CarlislePaWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 The silence around here is deafening Not even a WWA is garnering a peep from anyone but canderson. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 The silence around here is deafening Not even a WWA is garnering a peep from anyone but canderson. . Hard to get excited about -SN -> -ZR -> Rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Lol very true, couple hours of mess to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 The silence around here is deafening Not even a WWA is garnering a peep from anyone but canderson. . I've been laying out my thoughts here and there pretty extensively the last couple days. Folks should def watch out for a several hour period of messy weather on the front end of this storm today if they're out and about. These sneaky ice events causing havoc on the roadways has been something this winter has done pretty effectively so far.. and I expect initial issues before it warms up later this after noon and tonight. The local PennDOT around here already put down pretreatment on the roads.. so that's a plus. I wouldn't sleep on the Tuesday clipper that continues to be on all the computer models and delivers a statewide light (to perhaps moderate in places) snowfall across the state. I mean it is okay to discuss this guys haha. We're not talking a triple phaser at 210 hours or something. This is a northern branch wave inside 84 hours now.. with one hell of a cold shot behind it. We can probably uncancel winter for this coming week. The cold in place prior would promise a high ratio event so it would only take a 2 or 3 tenths to put an advisory swath across a good part of PA. If the wave digs and is potent enough, this can maintain across the Sus Valley too. Might only be a couple inches.. but gotta start somewhere don't you? Like I mentioned in my previous post, the track will prove to be important. If it doesn't dive enough and cuts more into NY, then snows might only get into western PA and not get off the mountains. Through or just under PA would help to maintain the swath all the way across. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 If the clipper were to happen as modelled on the 6z GFS, then it might not be a bad little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Looks like precip moving in to the Harrisburg area now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 The sleet is deafening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Sleet in east york Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Sleet in good ol' Lancaster. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 It can snow this winter! Sleet changed to snow here in Palmyra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Snow/Sleet mix has transitioned to a heavy sleet here. Roads are white from the sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 sleet n snow mix in Akron. Looking forward to getting clipped next week and at least getting colder. Hoping the trends 240+ are real this time and that we can at least have chances. Enjoy all. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 There's waayyyy more than a trace of freezing rain here in pgh....I can't even walk 2 steps on my flat driveway....you guys getting it now in CPA?.....accidents are everywhere and police are warning people to stay home until afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 believe it or not....HEAVY SNOW right now with sleet mixed in. Literally golfball size flakes for a couple minutes. took pics for proof, but will try to upload.... and no I'm not drinking. if even only for a short time, its nice to see again...lifted my spirits. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 3, 2015 Author Share Posted January 3, 2015 There's waayyyy more than a trace of freezing rain here in pgh....I can't even walk 2 steps on my flat driveway....you guys getting it now in CPA?.....accidents are everywhere and police are warning people to stay home until afternoon. The ice threat will be minimal east of Altoona/state college with the weak cold air damming. Temps aloft west of the mountains warmed quickly this morning so the light precip looks to have made things very icy across western pa. We will be lucky to stay mostly snow/sleet before the changeover to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 And................... its over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Mostly rain/ drizzle with a mangled sleet pellet. Temp 33.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Some light snow, but it didn't take long to cover the roadways. Was 23 here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
var126 Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 pouring sleet here at the Lewisburg bridge. the geese are po'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Roads have some spotty bad areas in eastern York hills. 462 wasn't letting traffic thru west of wrightsville and some back roads are dicey too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Temps warmed fast...quick 5 minutes of sleet now over to plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0008NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0859 AM CST SAT JAN 03 2015AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF PA AND WRN NYCONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATIONVALID 031459Z - 031900ZSUMMARY...PTYPE TRANSITION FROM SNOW/SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN/RAINWILL OCCUR WITHIN A SWATH OF WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATEPRECIPITATION. ICE ACCRETION RATES OF .03-.06 IN/HR ARELIKELY...WITH THE GREATEST LONGEVITY OF FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED FROMPARTS OF CNTRL PA TO SWRN NY.DISCUSSION...TIME-SERIES OF REGIONAL VWP DATA DEPICT STRENGTHENINGLOW-LEVEL S/SWLYS WITH ENLARGED CYCLONIC HODOGRAPHS INDICATIVE OFROBUST WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT. BROAD SWATH OF MIXED PRECIPITATIONSHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS/EXPAND NEWD ACROSS THE NRN APPALACHIANSINTO EARLY AFTERNOON. 12Z PIT/IAD RAOBS SAMPLED AN ABOVE-FREEZINGWARM NOSE SATURATED TO 3-4 DEG C BETWEEN 850-800 MB. FORECASTSOUNDINGS AND RAP/NAM/SREF PTYPE GUIDANCE ALL SUGGEST THAT PTYPEWILL BE TRANSITORY WITHIN SUCH A STRONG WAA REGIME. GIVEN OBSERVEDSURFACE TEMPERATURES FROM 25-30 DEG F...INITIAL LIGHT SLEET/SNOWSHOULD CHANGE OVER TO PREDOMINANT FREEZING RAIN BEFORE BECOMING RAINAS TEMPERATURES DIABATICALLY WARM AOA 32 DEG F. MULTIPLE HOURS OFICE ACCRETION APPEARS MOST PROBABLE FROM CNTRL PA TO SWRN NY INTOEARLY AFTERNOON...GRAMS.. 01/03/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Snowing at a good clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Have had it all, a little snow, a little rain, now sleeting harder than it has all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Looks like a good day to stay at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Sleet and freezing rain north of Myerstown in Lebanon County. Temperature hovering at 31 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Sleet/snow mix with a coating on all surfaces. Temp 31 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 29 and freezing rain. Icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Thanks, MAG for your earlier review. I really wasn't referring to you when I made my earlier comment. You and Millville have been chiming in fairly regularly. But, nobody else was posting. I really enjoy your in-depth reviews particularly your middle of the night take on the nighttime Euro, so many thanks! When I got up this morning (late) I looked outside and initially thought it had snowed since nearly everything looked white. However, when I got a closer look it turned out to have been nearly all sleet. I'd say I picked up at least several tenths of an inch. There was a lull around 10:30 and when it started back up again it was light freezing rain with a temp of 31. The temp reached 32.0 around noontime, but then leveled off and practically didn't budge. Late this afternoon, after 5:00pm it was still only 32.9 degrees which was my high for the day. A fair amount of the sleet had not yet even melted. So it looks like we drop below 32 tomorrow evening and then remain below freezing all day and night straight through next Saturday. That seems impressive to me. I'm hoping for a few inches of snow on Tuesday morning. Looks like we can pick up one to two inches around here in the LSV. Then the arctic onslaught commences. So, some action picking up around here worthy of discussing during the next few days. I'm looking forward to seeing the board pick back up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I hope they find the kid's body tomorrow cause ice starts building in the Susky Monday I'd guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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