wxjim207 Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I will be in the woods on Saturday for opening of deer season. Snow would be nice for tracking but not likely going to happen. haha Windy may help in keeping the deer moving. I haven't been in the woods for deer season in 5 years. I had been at school during this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 12z ECMWF ensembles does look better further north then the op with the trough, Sharper like has been mentioned with more of a Neg tilt and has precip further west at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 11/4/55. I remember several inches of snow fell. This was NYC/NJ/LI. 4 inches fell in my area on 11/2/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 11/3/1879 blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Definitely sharper and further SW at 500mb when comparing the 00z EC ensembles to the 12z EC ensemble. One would think first flakes is a pretty good bet at least for the weekend in some spots.the spread is still SW, have to wonder if we end up halfway between the insane cutoff over the MA from the other day and the Eastern Canada look yesterday. That's a big negative deviation Vortmax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I will be in the woods on Saturday for opening of deer season. Snow would be nice for tracking but not likely going to happen. haha Windy may help in keeping the deer moving. I haven't been in the woods for deer season in 5 years. I had been at school during this season. Same here saturday, But i will be further to the NW so could see some flakes, But better sharpen the eyesight as if its that windy, You won't here them, But they wont here you either.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 4 inches fell in my area on 11/2/12 Both of those winters back end loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I will be in the woods on Saturday for opening of deer season. Snow would be nice for tracking but not likely going to happen. haha Windy may help in keeping the deer moving. I haven't been in the woods for deer season in 5 years. I had been at school during this season.windy is always good noise and scent wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 4 inches fell in my area on 11/2/12 No, it was 11/7/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 12z ECMWF ensembles does look better further north then the op with the trough, Sharper like has been mentioned with more of a Neg tilt and has precip further west at the surface The sfc low develops on the baroclinic zone well offshore with a weaker vortmax...consolidating all of that will be a tough task. However, if one is looking for accumulating snows this early, you definitely want to see a deep ULL which is showing up on just about all guidance...so at least that ingredient is there. We'll see if the placement cooporates as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Same here saturday, But i will be further to the NW so could see some flakes, But better sharpen the eyesight as if its that windy, You won't here them, But they wont here you either.................. Yeah I am hanging around southern areas. Best of luck to ya! I am excited to get back in the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 The sfc low develops on the baroclinic zone well offshore with a weaker vortmax...consolidating all of that will be a tough task. However, if one is looking for accumulating snows this early, you definitely want to see a deep ULL which is showing up on just about all guidance...so at least that ingredient is there. We'll see if the placement cooporates as we get closer. that deep a ULL itself while not assuring synoptic snow certainly offers the chance of squalls and wintry appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Moved the snow climo talk of God's Country to the New England snow climo thread. Storm threads should try to stay on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Moved the snow climo talk of God's Country to the New England snow climo thread. Storm threads should try to stay on topic. Apologies. I agree with Ginx the ULL would at the least bring widespread snow showers and instability stuff. Flakes a good bet most places in the interior. Maybe coast too but didn't look into those temp profiles much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Apologies. I agree with Ginx the ULL would at the least bring widespread snow showers and instability stuff. Flakes a good bet most places in the interior. Maybe coast too but didn't look into those temp profiles much.working outside so haven't seen much but is the upslope Sig still there on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Gawker is already writing about it http://thevane.gawker.com/there-may-or-may-not-be-a-snowstorm-in-the-northeast-th-1651362494/+laceydonohue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Oh my Euro Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Gawker is already writing about it http://thevane.gawker.com/there-may-or-may-not-be-a-snowstorm-in-the-northeast-th-1651362494/+laceydonohue What a drawn-out way to say "we don't know yet". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 What a drawn-out way to say "we don't know yet".He presented a good way to look at it but his failure to mention Rocktober is glaring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Knowing nothing will probably come of this here I still feel compelled to take apart the snow blower carburetor to adjust for whatever little leak I have. Hopefully just the float in the bowl is stuck. Small engine repair for the mechanically challenged is always good learning. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Finally got a good look at Euro Ens, wow and similar spread SW again. Would be awesome if this emerged over the Delmarva at 522. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Knowing nothing will probably come of this here I still feel compelled to take apart the snow blower carburetor to adjust for whatever little leak I have. Hopefully just the float in the bowl is stuck. Small engine repair for the mechanically challenged is always good learning. lolLol, ran mine today, greased and ready for someday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Lol, ran mine today, greased and ready for someday . Started right up, just a wee leak I'm not thrilled with. 20yr old Simplicity. Built like a tank so I really don't want to spring for a new one yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Knowing nothing will probably come of this here I still feel compelled to take apart the snow blower carburetor to adjust for whatever little leak I have. Hopefully just the float in the bowl is stuck. Small engine repair for the mechanically challenged is always good learning. lol Lol, ran mine today, greased and ready for someday . Sears is coming over tomorrow to give my craftsman a tune-up (and a new tire). I will have cursed the storm by having done so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 No, it was 11/7/12 Yeah, just a week after Sandy, Mike Seidel was back in Point Pleasant Beach NJ covering a snowstorm. I'll never forget watching that on TWC... but parts of CT also did quite well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Yeah, just a week after Sandy, Mike Seidel was back in Point Pleasant Beach NJ covering a snowstorm. I'll never forget watching that on TWC... but parts of CT also did quite well. 11.7.12_snow.png Where's my qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Looks like 18z is going back to something closer to 6z. Shows you the volatility. Still flakes in the air at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Looks like 18z is going back to something closer to 6z. Shows you the volatility. Still flakes in the air at the very least. I was thinking the same thing--could be a bit of a coating for some areas though if it played out like it's showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Yeah I am hanging around southern areas. Best of luck to ya! I am excited to get back in the woods. You to, Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 nice snow for down east but otherwise a disjointed mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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