SR Airglow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Go into this expecting 2-4 all of SNE. If you get more then even better New RGEM says 0.2"-0.4", at best. NAM and GFS also went south. IMO, only place that sees 2-4" from this in SNE will be Cape Cod. C-2" for most with 1-3" south coast is my final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Tuesday looks to me like 3-5 inches for Cape Cod and the islands, 1-3 inches rest of RI, e MA and fractional amounts CT, wMA and northern New England if any. Wed to Friday (thread needs title adjustment perhaps) then look more interesting in general, lots of activity and a general retrograde look to it all, as though the upper level trough may be about to shift west a few degrees, potential for 5-10 inches in many areas from these developments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 If the column can saturate a small amount of qpf will suffice to bring inches of snow. That's the big factor-how much dry air has to be fought through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I will take my C -2" and be happy with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 New RGEM says 0.2"-0.4", at best. NAM and GFS also went south. IMO, only place that sees 2-4" from this in SNE will be Cape Cod. C-2" for most with 1-3" south coast is my final call. That C is always so bothersome. A coating implies flurries which this is not. It's a steady daylong period of light snow..that given fluff and good snow growth will add up to a couple to few inches at least to the Pike and probably even north of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Any way a NORLUN could set up with this system and surprise us with a few inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 The whole week looks like there are several chances of accumulating light snow events. Models don't necc. show it per say..but there are hints whether it's an INV or the ULL snow..or just weak east flow or even a coastal front. I'd bet we see snow on some or most of the days between Tues and Thurs in one fashion or another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 That C is always so bothersome. A coating implies flurries which this is not. It's a steady daylong period of light snow..that given fluff and good snow growth will add up to a couple to few inches at least to the Pike and probably even north of it A coating doesn't have to imply flurries...it could be like 0.4" or some measurable amount that is under an inch and 99% of people would view that as a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 hope hes right, two or three tomorrow be awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I like the little enhancement in SE areas overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 A coating doesn't have to imply flurries...it could be like 0.4" or some measurable amount that is under an inch and 99% of people would view that as a coating. I don't know..That C-2 always has bothered me. If all that is expected is a dusting..then let's just say all we expect is a light dusting. 2 inches is something that has to be shoveled and plowed off roads. There's a difference to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I don't know..That C-2 always has bothered me. If all that is expected is a dusting..then let's just say all we expect is a light dusting. 2 inches is something that has to be shoveled and plowed off roads. There's a difference to me You're getting into petty semantics...when people forecast 5-8", that is a larger range than C-2", yet nobody complains...just because 2" is asthetically much different looking than a coating doesn't mean it is supposed to be easier to forecast the difference between the two. It is still a narrow range. You have dry air on the NW side, so you can't just say it's going to be 2" and no chance of a trace or very small accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I don't know..That C-2 always has bothered me. If all that is expected is a dusting..then let's just say all we expect is a light dusting. 2 inches is something that has to be shoveled and plowed off roads. There's a difference to me Yes, there's a difference. Isn't that the purpose of a range, to allow for different outcomes, all realistically within the realm of probability? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This inv trof has me interested. It's just a touch offshore.. Let's bring that thing south and west.. Tough to model so who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 meh we would have to be real lucky to get even two hope hes right, two or three tomorrow be awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 You're getting into petty semantics...when people forecast 5-8", that is a larger range than C-2", yet nobody complains...just because 2" is asthetically much different looking than a coating doesn't mean it is supposed to be easier to forecast the difference between the two. It is still a narrow range. You have dry air on the NW side, so you can't just say it's going to be 2" and no chance of a trace or very small accumulation. I understand the dry air argument..But arctic air doesn;'t hold moisture and it seems to snow very easily when you have single digits and dews near 0.. I was just saying why I hate when I see C -2. C is nothing..2 inches is something DPW's and the public has to move around and treat..That's all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I understand the dry air argument..But arctic air doesn;'t hold moisture and it seems to snow very easily when you have single digits and dews near 0.. I was just saying why I hate when I see C -2. C is nothing..2 inches is something DPW's and the public has to move around and treat..That's all It would be nice if we had the skill to always get it right when it's 0.3" vs 1.8"...but unfortunately we are not that skilled. We have to give ranges sometimes that end up overlapping stuff that might be plowable vs stuff that isn't. I forecasted for DOT clients for 8 years...I know how it works with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It would be nice if we had the skill to always get it right when it's 0.3" vs 1.8"...but unfortunately we are not that skilled. We have to give ranges sometimes that end up overlapping stuff that might be plowable vs stuff that isn't. I forecasted for DOT clients for 8 years...I know how it works with them. Well the other issue..what do folks consider plowable? I mean typically DPW's will plow an inch snowfall. Where as a dusting they will salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Well the other issue..what do folks consider plowable? I mean typically DPW's will plow an inch snowfall. Where as a dusting they will salt All of my clients didn't plow until 2 inches. I suppose there are some that plow 1 inch, but that's pretty rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Nice to see the SE and M.A forum (esp SE areas) get a storm. Peeps get themselves a snow to enjoy, they are in heaven. Found this OB impressive Roanoke 14F NE winds 6" New. That's impressive cold/ mid day down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It's underway nicely for US. Ray showed up last night for a while. What are you doing in that avatar, pis*ing into a fan? Will-It's Stewart's Time!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I am expecting anywhere between a dusting to a coating. At most a coating+(C+), and a possibly a -dusting(-D). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 All of my clients didn't plow until 2 inches. I suppose there are some that plow 1 inch, but that's pretty rare. lol. Here in CT, they plow for less than .25" and even rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It's underway nicely for US. Ray showed up last night for a while. What are you doing in that avatar, pis*ing into a fan? Will-It's Stewart's Time!! Congrats Howie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 More impressive is Behind this System the Cold centered over the SE and Mid Atlantic has got to be EPIC. Suburbs of Raleigh getting down near Zero? Is that a joke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Kev-"We toss" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This inv trof has me interested. It's just a touch offshore.. Let's bring that thing south and west.. Tough to model so who knowsDoesn't have me interested in the least....for the first time in a month, nothing really does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Bust potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 that's old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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