CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 What would be your best estimate for the Merrimac Valley including of course Dracut, Lowell, Methuen, etc.? Probably 8-12 Lowell/Dracut. Perhaps a bit more heading to Methuen and then Haverhill. Once my son is done being entertained with online shows I'll look more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 C'mon Dan get it together. You should know this. well I don't know everything about the RPM details since I don't work in their group. I just help get their data around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Probably 8-12 Lowell/Dracut. Perhaps a bit more heading to Methuen and then Haverhill. Once my son is done being entertained with online shows I'll look more. Ha ..Thanks. Good luck forecasting this beast. Hope you and the fam enjoy the ambiance of it all this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 BOX is going with 2-4" with the WAA in a lot of the area I think (that's the call out here I know). If we can get the higher end there, I'm pretty confident we will get another 2" that we'll never be able to confirm due to wind to verify a warning. I'd be surprised if we come up with the high end of 8", but crazier things have happened. For example I recall a storm a long time ago (3 weeks) in which I was forecasted 24-30" six hours before go time and wound up with 5". I still rock back and forth huddled under a blanket over that. BOX is going with 2-4" with the WAA in a lot of the area I think (that's the call out here I know). If we can get the higher end there, I'm pretty confident we will get another 2" that we'll never be able to confirm due to wind to verify a warning. I'd be surprised if we come up with the high end of 8", but crazier things have happened. For example I recall a storm a long time ago (3 weeks) in which I was forecasted 24-30" six hours before go time and wound up with 5". I still rock back and forth huddled under a blanket over that. So will I for a very long time, that may be the hardest bust ever to endure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I loved Will's description of the windexy look to soundings this afternoon/evening. How many snowstorms start with a southerly wind and deep mixing up to like 775mb lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I loved Will's description of the windexy look to soundings this afternoon/evening. How many snowstorms start with a southerly wind and deep mixing up to like 775mb lol I'm telling you, this is the crap they have in Russia lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hmmm.. Sounds like sometjing we've never seen before described there. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm telling you, this is the crap they have in Russia lol. Yeah a totally bizarre look. The stuff this afternoon/evening will overperform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Still wish the RGEM looked better after midnight tonight. It's still a really crummy look with the CCB/TROWAL struggling to get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Gotta love the flip flopping models. Went to bed happy, woke up disappointed Just follow the SREFs to the promised land....they hit Maine harder than other areas, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yeah a totally bizarre look. The stuff this afternoon/evening will overperform. Yeah I agree. Looks like great flakes and lighte winds allowing it to like up nicely. Good 3-6 in that in many areas just from that. Maybe a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yeah I agree. Looks like great flakes and lighte winds allowing it to like up nicely. Good 3-6 in that in many areas just from that. Maybe a bit more. May need it if some areas get shut out from the Sunday AM stuff lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Woke up a bit surprised that BOX bumped the 10-14" back here given that nothing besides the GFS appears to support that. the 6z NAM trended better, but its still the NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Good morning you princes of Maine, you kings of New England. Happy Valentine's Day to each and every one of you. Especially Typhoon Tip. This thing is going out to sea, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Just follow the SREFs to the promised land....they hit Maine harder than other areas, haha. untitled.JPG My disappointment was a bit premature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I loved Will's description of the windexy look to soundings this afternoon/evening. How many snowstorms start with a southerly wind and deep mixing up to like 775mb lolYup, I've been eyeing this WAA for about the last 24h. Seems to come in more robust as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Still wish the RGEM looked better after midnight tonight. It's still a really crummy look with the CCB/TROWAL struggling to get going. Yeah--it's a bit of a bummer. May need it if some areas get shut out from the Sunday AM stuff lol You'll do better down there today than up this way, but we might eek out a little more with wrap around. All in all, we'll likely end up with the same 5-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We should see the SREFS bump up QPF some as the still seem to me on the low end of guidance right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Just follow the SREFs to the promised land....they hit Maine harder than other areas, haha. untitled.JPG We will take what the 06z RGEM is showing and leave the SREFS on the sidelines..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We should see the SREFS bump up QPF some as the still seem to me on the low end of guidance right now. Funny because back here they're on the high side of things! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Tomorrow morning is going to be the wildest winter Wx most of us have ever seen. Strong damaging wind with heavy snow falling. Then even stronger wind in the afternoon. Hopefully they've got enough power crews in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 TWC in Cweats hood, just saw him go by,not in his tractor but as a......pedestrian. WAA moving in clouds quickly moving up from the ocean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Funny because back here they're on the high side of things! Yeah, that's odd. Wonder if they are picking up on that initial WAA punch out there better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We will take what the 06z RGEM is showing and leave the SREFS on the sidelines..................... Nobody is taking our snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Tomorrow morning is going to be the wildest winter Wx most of us have ever seen. Strong damaging wind with heavy snow falling. Then even stronger wind in the afternoon. Hopefully they've got enough power crews in placeakin to multiple hour Windex super squalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Nobody is taking our snow Nobody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'll take this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 TWC in Cweats hood, just saw him go by,not in his tractor but as a......pedestrian. WAA moving in clouds quickly moving up from the ocean It's not cloudy down there yet? I would have thought you clouded up overnight. sn-- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'll take this: That is one ugly run for the CT River Valley in Mass/VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 akin to multiple hour Windex super squallsThings we've never seen in this part of country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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