Wmsptwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 My dad says over 5 for sure in SE Lycoming county and that roads are horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Snow isn't really that intense at the moment. Big flakes though. Looking at radar, you'd think it was snowing hard. Currently 4.4" Yeah, I was being generous earlier calling it SN+... visibilities might have actually been closer to 1/2 mile, but the big flakes made it seem heavier than it was. Still, we had almost 1" per hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 LOCATIONS...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY...AND WESTERN POCONOS.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW.* TIMING...SNOW OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL OCCUR FOR MUCH OF THIS AFTERNOON...INTO THIS EVENING. SLOW MOVING BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL FORM WITHIN THIS LARGER AREA OF STEADY SNOW. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE THIS EVENING WITH JUST SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS REMAINING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS. wow. I like the chances for a lot to get several more inches that seems to be over kill. Another 8-12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What's that precip coming from the west? http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/radimg/anim_nerc.gif Wmsptwx haven't been out in over an hour so he is probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What's that precip coming from the west? http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/radimg/anim_nerc.gif The kicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What's that precip coming from the west? http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/radimg/anim_nerc.gif That's the kicker system I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wait, i'm confused. Is that a new warning? So some areas can expect that much more snow? No way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah, I was being generous earlier calling it SN+... visibilities might have actually been closer to 1/2 mile, but the big flakes made it seem heavier than it was. Still, we had almost 1" per hour rates. That's how it's been down here, pretty good visibilities.. but snows been piling up with the big fluffy aggregated flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 So, how much longer can we expect steady, accumulating snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah, I was being generous earlier calling it SN+... visibilities might have actually been closer to 1/2 mile, but the big flakes made it seem heavier than it was. Still, we had almost 1" per hour rates. Yeah, the greater fall speed of the aggregates is definitely helping out the snowfall rates, even if visibility isn't as low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 State College (Waupelani): 5.1" on top of my car (0.3" in the past half hour) SN (estimating visibilities ~1/2 to 3/4 mile) Car stuck on road behind my apt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'd guess 6pm shutoff for State College, 8 Williamsport and 10 to Midnight LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wait, i'm confused. Is that a new warning? So some areas can expect that much more snow? No way I doubt it. Actually i'm kinda surprised that they lumped our area back here (Altoona) with the Sus Valley when you guys have already had the 8-12 inches..and even more than that in places. Any notable additional snowfall is going to send totals into more of a 12-18 range for the lower Sus Valley. This is probably why LWX tried a two tiered approach near the DC area, with the warning going out at 3pm during the lull and an advisory picking up the additional snow coming this evening starting at 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 hmm... CTP really bullish on deform but should we be worried that RAP seems to really be pulling back on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Radar looks to be fading some. Are we in line to see snow from that blob in VA? or is it for the eastern crew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 So, how much longer can we expect steady, accumulating snows? CTP seems to be expecting 3-5" more based on their map which has us in 8-10" now and recently upgrading us to a warning... looking at radar I don't see that stuff in VA affecting us much but we should at least be under light-moderate for several more hours from this current band. I'd guess we end right around 7-8" at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Radar looks juicy down south again. My goodness might be fun night again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 34.0 / 30.0. Winds have died back a tad averaging less than 10mph. Pressure 29.44" and still falling rapidly at 0.063" / hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That map looks bizarre lol. I'd think UNV and IPT end up with similar totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Out shoveling the better part of the afternoon. So where does everything come together for round two? I-99, I-81, or I-95? Looking at the radar at the moment, the trajectory of the motion in Virginia along with the pivoting band in State College leads me to believe I-81 might be a good spot, but....I've been hearing that what's in Virginia goes more northeast up I-95. Mag or any others? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 NAM sim radar at 0z: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=006ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_006_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The 18z RAP showing the snow cutting off here in State College at 10 PM. The point and click for State College is now 5-11" The CTP snowfall map shows 8-10" RAP still shows another 3" or so, though, between 3PM and the end, which would put us just at 8". And given the way this band has set up, I could believe another 3" over the next six hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Looks like a nice band coming from the East heading right for UNV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Idk voyager I think it looks to be headed on a trajectory toward C and EPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That heavy stuff to the south looks to be meeting up with the old band and things might go to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 RAP still shows another 3" or so, though, between 3PM and the end, which would put us just at 8". And given the way this band has set up, I could believe another 3" over the next six hours. Here's hoping - either way, we've done much better than we've had with these setups in the past few years. Hopefully a sign of things to come in the future. Btw, you mentioned the warmup earlier - Walker is now at 27.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mupawxnut Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Is anyone concerned about the potential for an ice storm in parts of the LSV? I am, especially if we don't cool quick enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Here's hoping - either way, we've done much better than we've had with these setups in the past few years. Hopefully a sign of things to come in the future. Btw, you mentioned the warmup earlier - Walker is now at 27.3 Yeah, whatever happens the rest of the day, today has been quite the good day for us! I had forecast 7" yesterday, but that was with some definite weeniism included. I wasn't actually expecting it! And ya, quite the "warm" day out there! Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Idk voyager I think it looks to be headed on a trajectory toward C and EPA. That's what I'm wondering. With the band potentially collapsing eastward, and the ULL moving NNE, where is the best place for the best action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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