CT Rain Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 HRRR is a real triple bunner around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Yeah I find it more useful in the summer for convection to be honest. Even then it bullseyes on high CAPE areas, so I focus more on the northern gradient of those areas. I'm not sure if there are similar patterns to winter or not, but it really has lost some of its precip usefulness. I remember a few years ago when if it showed a 1" QPF signal it was a great sign for heavy precip. Now we don't really know if it's just because it's a day that ends in Y. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 yeah it really is i honestly think our area might do really well east of springfield and hartford might get screwed a bit though HRRR is a real triple bunner around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 yeah it really is i honestly think our area might do really well east of springfield and hartford might get screwed a bit though Oh how we pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Even then it bullseyes on high CAPE areas, so I focus more on the northern gradient of those areas. I'm not sure if there are similar patterns to winter or not, but it really has lost some of its precip usefulness. I remember a few years ago when if it showed a 1" QPF signal it was a great sign for heavy precip. Now we don't really know if it's just because it's a day that ends in Y. Yeah, the convective schemes used by the SREF members can do some really really funky things with storms that are develop along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 gfs also has less precip in far western areas just like those hi res modelsBox says maybe 3-5 tonight and 2-4 for tomorrow in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 precip really starting to blossom just west of here curious to see if that holds for here and just east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 its going to be close but i think our area gets it better Box says maybe 3-5 tonight and 2-4 for tomorrow in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 HRRR is a real triple bunner around here. Does it give any love up toward here, Ryan? I think I"ll wind up okay, but SVT and further west of here will certainly do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 its going to be close but i think our area gets it better Cool. The latest discussion didn't sound to optimistic for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Euro seems to have cut back regionwide with QPF. About 0.5" additional QPF around Hartford/Tolland.I figured it would finally flip over today and it has. Meh it's snowing but I'm still puzzled by box additional totals for Boston being so high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 BOX tossing out a long one for out here. I don't think the higher end will hold, maybe further SW it will. Monday Night: Snow in the evening...then snow showers likely after midnight. Total snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches. Cold with lows around 10 above. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 80 percent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Mod snow here now. Best since this morning at 2000 ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Oh how we pray. lol, were due for a jack around here for CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Does it give any love up toward here, Ryan? I think I"ll wind up okay, but SVT and further west of here will certainly do better. about 0.4" for your backyard through 11z. It has a real band over ct for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 BOX tossing out a long one for out here. I don't think the higher end will hold, maybe further SW it will. Monday Night: Snow in the evening...then snow showers likely after midnight. Total snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches. Cold with lows around 10 above. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 80 percent The zones are ugly. Takes an average across the whole zone for most weather elements. Snowfall may actually just take the range of amounts across the whole zone too. Basically 12 inches in the eastern part of the zone and 18 in the western part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Mainly for trends. Do snow/QPF amounts tick up or down, do PoP for certain ptypes increase from one run to the next, etc. In truth that's how I use it for convective weather too. Not the absolute values, but the trends in products. bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 gfs also has less precip in far western areas just like those hi res models I'll take the GFS in a heartbeat. I've been saying that for days now. Who knows, between the blizzard and today, maybe it's got something. 15.2/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 about 0.4" for your backyard through 11z. It has a real band over ct for some reason. Thanks--good luck with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I remember Quincy saying earlier in a post, that he didn't see any snow for interior CT until after midnight? I wonder what made him say that? It started about 3:45 here, and is coming down nicely now, and accumulating nicely as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The zones are ugly. Takes an average across the whole zone for most weather elements. Snowfall may actually just take the range of amounts across the whole zone too. Basically 12 inches in the eastern part of the zone and 18 in the western part. I wouldn't kick that outta bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Oh how we pray. Never have I seen someone root so hard against someone. You've got some issues man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Never have I seen someone root so hard against someone. You've got some issues man.Don't fret. no one is taking your snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Don't fret. no one is taking your snow. Enjoy 18-24 up there ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 For the HRRR, shouldn't precip_p01 match up with the hourly precip rates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Looks like BOS/the Pike is going to miss down the middle of the two bands tracking to the N along the MA/NH border and the S along the MA/CT border. Nice echoes heading for Mt. Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Looks like BOS/the Pike is going to miss down the middle of the two bands tracking to the N along the MA/NH border and the S along the MA/CT border. Nice echoes heading for Mt. Tolland. It's the bands from the coastal tomorrow that will impact Boston and metro areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Casualty of winter on my road the other day. My 90 year old neighbor was struck and killed while getting his mail. The strange thing was that the vehicle that killed him was a flatbed tow truck that was parked in his driveway. The parked vehicle slid down the slippery driveway and ran him over. (Mods, fell free to move this. There does not seem to be a new banter thread except for the superbowl storm thread) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It's the bands from the coastal tomorrow that will impact Boston and metro areas. Dude no it's tonight into tomorrow. starting this eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 WBZ just tweeted this for additional snowfall: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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