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Nor'easter/ ULL Nov 10-11 Discussion/ Obs


CT Valley Snowman

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The EURO is very wet for the man in Tolland who said 0.1-0.25".

 

12z ECM gives him over an inch of QPF.

 

It will be interesting to see what happens. I was suspicious of the east QPF blob well offshore and thought mid level frontogenesis would aid in a more widespread rain. Not like I expected 2-3", but more than the earlier GFS runs of less than .25"  I hope it works out because I am on the anti rip and read QPF train. The problem this early in the season, is that there isn't a ton of baroclinicity yet, so that theory may not work out. I think there is enough juice though to help.

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Well, we recorded a whopping 0.10" with that first round...currently 49.9F

 

Isn't this bonus rain? Bob Maxon said it would be dry much of the day besides some sprinkles - steadier/heavier rain comes in later this evening and now lingers into tomorrow morning. 

 

Walking into work this morning almost had that 'snow feel' - high overcast, brisk chill. We're getting closer.

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Interesting storm. Lots of sheet rain and wind at home. My version of mesoscale fun..lots of land/sea convergence on the coastline evident on radar. Hit the coastal front near rt 128 with subsidence behind it.  That stuff in ern NY and NH I pictured a bit further south, but surprise...it's north of where you usually think...lol. Will rotate through though.

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Interesting storm. Lots of sheet rain and wind at home. My version of mesoscale fun..lots of land/sea convergence on the coastline evident on radar. Hit the coastal front near rt 128 with subsidence behind it. That stuff in ern NY and NH I pictured a bit further south, but surprise...it's north of where you usually think...lol. Will rotate through though.

Looked at radar. Looks like last Feb. South shore special with enhancement over Weymouth.
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