Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Not sure what they are seeing??? Probably a blend of yesterday's guidance (which included depictions of larger hits) and collaboration with adjacent offices (BOX). It'll shift down assuming the Euro keeps consistent with today's 12z guidance/its own 00z solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Not sure what they are seeing??? They're seeing .25 of qpf and big time fluff factor and some lift in the dgz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 We'll keep it to ourselves James. Unfortunately there's 1800 of us and 1 of you. lol and ultimately although the science isn't totally conclusive I don't believe what we post here actually changes the weather yet. Maybe Al Gore can do that but we can't... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 We'll keep it to ourselves James. Unfortunately there's 1800 of us and 1 of you.Time to crank up the James only obs thread? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 It's been in amazing run. Of course I was hoping these Thursday and Sunday shots pan out, but they seem to be trending the wrong way. Not losing entire hope, but doesn't look like either will be substantial. I like the Miller A bomb 18/19th though, that has some intriguing components. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 lol and ultimately although the science isn't totally conclusive I don't believe what we post here actually changes the weather yet. Maybe Al Gore can do that but we can't... Zeus can do it. yes he can... I do think the outer Cape gets clipped with a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 speak for yourself Well, I speak for the CONUS.......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 seeing some subtle differences in the EURO for this one at H5, @39 that through seems to be sharper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Near misses, those are hits for me, Cape Cod gets 3-6" both storms, so keep the Out to Sea or misses talk to yourselves and continue to talk about the storm. Everyone speaks relative to their own position. Grasp that. I'm sure you're conerned with how much QPF makes it beyoond rt 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 We'll keep it to ourselves James. Unfortunately there's 1800 of us and 1 of you. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 seeing some subtle differences in the EURO for this one at H5, @39 that through seems to be sharper. i retract was looking at wrong hours comparison.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Definitely not throwing in the towel on an advisory event here. Won't take much change to get that outcome at least for bos prov SE. Will need bigger changes for the rest or the area.... But definitely worth keeping an eye on it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 i retract was looking at wrong hours comparison.. lol It's okay; I didn't believe you to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 It's okay; I didn't believe you to begin with. Neither did I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 It's okay; I didn't believe you to begin with. some do believe in me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Trough is a little sharper then 0z on this run, Will have to see how it translates as it develops the slp, It really just develops the slp further south but does not look to get the job done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Meh. On to the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 C-2" for most on this Euro run...we're getting inside 72 hours here, so I think this one is baked for no major event...advisory snows are still on the table however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 collective sigh the city may not shut down till 2016 after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 C-2" for most on this Euro run...we're getting inside 72 hours here, so I think this one is baked for no major event...advisory snows are still on the table however. I would assume the C-2" is widespread over New England and not really enhanced by the coastal. Just the clipper moisture moving through? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I would assume the C-2" is widespread over New England and not really enhanced by the coastal. Just the clipper moisture moving through?C-1" for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I would assume the C-2" is widespread over New England and not really enhanced by the coastal. Just the clipper moisture moving through? Most of it is the secondary development for us with precip from a dying primary well to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minster22 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Near misses, those are hits for me, Cape Cod gets 3-6" both storms, so keep the Out to Sea or misses talk to yourselves and continue to talk about the storm. Lurker here but I am with James! So that makes 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Geez, you people give up way too easily, if anything this winter has shown us how the models can be wrong with the actual result 72 hours out, look what happened with the Blizzard of 2015 and the models only 72 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Geez, you people give up way too easily, if anything this winter has shown us how the models can be wrong with the actual result 72 hours out, look what happened with the Blizzard of 2015 and the models only 72 hours out. I would like to know /understand synoptically what changed from yesterday to today that really minimized the potential in this. What larger features became less favorable in particular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I would like to know /understand synoptically what changed from yesterday to today that really minimized the potential in this. What larger features became less favorable in particular. Probably don't need to look any further then that low in the atlantic east of Virginia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Probably don't need to look any further then that low in the atlantic east of Virginia well did trend slower, I mean that answer really doesn't have much detail that low has been modeled there for days. Did it's trough hang back longer and diminish our shortwaves ability to raise heights ahead of it. Were there a multitude of things. Just trying to learn a few things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 well did trend slower, I mean that answer really doesn't have much detail that low has been modeled there for days. Did it's trough hang back longer and diminish our shortwaves ability to raise heights ahead of it. Were there a multitude of things. Just trying to learn a few things. Yeah, It looks to of ended up further west and slower, Originally i think that was suppose to be out of here already and well to the east and it ends up taking the baroclinic zone offshore with it, So there was not much room for this one to amplify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 unless something drastic changes at 0z this threat is mostly gone for all of us maybe some lucky person gets 2 or 3 max Geez, you people give up way too easily, if anything this winter has shown us how the models can be wrong with the actual result 72 hours out, look what happened with the Blizzard of 2015 and the models only 72 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 unless something drastic changes at 0z this threat is mostly gone for all of us maybe some lucky person gets 2 or 3 max HUH? This is accumulating snow for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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