stormtracker Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 GFS looks great for front runner. I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Nice run for DC, 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 DCA 3-4" by 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 moral of the story folks.....NEVER GIVE UP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxw Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 More importantly... In WES we trust.... moral of the story folks.....NEVER GIVE UP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I think we're going to get snow from this.. maybe not a lot but the smart consensus has continued to suggest it despite any bouncing among the ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 moral of the story folks.....NEVER GIVE UP DEFINITELY never give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Ukie is the king with this one if it goes down like that. Nailed is 2 days before the other globals and never let go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 and it's cold too http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=054ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_054_10m_wnd_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=10m_wnd_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150215+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Front runner wave is allowed to amplify clearly at 500mb with relaxation in the confluence with more room to amplify in future runs.. Perfect timing almost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 What a terrible thread lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Ukie is the king with this one if it goes down like that. Nailed is 2 days before the other globals and never let go. UKMET is pretty good.. too bad it's so hard to get quality data from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 DCA 3-4" by 66 Yup, nice run for us. 3-4" with 4"+ at EZF. I'd guess the 0.4" QPF line is just north of EZF on the IWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Totally different storm from 24 to 36 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 How does it look for BWI and Westminster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 0z GFS basically says that we get a decent 5"-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Quickly eyeballing, pretty much matches the 12z Euro...Hopefully the euro holds for my backyard and my expectations and what I want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Oops Still quite lame in most of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Totally different storm from 24 to 36 hours ago Plays out sort of similar but it's like a day earlier now... which is good since it's closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 0z GFS basically says that we get a decent 5"-8" LOL not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 0z GFS basically says that we get a decent 5"-8" I never understand where people come up with these numbers.... Our climo ratio is 11:1....so even if you're generous and say 12-13:1, you'd need almost 0.7" of QPF to get 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 5-8 or not even close? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm not knowledgeable enough to see what keeps it from coming further north. One thing is certain...there's no way in hell anybody knows what this is going to do...yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 How does it look for BWI and Westminster? I care about as much as the people in Balt and Westminster care about how models look for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 5-8 or not even close? It's like 3-4 inches in DC at best if this pans out as modeled. I guess expectations went way low for this one because it isn't super awesome verbatim. I guess room to improve a bit still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This snowfall map shows how much snow falls 48 hours before hour 69 LOL not even close. I never understand where people come up with these numbers.... Our climo ratio is 11:1....so even if you're generous and say 12-13:1, you'd need almost 0.7" of QPF to get 8" 5-8 or not even close? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I've only been partially following all the details but wonder if the blizzard not bombing as fast is playing a role. Looks like no one in the US is getting much from it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Is it really worthwhile to measure snow at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This snowfall map shows how much snow falls 48 hours before hour 69 eta.PNG lol.. stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 TURN THE F___IN CORNER or give Boston nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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