canderson Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 He has Harrisburg riiiiiight on the 3-6/5-8 line. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 12z Euro looks like a nice 4-8" for most of PA...highest in the western mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Sent from my iPhone Now that's the public map. Doesn't seem to be going all in with latest guidance. I like that 1-3" south and east of I95. I like 2-4, 3-5" NW of that with 3-6" up to LNS. York, Adams and west should be good for storm for most, if not all snow. If Northern MD gets only 1-3", I'll be incredibly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarks green snow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Winter Storm Watch out of BGM for NEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Saturday forecast for State College: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 24. South wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. And surprisingly no watch/advisory. I'm sure that's coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Saturday forecast for State College: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 24. South wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. And surprisingly no watch/advisory. I'm sure that's coming soon. I see they bumped up their snow map a bit, and PBZ has warnings up for most of their area. Looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I see they bumped up their snow map a bit, and PBZ has warnings up for most of their area. Looking good.Thanks for the update! Awesome blue sky this afternoon, 12 degrees. Calm before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Winter Storm Warnings now up!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Winter Storm Warnings now up!! Just dropped! 5-9 down this way. Wording would suggest an all snow event with possible freezing drizzle at end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Just dropped! 5-9 down this way. Wording would suggest an all snow event with possible freezing at end. My impression is that if there is a changeover, it is going to be as precip is winding down, and at worst most of us see a prolonged time of at least moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 My impression is that if there is a changeover, it is going to be as precip is winding down, and at worst most of us see a prolonged time of at least moderate snow. That works. expectations of 6" seems realistic here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 such a tease... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 not sure i'm buying what the nam is trying to sell us....seems to wet, cut the numbers in half and i'll beleive that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 KISS OF DEATH! Statement as of 3:10 PM EST on February 20, 2015 ... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 11 am Saturday to 9 amEST Sunday...The National Weather Service in State College has issued a WinterWeather Advisory for snow and freezing rain... which is in effectfrom 11 am Saturday to 9 am EST Sunday.* Locations... Lancaster and York counties.* Hazard types... snow and freezing rain.* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches... followed by acoating of ice.* Timing... snow will overspread the area during the mid day hourson Saturday... and become heavy at times in the afternoon andevening. Freezing rain may mix in with the snow during the lateevening.* Impacts... hazardous travel from Saturday afternoon into Sundaymorning.* Winds... becoming south 5 to 10 mph.Precautionary/preparedness actions...Hazardous winter weather conditions are expected or occurring.Use caution if traveling. For the latest weather information... goto weather.Gov/statecollege or monitor NOAA Weather Radio.Report snow or ice accumulation to the National Weather ServiceState College by sending an email to [email protected]...posting to the NWS State College facebook Page... or tweet@nwsstatecollege with the hashtag c... T... p... W... x. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It's something that the surface low (weak as it is) is technically going to be tracking to our NW for this. Modest SW flow at 850mb but no closed low. Pretty decent looking overrunning set up but with no closed low it doesn't appear that it's going to be enough to advect in >0ºC 850 air for most of PA (except far southeast perhaps at the end). The result should be a nice hard hitting front end snowfall with any mixing limited to after the damage being done QPF wise. I know I said a few days ago warmth was going to try to press into the northeast and it was likely going to lose.. and looks like that will be the case. At least it will warm up some for the storm though, instead of the frigid temps we have had this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 not sure i'm buying what the nam is trying to sell us....seems to wet, cut the numbers in half and i'll beleive that. The NAM was more amped this run which of course causes it to be wetter and warmer. I'm still waiting to see the 4km come out. It's actually doing well recently. It wouldn't take all that much for those heavy totals on that run to shift 25 miles further SE. We'll see. Horrible run for parts of York/Lancaster. Lots of ice verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Still heavy thump Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Huge gradient west to east thogj Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Little concerned...that cutoff inched closer to us this run. We lost about .25" precip from 12z to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Little concerned...that cutoff inched closer to us this run. We lost about .25" precip from 12z to 18z. You would be concerned even if we were upon a 1993 redux. Looks like a solid snowstorm for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 You would be concerned even if we were upon a 1993 redux. Looks like a solid snowstorm for you. We have too long a history of underperforming or barely meeting the low end of ranges so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Lol Nam staying persistent with that zone of less precip euro looked solid though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I was concerned a few days ago about low level trapped cold air for icing. Whoops. Biggest show of the indoor racing season at the farm show and once again bad weather will surround it. The forecasts a few days ago were absolutely misleading though. If we end up with 6-8 inches in the burg, and were forecasted for 45 and rain only 2 days ago, that's no good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4km NAM shifted north with the heaviest snowfall. The big winners, verbatim, would be the Franklin, Adams, York and Lancaster counties, although Lancaster changes over to ZR at the end. There is no rain on this run in the whole area. The 850 column gets above the PA line, but it's pretty close to 0C for everyone except the extreme southern tier at 1C. ZR looks nasty for parts of MD, but again, this is just verbatim. I think the area with the best chance of a thumping snow would be west of I83, but a good thump looks pretty good for east of it. I'll have a final call tonight, but I like 5+" for many in the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I was concerned a few days ago about low level trapped cold air for icing. Whoops. Biggest show of the indoor racing season at the farm show and once again bad weather will surround it. The forecasts a few days ago were absolutely misleading though. If we end up with 6-8 inches in the burg, and were forecasted for 45 and rain only 2 days ago, that's no good. Planned on coming, not sure now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Planned on coming, not sure now. Go Sunday. It's worth it. Stop by the go karts, I'll be shooting video by the announcer (hence my screen name) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Hey does anyone know any snow removal person who do one-time on-call driveway cleanup in Carlisle Borough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.