CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'm just giving Ginxy crap, but anyone south of the borders of VT and NH probably need to worry more about ptype instead of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'm just giving Ginxy crap, but anyone south of the borders of VT and NH probably need to worry more about ptype instead of QPF. I'll gladly worry about precip type. Just no more CJs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Well Harv's bud Cohen now probably has his answer on what a split signal means. Snow cover extent can override snow cover growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Well Harv's bud Cohen now probably has his answer on what a split signal means. Snow cover extent can override snow cover growth. Well the AO has still averaged out positive this winter thus far...so the the snow cover growth is still "winning". But if February continues to the recent -AO pattern, then we could finish near neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I have friends in NNNE who would be more depressed as they don"t have a magic mountain in their back yard Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan1h Vermont having a bottom 10 snowy month of Jan. That turns arounds Saturday with 5"-10", widespread all in one day. FEBRUARY starts off sweet What is N.NNE? Like FVE and CAR? I hope we get 5-10" of SHSN on Saturday... but yeah, the Vermont having a bottom 10 snowy month in January was pretty evident early on. That shouldn't be a surprise to many. I think it turns around here for the second half of winter. Speaking of odd patterns though... coastalwx and the BOS area totals are higher than Mammoth Mountain at 10,000ft in the Sierra at the end of January. That's gotta be a first for so late in the season. Mods move if you think this gets off-topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 What is N.NNE? Like FVE and CAR? I hope we get 5-10" of SHSN on Saturday... but yeah, the Vermont having a bottom 10 snowy month in January was pretty evident early on. That shouldn't be a surprise to many. I think it turns around here for the second half of winter. Speaking of odd patterns though... coastalwx and the BOS area totals are higher than Mammoth Mountain at 10,000ft in the Sierra at the end of January. That's gotta be a first for so late in the season. Mods move if you think this gets off-topic. 1976-1977 had only 26" of snow at the end of January at Mammoth...BOS had them beat that year to that point with 41.4". Mammoth is pretty far south, their variance is higher than a few hundred miles further north like Tahoe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 1976-1977 had only 26" of snow at the end of January at Mammoth...BOS had them beat that year to that point with 41.4". Mammoth is pretty far south, their variance is higher than a few hundred miles further north like Tahoe. Mammoth can get a seasons of Boston snow in one storm and that how they do it usually, 3-5 foot dumpers with a bunch of 2-4 footers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'm just giving Ginxy crap, but anyone south of the borders of VT and NH probably need to worry more about ptype instead of QPF. for the 6th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'm just giving Ginxy crap, but anyone south of the borders of VT and NH probably need to worry more about ptype instead of QPF. for which event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 for the 6th? Yes. 5-6. Obviously the op runs are possible...but more often than not in this pattern you probably would care more about ptype, especially south of I-90. A long ways to go here. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 1976-1977 had only 26" of snow at the end of January at Mammoth...BOS had them beat that year to that point with 41.4". Mammoth is pretty far south, their variance is higher than a few hundred miles further north like Tahoe. Nice find so quickly. Man you are a beast with stats, lol. I would've bet money that hadn't happened before. But even so, Tahoe has been having a horrible year too...Alpine and Squaw have 12-18" snow depths right now from base to summit with like 15% of terrain open. That made me feel better about our January up here, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 GFS says what suppression? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Classic SWFE. Track right over the Cape. Another run, another solution...although I still lean to something like this give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Classic SWFE. Track right over the Cape. Another run, another solution...although I still lean to something like this give or take. Congrats Center Harbor this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Classic SWFE. Track right over the Cape. Another run, another solution...although I still lean to something like this give or take. Resembles many from 07/08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Ski areas look good on the GFS... me, naso much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 What is N.NNE? Like FVE and CAR? I hope we get 5-10" of SHSN on Saturday... but yeah, the Vermont having a bottom 10 snowy month in January was pretty evident early on. That shouldn't be a surprise to many. I think it turns around here for the second half of winter. Speaking of odd patterns though... coastalwx and the BOS area totals are higher than Mammoth Mountain at 10,000ft in the Sierra at the end of January. That's gotta be a first for so late in the season. Mods move if you think this gets off-topic. 1976-1977 had only 26" of snow at the end of January at Mammoth...BOS had them beat that year to that point with 41.4". Mammoth is pretty far south, their variance is higher than a few hundred miles further north like Tahoe. Mammoth averages about 300 a year I think. The base (where they measure) is about 8000 ft. I have skied there. I once left Los Angeles at a sunny 87F. Mammoth had an 11 foot base. I dropped a milk container in the snow to keep it cold and it fell into the crevasse that resulted from the pack separating from the building. It took awhile before I heard it hit bottom....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 GREATER LAKE TAHOE AREA-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH LAKE TAHOE...TRUCKEE... INCLINE VILLAGE 330 AM PST WED JAN 29 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... So it appears the drought/ridge is finally relenting some out there. How will that change affect us as it propagates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Going skiing 2/7-2/9, I hope they get crushed. Does the GFS have the ensemble-unsupported system on 2/3 that the Euro OP had? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Ski areas look good on the GFS... me, naso muchuh after 12-15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 uh after 12-15? Yeah he gets like 8-10 before ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 GEFS look like they want something on Monday. It looke like a mess with some members all over the place, but there is QPF on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Classic SWFE. Track right over the Cape. Another run, another solution...although I still lean to something like this give or take. N of pike ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Canadian is a juiced up nuke going just underneath us. GEFS have some spread with the mean off of ACK near the BM. Not all different from 06z, There is definitely some disagreement to early next week....although I'm not really buying into the Monday deal right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yeah he gets like 8-10 before ice. Classic you interpret it as 8-10 and Ginxy 12-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Classic you interpret it as 8-10 and Ginxy 12-15. Eh, at this stage going by climo and not verbatim is also smart. Either way, it's a lot. Canadian and GEFS are big hits for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I'll tell you one thing, 12-15" isn't happening in a swfe....period. Never go any heavier than 6-10" when the mid levels go west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Classic you interpret it as 8-10 and Ginxy 12-15. that's not that big a difference bro and within range, Dave is far North and elevated, lets see what the snow maps say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Eh, at this stage going by climo and not verbatim is also smart. Either way, it's a lot. Canadian and GEFS are big hits for many. Right....even closer in, models trying to drop over 1' in this situation are unfounded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 The Euro will suprise us all by sliding the PV east and giving the coast flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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