MillvilleWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Bundle up. 850spag.png Wow. I'm going to be visiting my buddy on Mount Washington this weekend. He interns as an observer for the summit. Looks like it'll be cold throughout NE. I'll be sure to take some pictures around the area and post them in the foliage thread. Seriously wish I lived up there and not here in the Mid Atlantic haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Wow. I'm going to be visiting my buddy on Mount Washington this weekend. He interns as an observer for the summit. Looks like it'll be cold throughout NE. I'll be sure to take some pictures around the area and post them in the foliage thread. Seriously wish I lived up there and not here in the Mid Atlantic haha Come on up! I'm sure you can find a job that doesn't require any of your meteorological skills and training and pays $10 or $11 per hour! Seriously though, NNE is a great place to live but not necessarily the easiest place to make a living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Decent s/w moves through Saturday night. Along with fropa, probably some first flakes for many if those thicknesses come true...and IF the model is correct. GFS has more of an area of low pressure in Maine with dry air in SNE..upslope for NNE. Potential record cold 850 temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Wow. I'm going to be visiting my buddy on Mount Washington this weekend. He interns as an observer for the summit. Looks like it'll be cold throughout NE. I'll be sure to take some pictures around the area and post them in the foliage thread. Seriously wish I lived up there and not here in the Mid Atlantic haha MEX is 13/6 there Sunday with decently strong winds. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Say +15 departure on the normal high. And, IMO, somewhat season-dependent; +15 works best in the shoulder seasons, but in midsummer would be record-breaking, and in a foothills January would be about 40. Maybe +10 summer, +15 spring/fall, +20 winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 I don't see anything untoward about that write-up. He didn't "make" anything up about what's going on with the model depictions during that time frame. What stands out as "bonkers" ? I think I figured you out finally... you read his write-up like this: xxx xxxxxxx xxxx x xxxxxxx xxxxx xxx xx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxx xx xx xxxxxxxx SNOW xx xxxx ... and then went, HEEE HAA HEE HAAA HEE HAAA bonkers. Meanwhile, everyone read it as it was, merely talking about sub-zero 850s and possible instability due to diurnal heating causing frozen in the elevations of the Berks and nothing more... I agree, I didn't think it was out of control/bonkers at all. Just said exactly what may possibly occur. Nothing seemed stretched or inflated at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 I agree, I didn't think it was out of control/bonkers at all. Just said exactly what may possibly occur. Nothing seemed stretched or inflated at all. Damaging winds for 2 days? Seems a bit out of hand for wind gusts to 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Said due to the leaves still on the trees; and that those winds Could mix down; and they "COULD" lead to some damage?? From my interpretation Kevin, it didn't seem bonkers. I did not interpret any of that as damaging winds, in fact, I know better and took it as a breezy day, with some stronger gusts, and quite cold for the time of year. As usual, you read into it and took what you wanted out of it, and think that he was saying a widespread damaging wind event, which was not at all what he meant from that discussion!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Said due to the leaves still on the trees; and that those winds Could mix down; and they "COULD" lead to some damage?? From my interpretation Kevin, it didn't seem bonkers. I did not interpret any of that as damaging winds, in fact, I know better and took it as a breezy day, with some stronger gusts, and quite cold for the time of year. As usual, you read into it and took what you wanted out of it, and think that he was saying a widespread damaging wind event, which was not at all what he meant from that discussion!! Yes that is exactly what he meant. Go back and read his WHOLE discussion from their website Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Ok :-). I didn't interpret that at all like you did. In fact, I completely dismissed his wind ideas as nothing of concern. Maybe I'm wrong then??? I didn't think it was over the top, and I didn't think it was bonkers. You did, and maybe you're right. I just didn't think what he was saying/describing/discussing was a stretch from what the modeling showed. We're all entitled to our own opinions after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Ok :-). I didn't interpret that at all like you did. In fact, I completely dismissed his wind ideas as nothing of concern. Maybe I'm wrong then??? I didn't think it was over the top, and I didn't think it was bonkers. You did, and maybe you're right. I just didn't think what he was saying/describing/discussing was a stretch from what the modeling showed. We're all entitled to our own opinions after all. Fair enough. Hopefully he's some semblance of correct and there's a fair amount of tree damage for folks. At least it's getting a bit more exciting in the wx dept. Something we've had 0 of since early March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 I agree it has been boring as hell in the weather dept that's for sure...and for a long while. I sure hope we get some exciting weather this upcoming cold season!! I'm certainly not thinking any damaging winds this weekend for most places...perhaps an isolated branch or dead tree being snapped by a rogue gust, but that would be the extent imo. But time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 MOS has 33 for Boston Monday morning. That's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 MOS has 33 for Boston Monday morning. That's impressive. Yes, this modeled cold air does look quite impressive for this time of year..I think that's the bigger story than any type of wind problems imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 13, 2015 Author Share Posted October 13, 2015 GFS. Indian summer in extended, in the transition season ... code for 'long shot' at best. But we'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 lol...nice inv trough on the euro Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 lol...nice inv trough on the euro Sunday morning. Yeah that would certainly offer flakes for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 It'll be interesting to see if BOS gets a freeze...that would be impressive. ORH should be a lock though. Here are the past 20 years of first freeze dates at ORH: 1995: 10/29 1996: 10/4 1997: 10/22 1998: 11/3 1999: 10/4 2000: 10/10 2001: 10/8 2002: 10/22 2003: 10/19 2004: 11/4 2005: 10/29 2006: 10/22 2007: 10/29 2008: 10/23 2009: 10/15 2010: 10/23 2011: 10/28 2012: 10/12 2013: 10/26 2014: 10/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Yeah that would certainly offer flakes for many. Followed up with -8C 850s ORH-BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Followed up with -8C 850s ORH-BOS. Monday has the look of shallow cold below 850 and temps not mixing much. Looks like a chilly day as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Snow for even the coastline maybe on Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Snow for even the coastline maybe on Sunday? with NW winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Snow for even the coastline maybe on Sunday?Would be tough on the Cape with those SSTs.Not to mention, if the euro is correct on that feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Would be tough on the Cape with those SSTs. Not to mention, if the euro is correct on that feature. It can correctly forecast a hurricane track within 1,000 miles, you don't think it can nail down a mundane little inverted trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 lol...nice inv trough on the euro Sunday morning. 1-3 ..maybe an iso 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 It's kind of a torch anyway at the surface in that inv trough setup. Temps in the 40s. Didn't see 900-925mb temps, but the way it looks, it doesn't seem cold enough for snow. Maybe some mangled flakes higher terrain if that setup panned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 It's kind of a torch anyway at the surface in that inv trough setup. Temps in the 40s. Didn't see 900-925mb temps, but the way it looks, it doesn't seem cold enough for snow. Maybe some mangled flakes higher terrain if that setup panned out. 925 dropped to 0C around 12z Sunday for BOS. But, precip may begin to shut off as winds go NW. Probably would be some flakes if it came down hard enough with such cold aloft inland..but of course the euro may be overzealous with these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 MEX is 13/6 there Sunday with decently strong winds. Enjoy. That's perfect. I'll take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 What are some thoughts regarding the rest of this month? I've heard mixed met opinions - trying to distill a solid forecast between models, climatic factors, hunches, etc. Also is there any credence to the long-range model warm bias? When one is new to this, every conclusion one draws seems contrived. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.