CT Valley Snowman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 if we keep laying down this white carpet to our west and north, eventually one of these storms is not going to be able to attack the cold high pressure and snow pack as the seasonal jet continues to shift southward and the baroclinic zone sets up more favorably along the coast, as long as we stay away from some of the dreaded teleconnections we are going to start delivering in December. I'm not a professionally trained meteorologist but a self-taught weather hobbyist so correct me if my reasoning is wrong. I understand that there can always be cutters regardless of the time of year. I guess a good question to ask is holding all things equal if it were the middle of January and we had the same exact teleconnections and indices that we have right now and the same maps what would the results of the storm be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Was that built in 2010? Lol, There is a rafter with a noose tied to it and a tub in there with a toaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Beginning to wonder if that WF makes it through BOS for more than an hour..if at all. Has that look where MQE is ripping srly for two hours prior to any fropa at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 I know this is not the December thread but are signals looking like a mild start and then serious cool down in the middle of the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 -SN, 30.4°F, All for not later though..... 20141117_075210.jpeg Nice niagras... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Beginning to wonder if that WF makes it through BOS for more than an hour..if at all. Has that look where MQE is ripping srly for two hours prior to any fropa at BOS. Yeah it's going to struggle. I think the Euro is way too bullish on warm fropa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Nice niagras... Thanks, I have 59 of them and those are the smaller ones............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 The HRRR/RAP keep the warm front fairly far south compared to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 The HRRR/RAP keep the warm front fairly far south compared to the Euro. That meso low made me think twice yesterday. Maybe it bounces up for an hour or so..but can't see it getting any farther than the terminal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 That meso low made me think twice yesterday. Maybe it bounces up for an hour or so..but can't see it getting any farther than the terminal. Yeah it's a weird looking feature. We'll see how this plays out - I'm interested to see what transpires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 -SN, 30.4°F, All for not later though..... 20141117_075210.jpeg Lawn outside the AUG office looked about like that (minus the furniture) before precip changed to liquid an hour or so ago. Just another Novie tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Yeah it's a weird looking feature. We'll see how this plays out - I'm interested to see what transpires.HRRR keeps the heavy wind rains offshore too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 HRRR keeps the heavy wind rains offshore too Yeah the GFS is now more more meh after being the most bullish. The LLJ stays east of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Always happens. Everything shifts east the last 24 hours. Warm sector into CT cancelled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Lawn outside the AUG office looked about like that (minus the furniture) before precip changed to liquid an hour or so ago. Just another Novie tease. Yeah, I measure 0.5" before the changeover, Just add it to the total for this month so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 honestly I can't say I'm completely surprised, how many times have we seen the models start off too far east and then correct back too far to the west. 37 here and not budging much at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Cold cold rain. Seasons in seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 HYA with a north wind now in response to that low. In the winter, we'd be elated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 nasty here, 42 and on and off rains continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Rain's picked up after a couple hours hiatus of mostly drizzle. Will be saying 'farewell' to sub-freezing temps shortly. Come back again soon! 31.5/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 HYA with a north wind now in response to that low. In the winter, we'd be elated. Pretty cool mesolow...ACK ripping south gusting to 26 knots with a 59/55 temp reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 32°F and rain here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 HYA with a north wind now in response to that low. In the winter, we'd be elated.My pack worries would be negated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Berkshires/Pioneer Valley get a bit lucky with that remnant LES plume tomorrow around daybreak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Ironically, KACK may see OE rain and snow showers on a WSW wind. Where is James Nichols? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 32°F and rain here now I'm at 32F now, too, and keep going back between rain and snow every 30 seconds. We're done accumulating to say the least, 1.4". Pennies and nickels adding up to 4" this month so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Pretty cool mesolow...ACK ripping south gusting to 26 knots with a 59/55 temp reading.if you look back at the last 5 days of various GFS and new GFS runs you see those dual lows driving the front south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Ironically, KACK may see OE rain and snow showers on a WSW wind. Where is James Nichols? BID too maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 You guys think KBUF will melt all their snow next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 BID too maybe? Yeah could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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