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October, at the moment peering forward, a wild stormy affair?


Typhoon Tip

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We snow..Flakes for all next weekend

 

(2) IN THE NORTHEAST---THE REDUCTION IN A ZONAL COMPONENT TO THE

PACIFIC FLOW FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS NORTH AMERICA---NOW CREATES
MORE OPPORTUNITY FOR SHORTWAVE ENERGY ALONG THE MANITOBA/MINNESOTA
BORDER TO MIGRATE INTO THE BASE OF A MORE-AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH STRETCHED ALONG 80W FROM WESTERN QUEBEC SOUTHWARD TO THE
CAROLINAS. WITH THE SOURCE REGION FOR COLD AIR ORIGINATING IN THE
YUKON---THE MORE SHORTWAVES PRESENT---BETTER THE CHANCES FOR THE
COLD AIR TO DEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW
ENGLAND BY DAY 6-7...TO START CONSIDERING THE IDEA OF LIGHT
PRECIPITATION HAVING---MORE OF A 'WINTER' FEEL FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

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Probably overdone as ensembles aren't that deep, but definitely some upslope.

 

Well you know the clown maps, just makes it all snow. It looks like a marginal profile so I'm betting that op run would even struggle to be perfect ratios. Then you look at the ensembles, 20 of the 51 have snow, and only 4 of the 51 have more than 2 inches. Yet, the op runs a 10 incher out there. Straight out of a basement in Tolland.

 

Which brings up another point, when do we start the "time for this to trend south" comments after months of "precip always trends north and hits NNE"?

 

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Well you know the clown maps, just makes it all snow. It looks like a marginal profile so I'm betting that op run would even struggle to be perfect ratios. Then you look at the ensembles, 20 of the 51 have snow, and only 4 of the 51 have more than 2 inches. Yet, the op runs a 10 incher out there. Straight out of a basement in Tolland.

Which brings up another point, when do we start the "time for this to trend south" comments after months of "precip always trends north and hits NNE"?

Like I said. East of 91, south of the pike. Those are the key phrases.

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