Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Good. We're in agreement. Bowling ball, fire house incoming, after society is duped into donning flip flops, imho. Yea kind of what I envisioned 6 weeks ago has happened, way beyond my expectations of course but yes. not so sure it gets that warm but a thaw is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Boston peeps panic on March 3rd they won't break their record only needing 3.7 inches. Oh myTheres a pretty good chance they break it tonight. Guidance has really gotten aggressive on majority of qpf falling as snow. 3 inches for the city is virtually a lock. 4 isn't impossible but def harder to hit tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 How come when you agree with me you always use "actually"? Like its a travesty or terrible thing that you and I are in alliance lol. Because you are often in your own world of forecasting...like denying the trend prior to 12z (when if you looked over the guidance, it was south). But we'll see what 00z has. I'm sure the Euro will come south. GGEM just came south a bit, though not quite as bad as the American guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Scooter, get that vintage 1997 Bruins jacket to the cleaners sometime in the next 3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Scooter, get that vintage 1997 Bruins jacket to the cleaners sometime in the next 3 weeks Ray, just to show what I thought, looks like I was ahead on thaw ideas, to me now its the 21st on Week ending 03/07/15 -1,-2 Cold start then milder finish 3 day thaw Week ending 03/14/15 -4,-7 much much below normal possible KU number 2 in this time frame or possibly the week of the 21st but two weeks of MidMarch snows appear likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Scooter, get that vintage 1997 Bruins jacket to the cleaners sometime in the next 3 weeks Some homeless guy in New Delhi is probably wearing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Ukie is way south too...prob about 1 inch or so for PVD-HFD. Immediate south coast still eeks out advisory snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Ukie is basically a complete miss for anyone north of BDL-BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GGEM looks purty, pretty similar to the double A models, Nam and Jma. Trend on GFS and Ukie is way south, 4 k Nam is south but still a good CT snow. Much to look at tonight, not a good start to the days runs but not the worst .....yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Ukie is basically a complete miss for anyone north of BDL-BOS. reminds me of a storm in the 90s where I stood on the shore in Misquamicut watching BID get pummeled 12 miles away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BOS only needs 3.5 to tie people. 3.6 breaks it. Hoping for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GEFS still the best one for BOS I guess, not that it means much when it's all alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BOS only needs 3.5 to tie people. 3.6 breaks it. Hoping for the best. I'll take the under unfortunately. Unless euro comes in cold and afternoon guidance suggests otherwise. (referring to the entire next few days) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This thing does appear to be slipping away for those N of the pike...but GGEM still looks pretty good for CT. Maybe another 3-6" deal statewide? Only a small shift back north needed to get us into warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This thing does appear to be slipping away for those N of the pike...but GGEM still looks pretty good for CT. Maybe another 3-6" deal statewide? Only a small shift back north needed to get us into warning criteria.As of now that's too high. Will need to see what 18 and 00z do. I have a suspicion they weaken the confluence and bump back north.. But we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 With the data somewhat better sampled for these 12z runs, and everything heading south, that is a big signal that this is indeed heading in the wrong direction for decent snows, and there really isn't any reason to believe this is going to correct back north. Ofcourse as Will stated, if the southern impulse suddenly is modeled stronger in the next run or two, that could change the tides, but that does seem like a long shot right now. I'll enjoy tonights snow while it lasts, and prepare for the inevitable melt down of this very impressive, and incredibly long lasting 2.5 foot pack, which at this time of the winter season, makes it even that much more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 who was the dude who posted the you tube video melting down after the Blizzard fringed him? wonder if he is still alive/? This ain't settled yet, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 H20town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsean Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 H20town he's still alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 who was the dude who posted the you tube video melting down after the Blizzard fringed him? wonder if he is still alive/? This ain't settled yet, Seems like the consensus is inexorably moving toward the whiffier end of things, and that's about as settled as it gets at this point, surely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not that there was much suspense with the outcome of this run, but the Euro is indeed solidly south of the 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 As of now that's too high. Will need to see what 18 and 00z do. I have a suspicion they weaken the confluence and bump back north.. But we'll see. Yeah...I feel like the models have struggled this year resolving the 2nd event when we've had 2 events in close proximity. Once the first event is out of the way the models have generally corrected one way or the other. Here's to hoping the correct in the direction which benefits us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not that there was much suspense with the outcome of this run, but the Euro is indeed solidly south of the 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Man, another tick south and I'm stuck on the outsidea looking in. What a winter of ups and downs for tracking in my hood. Holy roller coaster ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Man, another tick south and I'm stuck on the outsidea looking in. What a winter of ups and downs for tracking in my hood. Holy roller coaster ride. another tic north and its warning level, just think back to this winter, 50 mile jumps 48 hrs out are common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 another tic north and its warning level, just think back to this winter, 50 mile jumps 48 hrs out are common. True, I haven't thrown in the towel. Just amazed at the highs and lows this winter has brought inside 72hrs, even 48hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Who has a weenie euro snow map they can post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Who has a weenie euro snow map they can post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 another tic north and its warning level, just think back to this winter, 50 mile jumps 48 hrs out are common. Models have typically trended southeast inside 96 hours in this patten over the past month, so this outcome isn't really surprising. Poor NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Don't forget the sneaky weenie band models will never pick up on farther north of the main big Qpf area that was duscussed earlier. Lots of tricks try to be played on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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