ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Probably the last in the winter bucket list unfulfilled. June snow Happened in ORH in 1816 "Year without a summer"...accumulated too. BOS apparently had flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Don't we need a volcano or something for that to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Not June, but close (Memorial day weekend 2013 in Thornton, NH). Pretty sure there wasn't a volcano that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Euro ensembles actually show a -NAO way out in D13-15 when the -EPO rebuilds. That would def be a good chance to get one more decent event.Just in time for spring lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Not June, but close (Memorial day weekend 2013 in Thornton, NH). Pretty sure there wasn't a volcano that year. I recall that. Amazing system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 2 years. I don't know I think the climate on the south shore may be more wintry from my observations of last winter and this winter. Hopefully this was a complete joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Hopefully this was a complete joke LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The best is someone like myself talking interior people off a ledge. It will be raining here, but someone like MPM or Whiteminster will probably complain about the back edge approaching and then I have to show them Albany's radar to make them feel better. Meanwhile, the knife is twisted into my side as I explain they are getting more snow. Sure seems like some inland folk get very sensitive about their snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The best is someone like myself talking interior people off a ledge. It will be raining here, but someone like MPM or Whiteminster will probably complain about the back edge approaching and then I have to show them Albany's radar to make them feel better. Meanwhile, the knife is twisted into my side as I explain they are getting more snow. Sure seems like some inland folk get very sensitive about their snow. Lol. And you are good at doing this. I feel I should pay you a psychotherapeutic fee at least twice this winter. It has been a bit tough up here to continually see great snows to our south, while we get mediocre snows. But overall we will be at last 20% above normal with a long snowpack. A good winter here, epic/historical/biblical about 50 miles SE of me. However late March, as you say, could be interesting....and I suspect if it gets interesting we may yet again hear the fading phrase..."Congrats Dendrite" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 Does the threat on the 16th have any legs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Euro ensembles actually show a -NAO way out in D13-15 when the -EPO rebuilds. That would def be a good chance to get one more decent event. I knew that would have to come sooner rather than later. I said that when it became apparent that this relaxation was imminent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I knew that would have to come sooner rather than later. I said that when it became apparent that this relaxation was imminent. I'm not actually convinced we get the -NAO. But I'm pretty confident of an EPO reload. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 I saw something this morning that said the +EPO that was being modeled next week disappeared last night . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I'm not actually convinced we get the -NAO. But I'm pretty confident of an EPO reload. I'm strongly hedging toward neg NAO. I will fully admit that my hedge is of an anecdotal origin; however seeing some guidance add credence to it is surely comforting. I still have hope for 17"+ more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I saw something this morning that said the +EPO that was being modeled next week disappeared last night .Morch is flirting with you. Tickling your underarms. Giggling like a schoolgirl. She wants you to invite her inside. Yeah, you're married to winter now...but you remember those old hot summer nights with her. Let her in Kevin. Let her in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Morch is flirting with you. Tickling your underarms. Giggling like a schoolgirl. She wants you to invite her inside. Yeah, you're married to winter now...but you remember those old hot summer nights with her. Let her in Kevin. Let her in. OMFG!!! i just fell off my chair!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 The thing is, there has been this low frequency niño signal. So while you can get pattern changes, sometimes they don't last long and that was the issue. The weeklies sort of showed this nicely.....almost like the pattern goes back to a default niño look until a wholesale change occurs. At least that's what it seems like to me anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 I was looking back at my records for the historic for totals 95/96 season , biggest difference is now depth days. I was in SWRI and actually entered March with zero depth as you can see on the attached. I ended up with 110.7 as the April records show but this year despite now being only 7.4 below that record absolutely crushes that winter overall. Stats are great but not the whole story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Morch is flirting with you. Tickling your underarms. Giggling like a schoolgirl. She wants you to invite her inside. Yeah, you're married to winter now...but you remember those old hot summer nights with her. Let her in Kevin. Let her in.She's ringing the doorbell. Let her in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 LOL that is a Morch for the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 That looks chilly. Plenty of cool NW flow and backdoor potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 That looks chilly. Plenty of cool NW flow and backdoor potentialInching closer and closer. We tickle. We flirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2015 Author Share Posted March 5, 2015 Well I can tell you that you and I certainly Arent doing that to each other. As far as the Wx goes.. The big warmup keeps getting shortened on both ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Folks it was a great year but I think it's time to go ahead and shut this thing down. Be sure to securely wrap up the models and place the tarps where they need to be placed, and lock the door behind you. Enjoy the warmer weather, and we'll catch up again in several months. Enjoy that camping trip in July BTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Tomorrow looks like the last day before we start eroding away the pack at a steady pace. A lot of us should see 40s by next week. It may only be seasonable, but it's a sign of the impending change of seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Tomorrow looks like the last day before we start eroding away the pack at a steady pace. A lot of us should see 40s by next week. It may only be seasonable, but it's a sign of the impending change of seasons. Don't think so. I see 3 "real melting days" aka dews higher than 25 with highs in the low 40s or greater starting Tuesday next week. All dependent on cloud cover of course, but before then probably lose maybe half an inch up to an inch from sublimation and melting per day before then. Also have the MOS equations changed for the Spring season yet? If so, the busts may not be the same as the past two weeks where the highs were overachieving the MOS forecasts. I think they change on April 1st, but I ask the question because I never know if its March 1st or April 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Imagine if that D6 NAVGEM solution comes to pass... that would be one helluva melt-off day... That depiction soars 850mb T to +9 on a WSW wind, under full sun. It'll be an interesting experiment in snow pack off-setting should that take place above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 OK, so is March considered a winter month or not...seems like people pick and choose based on feelings and mood....moodology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 OK, so is March considered a winter month or not...seems like people pick and choose based on feelings and mood....moodology There's subjectivity on both sides of that decussion/debate... Science tries to make March 1 the first day of spring, which by default would make March not a winter month. However, at our latitude, ...heh, good luck with that. Some years, sure... spring arrives with resounding applause, quite early in the month. In fact, three years ago, huge positive anomalies in February simply just kept rising in March; was spring on Feb 1st that season? Other years, no... Last year, we had a blizzard in March, and it was in the teens for high temperatures far too often to ever be construed as spring to anyone with a modicum of sanity... Still, since 1/3 to 1/2 the years in general show greater temperature gains between March 1 and April 1, than there are between Jan 1 and Mar 1, that month should technically and fairly be judged as spring month ... I have never read/seen/heard a definitive explanation from NWS/NCEP as to why they cordon off March 1 as Spring 1, but the temp recovery is a sound enough argument for me personally. It's just as because we are far enough N, this region can be protected from warm during the earlier weeks of spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2015 Share Posted March 5, 2015 Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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