strongwxnc Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Bout time Radar just looks ripe... Been rope since 5pm this evening! http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=GSP-N0Q-1-48 And the updated map. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 It has been very impressive out to your SW here in the southern Foothills. Mod to heavy sleet since 4pm. How much sleet has accumulated for you brother?? Thanks and hope all is well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Anemic rates. Sleet has been steady for 3 hours but while things are covered it is barely measurable. Couple of 10ths maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Close to if not over 3/4" now.. crazy Rankin. How much sleet has accumulated for you brother?? Thanks and hope all is well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
10below Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Anemic rates. Sleet has been steady for 3 hours but while things are covered it is barely measurable. Couple of 10ths maybe. Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Rates are anemic here too. Like 0 anemic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The precip is banging into a brick wall from sw to ne. The wedge is just so entrenched. You'd think with the waa riding over 19 to 22 degree surface air might increase convurgence, but I tell like burns said it's very paltry so far in the early stage. Watch the loop just posted. A river of 35 dbz funneling in and they get eating alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Rates are anemic here too. Like 0 anemic. Give it a hr http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states-regional/nc/charlotte/animated Steady plain rain here with a few pellets mixing in when the rate picks up...temp 25 on my porch could be a real nasty event here..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Rates are anemic here too. Like 0 anemic. The precip is banging into a brick wall from sw to ne. The wedge is just so entrenched. You'd think with the waa riding over 19 to 22 degree surface air might increase convurgence, but I tell like burns said it's very paltry so far in the early stage. Watch the loop just posted. A river of 35 dbz funneling in and they get eating alive. I think the DP's are killing us? Heavy returns approaching and then diminish literally as it hits Wake Co line, which I am a mile or so away from. It's spitting something out there. In other news the HRR flips us to freezing rain at 10pm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Mid 60's in southern GA, pretty remarkable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 850 temp advection. Thank goodness they were so low to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I think the DP's are killing us? Heavy returns approaching and then diminish literally as it hits Wake Co line, which I am a mile or so away from. It's spitting something out there. In other news the HRR flips us to freezing rain at 10pm... Freezing rain only now in Holly Springs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 0z HRRR been ticking up precip for RDU, now has us solidly with 0.75" QPF which would be all freezing rain with temps hovering around 17-18F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Freezing rain only now in Holly Springs. You might mix more once heaver returns occur. That's what happened with me; during the lull it was freezing drizzle but now I'm mostly sleet. **temp still at 18.0 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 0z HRRR been ticking up precip for RDU, now has us solidly with 0.75" QPF which would be all freezing rain with temps hovering around 17-18F. How is it not changing to sleet at those temperatures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How is it not changing to sleet at those temperatures? No clue, but better get your flashlights ready. If we get .7" QPF of freezing rain then a good bit will accumulate with temps like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Well, I just called work and they're still operating on a normal schedule. This ought to be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 No clue, but better get your flashlights ready. If we get .7" QPF of freezing rain then a good bit will accumulate with temps like this. Luckily I go to NCSU and we have underground power lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 No clue, but better get your flashlights ready. If we get .7" QPF of freezing rain then a good bit will accumulate with temps like this. Every bit will accumulate. No run off, 100% accrual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How is it not changing to sleet at those temperatures? No clue, but better get your flashlights ready. If we get .7" QPF of freezing rain then a good bit will accumulate with temps like this. Its highly likely there will be a changeover to sleet at some point as the precipitation rates increase. The freezing rain now might simply be because the precip falling right now initially formed in the low-levels below the warm nose and didn't have time to refreeze before hitting the surface. Later tonight this is a classic sleet sounding: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/lb13_img/hrrr/hrrr_ncep_snd_rdu.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 8" and 13.3 outside just measured a minute ago. You guys have an idea where the cutoff line might setup tonight once the low gets going off the southeast coast. Is this one of those where the moisture transport will continue sw to ne or will it start to throw it back northwestward? Basically trying to see if I'm gonna get cut off if this eastward progression to the precip to my west keeps translating toward me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Its highly likely there will be a changeover to sleet at some point as the precipitation rates increase. The freezing rain now might simply be because the precip falling right now initially formed in the low-levels below the warm nose and didn't have time to refreeze before hitting the surface. Later tonight this is a classic sleet sounding: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/lb13_img/hrrr/hrrr_ncep_snd_rdu.php Thanks for the update phil....I'd much rather have ip than zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Thanks phil. I'm hearing sleet, but it's light. Was wondering why so clear and your right what's happening is the rain drops are freezing in air before hitting groind, hence no white color. Usually true sleet is a partially melted snowflake, but these are being generated at or below the warm nose. And frosty and buddy. The suppression psycho / socio paths, "whoa is me"from just 60 hours ago enjoy your snow cream. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomanslandva Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 8" and 13.3 outside just measured a minute ago. You guys have an idea where the cutoff line might setup tonight once the low gets going off the southeast coast. Is this one of those where the moisture transport will continue sw to ne or will it start to throw it back northwestward? Basically trying to see if I'm gonna get cut off if this eastward progression to the precip to my west keeps translating toward me? At least it looks like we finish strong. Looking at RAP and HRRR but not seeing anything that makes me feel like we get much past 11PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Thanks for the update phil....I'd much rather have ip than zr. Its highly likely there will be a changeover to sleet at some point as the precipitation rates increase. The freezing rain now might simply be because the precip falling right now initially formed in the low-levels below the warm nose and didn't have time to refreeze before hitting the surface. Later tonight this is a classic sleet sounding: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/lb13_img/hrrr/hrrr_ncep_snd_rdu.php Excellent info! Thank you. Hopefully zr rates can be cut as much as possible for as many as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Thanks phil. I'm hearing sleet, but it's light. Was wondering why so clear and your right what's happening is the rain drops are freezing in air before hitting groind, hence no white color. Usually true sleet is a partially melted snowflake, but these are being generated at or below the warm nose. And frosty and buddy. The suppression psycho / socio paths, "whoa is me"from just 60 hours ago enjoy your snow cream. LOL! Hey thanks man stay safe! Hope all is well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 8" and 13.3 outside just measured a minute ago. You guys have an idea where the cutoff line might setup tonight once the low gets going off the southeast coast. Is this one of those where the moisture transport will continue sw to ne or will it start to throw it back northwestward? Basically trying to see if I'm gonna get cut off if this eastward progression to the precip to my west keeps translating toward me? Congratulations on the accumulation! I'm not convinced the coastal low that forms will deepen quickly enough to make much difference for you, (Delmarva yes) but its certainly something that is possible and to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Pressure falls offshore Charleston. SLP in Alabama weakens by one contour. Models showed transfer up around Virginia Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rxwxunc Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Just read from RAH Facebook page that light ice accural is being reported via Automatic reporting stations in central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Pressure falls offshore Charleston. SLP in Alabama weakens by one contour. Models showed transfer up around Virginia Beach. So would that make it into a Miller A/B? You are right about the transfer point being much further south which will mean more moisture for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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