CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Yeah it was a joke about the 18z NAM. But that's why we were saying to just keep an eye on it. It's a decent s/w, so any slight change in the height field over the northeast, and you can get some snow out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 I still think I wont be posing with Pom poms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Yeah it was a joke about the 18z NAM. But that's why we were saying to just keep an eye on it. It's a decent s/w, so any slight change in the height field over the northeast, and you can get some snow out of it. Yeah it was a joke about the 18z NAM. But that's why we were saying to just keep an eye on it. It's a decent s/w, so any slight change in the height field over the northeast, and you can get some snow out of it. Well at least for southern areas of SNE it'll be nice to whiten things right back up again after yesterday..and hopefully this thing can spread snow farther north too up north of pike..Seems like that is the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Noyes has 2-4 inches..but doesn't have it starting till late Wednesday afternoon into night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather.St Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Noyes has 2-4 inches..but doesn't have it starting till late Wednesday afternoon into night Sounds about right based off current trends. The whole 6+ inch thing off the NAM was a bit much to fathom at this point, but hey. Weirder things have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Nice to see little favorable bumps after this system pulling out. I expect another good tick at 12z. I'm speaking of euro btw since gfs is practically useless now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 GFS has been as consistent with this threat as any other guidance, if not more so. Some runs have been a little further north, but same idea for the most part. I wouldn't be writing it off as terrible until we know it doesn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 The GFS is all over the place. At times, a nice low, other times a fropa. I'm not specifically talking about impacts to our region..I just mean how it's handling the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 It's turrable. It was bad whenn it was the para and it's bad now. Wild swings each run doesn't lead to confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 The GFS is all over the place. At times, a nice low, other times a fropa. I'm not specifically talking about impacts to our region..I just mean how it's handling the low. Define nice. It's never looked very good to me on the GFS. Or the CMC for that matter, which is also still a weak whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Define nice. It's never looked very good to me on the GFS. Or the CMC for that matter, which is also still a weak whiff. Just low pressure in general. It had everything from a well defined low at 18z just south, to what almost is an inv trough at 6z with the low well ESE of us. Yesterday morning at 6z had a fropa for us. I'm looking at it from the big picture..no necessarily what the impacts here are. AT least the euro has had the low idea, just shifting around a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Have faith in Jerry. This ones coming in N and hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 this thing looks capped to me at a coating to 2 inches for most. maybe someone gets a little lucky with an inverted trough or OES setup . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 We'll Just lay down 2-5..keep it OTG and cold..and in this winter that should be considered a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Sounds about right based off current trends. The whole 6+ inch thing off the NAM was a bit much to fathom at this point, but hey. Weirder things have happened.Actually, weirder things have not happened this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Well anyway, since this thread was started, the NAM has taken its inevitable march south and less amped every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Well anyway, since this thread was started, the NAM has taken its inevitable march south and less amped every run. AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 If EURO continues its trend northward from yesterday into today, then we will have more faith in a better impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 I'll be surprised to see an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 The SREFs are useless, but did bump NW from 3z. That's about all you can discern from those models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 The SREFs are useless, but did bump NW from 3z. That's about all you can discern from those models. Juicy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Euro last night had inverted trof love for eastern mass. Not really the clipper. Let's hope that changes at 12z because I am tired of rooting on inverted trofs and oes lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 I'll be surprised to see an inchWe are cool with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 The 12z NAM will save us all. edit: It's a hot mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 nam sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 NAM looked like 1-3" south of the pike. Less 3, more 1's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 One member on the plumes gives me 28 inches lol ugh those are so useless The SREFs are useless, but did bump NW from 3z. That's about all you can discern from those models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 We'll see what the GFS and EURO do at 12z. Still sort of unsure of what exactly this is going to do. Euro and Nam both have precip lingering over eastern mass. Euro is a more widespread snowfall than the Nam which is encouraging. I think a general 1-3" over pretty much the entire general region is the best educated guess right now. I take back the south of the pike comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 A coating will probably do it for most...oh well it's that type of winter. The Euro should wrap the hopes up for most of us today which is one good thing, one way or the other. If it trends favorably, that will certainly show this has potential. If it goes the other way like every other storm this winter, this potential is History. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 2-4 to the pike with 1-3 north. That's what this looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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