 2 streaks, March 3rd and March 29th respectively. Both streaks ended on December 21st, yet the final total is 6 days apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Unless I'm super high, that doesn't look right. There's 26 days between the start of the top 2 streaks, March 3rd and March 29th respectively. Both streaks ended on December 21st, yet the final total is 6 days apart. Didn't even notice that. March 3rd looks wrong. Think it should be 23rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Unless I'm super high, that doesn't look right. There's 26 days between the start of the top 2 streaks, March 3rd and March 29th respectively. Both streaks ended on December 21st, yet the final total is 6 days apart.So you're saying you're kinda high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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