Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Rgem Folks to the north worried. Ride it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 NAM is more like the GFS now...south coast special with probably 2-4 north of HFD-GHG line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looks like another Hartford-Providence-Taunton special on this one. Really tight gradient once you get out of the main bands north of the coastal plain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 wow just saw todays storm gets down to 956mb thats pretty low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Just glanced at the radar, please correct me if I'm wrong, but the beefy echoes look to be heading due west to east. Which on a trajectory like that, look to miss SNE completely. Am I seeing that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Just glanced at the radar, please correct me if I'm wrong, but the beefy echoes look to be heading due west to east. Which on a trajectory like that, look to miss SNE completely. Am I seeing that right? Looks more ENE to me. Echoes will increase to the north of that as the LLJ moves towards SNE and the weak secondary forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looks more ENE to me. Echoes will increase to the north of that as the LLJ moves towards SNE and the weak secondary forms. Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 MPM syndrome of looking at big region radar instead of regional FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 New Bedford is the Stowe of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 No surprises. This has always looked a like 2-4" deal up here, to me. The vast majority of sne will not verify warning.....large scale advisory event for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 MPM syndrome of looking at big region radar instead of regional FTL They both display the same radar echoes. He's right in that the heavier echoes in the mid-Atlantic will miss...but that's because they weren't going to hit anyway. Precip should blossom as the lift increases in response to the llj bringing moisture into the steep frontal slope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 No surprises. This has always looked a like 2-4" deal up here, to me. The vast majority of sne will not verify warning.....large scale advisory event for the region. I'm feeling 2.5" to 3" here. Maybe we sneak the highest amounts Tuesday night? 4-6" front ender? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'm feeling 2.5" to 3" here. Maybe we sneak the highest amounts Tuesday night? 4-6" front ender? Possible. I haven't looked too much at that...but seems to be trending better. i'm going to update my blog later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 MPM syndrome of looking at big region radar instead of regional FTL Hitting the crack pipe again this morning? Looking foe trees and missing the forest, ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Thank you to those who answered my radar question...it is appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Steady light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Light snow has commenced down here in the valley Ansonia, CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 flurries have begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Hitting the crack pipe again this morning? Looking foe trees and missing the forest, ftl.youll never get it.. And that's fine. It's just who you are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Light snow has commenced down here in the valley Ansonia, CT Nothing here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I expect widespread 4-6" totals near and south of the Pike. A narrow band from HVN-GINX-PVD-PYM right around that 6" mark with a few 7" lollies. Model and radar trends don't look too friendly on the northwest fringe, particularly from the mid-Hudson Valley and points NW, but that shouldn't have much of an impact in SNE, outside of perhaps western Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Sharp cutoff. Something to watch.The anti-SWFE. The cutoff line might mirror one of the frequent mixing line boundaries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looks good Quincy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 12z RGEM looks pretty similar to 6z through hr 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I expect widespread 4-6" totals near and south of the Pike. A narrow band from HVN-GINX-PVD-PYM right around that 6" mark with a few 7" lollies. Model and radar trends don't look too friendly on the northwest fringe, particularly from the mid-Hudson Valley and points NW, but that shouldn't have much of an impact in SNE, outside of perhaps western Mass. final.png KGINX approves of this message Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I think Ncep posted that they are having issues with their guidance which explains the bad performance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 I think Ncep posted that they are having issues with their guidance which explains the bad performanceDistribution/Server issues != flaws in model performance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Is someone going to start an obs thread? Nice burst down in the lower Hudson Valley moving into SW SNE. Obscured clouds and lowering visibility with snow at MGJ-POU-DXR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Is someone going to start an obs thread? Nice burst down in the lower Hudson Valley moving into SW SNE. Obscured clouds and lowering visibility with snow at MGJ-POU-DXR.k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 Obs thread open. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45910-31-215-obsnowcasting/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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