ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 theres going to be some crazy numbers on the low and high side with this the wind will make it impossible to measure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 yes I think 6-10 will do it, but I think either Thompson, East Killingly area might pull a lollie to 12-14 depending on the banding. With the wind, it's not really going to matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 theres going to be some crazy numbers on the low and high side with this the wind will make it impossible to measureNo one will be able to make accurate measurements in this historic event. And even being outdoors, puts your life at risk, as ALB just advised...! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 While measuring tomorrow please watch out for falling trees. 60 + gusts will do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Power outages in these temps will be suck tastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NAM back to looking pretty bad again as far as lack of CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Power outages in these temps will be suck tasticImagine those linemen tomorrow . Brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NAM back to looking pretty bad again as far as lack of CCB.Yeah...it can't rip it back in time. Ugly run outside of coastal ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yeah...it can't rip it back in time. Ugly run outside of coastal ME. NYC more than BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NAM back to looking pretty bad again as far as lack of CCB. Yeah--the NAM has consistently not liked western MA, and the last few runs has expanded that dislike to most of SNE. While measuring tomorrow please watch out for falling trees. 60 + gusts will do that Power outages in these temps will be suck tastic So does having holes in your walls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 nam looked worse for most tough storm to forecast.. flakes just started falling here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Looks like BOS falls short of .5 on the NAM. I would not want to have 12-18 forecasted right now. 8-12 is ok IMO, I think BOS gets about 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Still looking at a model meant for summer time convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 As usual, the NAM is horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 changing amounts based off the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 we can hope! http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20150214&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=CEF&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=41.771058772271765&mLON=-72.81685508117675&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Out in its clown range, but the RAP looks ridiculous late tonight... At any rate, I think 8-12 for ORH east is a pretty solid forecast...I think there will be several 12"+ amounts on E MA coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Imagine those linemen tomorrow . Brutal I think a lot of people don't grasp how strong these winds are gonna be tomorrow...regardless of QPF, if we have 4" with those winds, you can get near white out conditions. Not to mention the DOT will have a hell of a time keeping roads clear with blowing snow. I think winds are more of an impact, at least for western areas. These winds in eastern area snowfall predictions are gon verify blizz me thinks, no doubt. on anothe note, snow growth will be poor I think with shredded dendrites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 changing amounts based off the nam No, euro only had about .5 for BOS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Still looking at a model meant for summer time convection Unfortunately we're in the time frame where we should be looking at mesoscale models but we have such crap to work with from the US it's difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Is the RUC still around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 we can hope! http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20150214&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=CEF&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=41.771058772271765&mLON=-72.81685508117675&mTYP=roadmap Take the mid-point between that mean and the lowest run and you have your high end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Snowing already here In CT!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Unfortunately we're in the time frame where we should be looking at mesoscale models but we have such crap to work with from the US it's difficult. We're close enough that the SREFs should be at least adequate now...they've done fine inside of 24 hours this winter. But yeah, not exactly the most confidence...esp for a 12-24 hour forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Is the RUC still around? It is the RAP now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Man NAM can't get its act together, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Unfortunately we're in the time frame where we should be looking at mesoscale models but we have such crap to work with from the US it's difficult. If the RGEM comes in looking like crap, I'll really question warning snows outside of 495 (with more questions the further out one goes). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Just an FYI for those that have a standby generator. I have a kohler 20kw,whole house gen running on natural gas, with a carb heater, set to test every Friday @ 3pm. Just over a year old, cranked yesterday wouldnt start, after three attemps, shuts down. My davis weather station yesterday am, recorded a 20 below windchill, spoke with techs to reset, try a few things, and it worked, i will start again later today to run 20 min or so just in case..they said they have been getting so many calls do to the temps, windchills etc. Sorry to post here, just an fyi maybe it was friday the 13th thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 seems like most of the region will see blizzard conditions but will fall just short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not Carl Sagan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Imagine those linemen tomorrow . Brutal My thoughts exactly. I'm happy to have an indoor job this time of year. Not fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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