pazzo83 Posted April 18, 2015 Share Posted April 18, 2015 Basically perfect today. Hopefully summer is full of days like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 18, 2015 Share Posted April 18, 2015 So the high was 80 at KNYC ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 18, 2015 Share Posted April 18, 2015 18z GFS has high temps in the low 50s next Saturday and 40s next Sunday. Talk about an abrupt change from today. Basically summer to late fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 So the high was 80 at KNYC ? Yeah and 82 in EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 So much for no 70s or not hitting 80 this month. Basically unless the winds are easterly you should always add a few degrees on top of guidance temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 So much for no 70s or not hitting 80 this month. Basically unless the winds are easterly you should always add a few degrees on top of guidance temps. We can do allot with this sun angle even on a NW wind. Unless it's an insanely cold air mass the sun angle an down sloping is gonna produce low 70s on completely sunny skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 What a stunning day. The kind of day that makes it feel great to be doing the yard work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 We can do allot with this sun angle even on a NW wind. Unless it's an insanely cold air mass the sun angle an down sloping is gonna produce low 70s on completely sunny skies. Wow, good job with the highs today. Parents said it was gorgeous in Long Beach and people were flocking to the boardwalk/beach. Here, golf ball (or bigger) sized hail is about 5 miles away and barreling in my direction. Should be a fun next half hour. Radar indicates 60-70mph wind gusts too. Very loud thunder and some big lightning flashes in the western sky. Wow, wind really picking up now ahead of this, trees shaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Wow, holy.... HAIL!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Winds have picked up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Back door cold front showing up as clear as day on KOKX radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Departures are well above normal this month (+2.5-4) and there's absolutely no way we'll even drop down to normal. We won't go below normal until Thursday most likely which will be the 23rd of April. We would need a string of -10 or lower departures for nearly that entire last week for us to get normal/below normal for April. I'm looking at my forecast and they've been ticking highs upward each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 we could see convection with small hail wednesday from the ULL and a secondary cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Agree...this month will finish above normal...watch how those highs moderate as we get closer to the end of the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Departures are well above normal this month (+2.5-4) and there's absolutely no way we'll even drop down to normal. We won't go below normal until Wednesday most likely which will be the 23rd of April. We would need a string of -10 or lower departures for nearly that entire last week for us to get normal/below normal for April. I'm looking at my forecast and they've been ticking highs upward each day. Where are departures +4? LGA's at +2.2, JFK +2.2, EWR and NYC are at +2.8 The provisional final departure for NYC based on current model output verbatim is +0.5. So assuming the magnitude of this cool period occurs as progged, most major stations will be finishing April fairly close to normal. Both the ECMWF and GFS ensembles are indicating at least several days of potential -10 daily departures in the April 23rd-April 30th period. The pattern should break to a more prolonged warmer one in my view by early May, but the last week of April looks anomalously chilly, more like late March. We'll see what happens, but I'll take the under on +1 at Central Park for this month, with the possibility they finish 0 to +0.5, and a lower chance of slightly below 0 if we get a rain maker to keep highs in the 40s for a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 23 degrees colder today it still feels pretty good out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 winter outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 winter outside Haha, for where, Charlotte? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 19, 2015 Share Posted April 19, 2015 Haha, for where, Charlotte? Chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Chilly It's 50 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 It's 50 degrees. Deep, deep winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Warmer April readings have won out through the early part of this week as we saw the first meaningful relaxation in the -EPO/+PNA pattern since December. But the change to cooler temps later this week into next will be a result of the first significant NAO block since the fall retrograding west across Greenland to Canada. It's interesting that the -EPO also relaxed last April for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 winter outsideWhere? Point Barrow, Alaska? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2015 Author Share Posted April 20, 2015 Beautiful -NAO looks to rule for the upcoming week. Now if we can get that ULL to close off a little further South we could be in for one of the wettest, unseasonably cool end of April in several years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Will likely have several nights w/ opportunities for freezes outside of NYC in the 23rd-30th period. Looks like a chilly / dry pattern right now due to a suppressive vortex in Quebec. I think the best chance for a rain maker would be near the end of April as the pattern begins to break down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Will likely have several nights w/ opportunities for freezes outside of NYC in the 23rd-30th period. Looks like a chilly / dry pattern right now due to a suppressive vortex in Quebec. I think the best chance for a rain maker would be near the end of April as the pattern begins to break down. very similar to last year after a suppressive March as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Beautiful -NAO looks to rule for the upcoming week. Now if we can get that ULL to close off a little further South we could be in for one of the wettest, unseasonably cool end of April in several years. I feel like I remember the last day of April 2014 also being quite cold, stormy, and nasty. Is my memory off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 I feel like I remember the last day of April 2014 also being quite cold, stormy, and nasty. Is my memory off? Yes it was very stormy with rain all day amounting to 5.33" here with temps in the 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 Yes it was very stormy with rain all day amounting to 5.33" here with temps in the 40's. it was the last big rain event before we entered a dry cool stretch that lasted into October. Summer was dry and cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 20, 2015 Share Posted April 20, 2015 we could see convection with small hail wednesday from the ULL and a secondary cold front the NAM is bullish but we've heard that before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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