CarlislePaWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like it falls in line with the rest of the guidance. Off topic, has anyone heard from Zac? Well...at least for the moment the news isn't good regarding zak. There's nothing wrong with him that I am aware of. We chatted briefly 2 nights ago, and I asked him why he hasn't been around posting for the last few weeks. His reply was, "I don't go on that board anymore." He wouldn't elaborate any further with me other than adding that he considered it (his posting here) to be too time-consuming. I couldn't get him to tell me if his departure was due to a blow-up with any other board members. He seemed to indicate that it wasn't that. Personally, I miss his participation here very much! He's always been optimistic in whatever he posted and frequently instilled "hope" for upcoming events. I don't know if/when he will come back. I will try to work on him a bit to get him to reconsider. I'll keep you all posted if I have any other important info to share regarding Zak. ---Stephen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 crickets?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Damn...just will have to hope for cooler-than-expected temps Sunday and Monday. Would really suck to have the next round of the arctic blast hit without a snowpack. You guys should be a lot better than I'll be. It pretty much takes enough flounder to fart in the wrong direction for my temp to spike up to Saturn. The ridges will help interior areas to hold onto cold especially with snowcover unless there's a big WAA push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Just got back into town a little earlier. The 0z Euro seems to have a uniform 3 tenths or so across most of the state judging by the text data. Given expected above average snow ratios it should yield a general 3-5 inches. Really don't have too much to add attm about this storm. I like CTP's snow map and radar trends that would seem to eventually back it up. Northern PA looks to have the longest duration snowfall and thus highest totals while southern PA may get most of their advisory snowfall in a several hour period. Might have to watch for overachieving stripe of snows in the southern tier somewhere as well, there's a pretty impressive looking area of snow just south of Indy at this hour. All in all this thing should end up being your typical January winter storm for around here. What could become the bigger story, or I least what I feel is the bigger story.. is the impending cold coming after this weekend. European continues to drill an 850 airmass that is in excess of -30ºC right into PA. GFS in the -25ºC range but either way it is dangerously cold. European has 2m temps of -15ºF 12z Tuesday morning in western places like PIT, JST, AOO, and UNV. -5 in the Sus Valley. Locations in the west may never get anywhere near zero Tuesday, and I don't remember the last time that happened. Definitely could rival/exceed the last true frigid outbreak we had back in Jan 2009. If the Euros -30 to -35ºC 850 temps verify, we could be talking numbers that rival the Jan 94 outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Just check out how cold the GFS is for Tuesday... After a period of ice and snow late Monday, the 00z plunges the temp down to -14 in UNV and never gets above 0 throughout the day! That would be incredible 140105/2100Z 93 12005KT 26.0F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.019 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.02 0| 0|100140106/0000Z 96 13005KT 29.4F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.149 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.18|| 0.17 0| 0|100----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---140106/0300Z 99 23004KT 30.8F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.12|| 0.110 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 0.28 0| 0|100140106/0600Z 102 30007KT 30.5F SNOW 16:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.121 16:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 0.40 100| 0| 0140106/0900Z 105 31015KT 22.9F SNOW 20:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.027 16:1| 2.4|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 0.43 100| 0| 0140106/1200Z 108 30013KT 18.4F SNOW 10:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.029 15:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 0.45 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---140106/1500Z 111 29018KT 10.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 15:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 0.45 0| 0| 0140106/1800Z 114 28020KT 8.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 15:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.29|| 0.45 0| 0| 0140106/2100Z 117 28017KT 1.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140107/0000Z 120 27015KT -6.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---140107/0300Z 123 27013KT -10.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140107/0600Z 126 26012KT -13.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140107/0900Z 129 26012KT -14.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140107/1200Z 132 25012KT -12.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---140107/1500Z 135 26017KT -7.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140107/1800Z 138 27019KT -1.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140107/2100Z 141 27016KT -0.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140108/0000Z 144 28012KT -4.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---140108/0300Z 147 27008KT -5.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140108/0600Z 150 26006KT -5.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140108/0900Z 153 28005KT -5.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0140108/1200Z 156 29004KT -5.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like the GFS is agreeing with the Nam now. QPF looks about the same also. Wondering what the Euro showed- east,west,north, south? It appears it is some what like the other storm we had. 1-3 durning the day with heavier snow in the evening. Board is slow where is everyone at? Jmister not even looking forward to that kind of cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Same here pa watch that cold is awful. I think it's slow because its almost a lock for 2 to 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=PAZ046&warncounty=PAC081&firewxzone=PAZ046&local_place1=&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory#.UsVUfcu9KSM * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES TODAY AND ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTALS WILL BE 4 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING...THE PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. BLOWING SNOW WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES LATER TONIGHT. WIND CHILL READINGS FALLING TO 5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like the GFS is agreeing with the Nam now. QPF looks about the same also. Wondering what the Euro showed- east,west,north, south? It appears it is some what like the other storm we had. 1-3 durning the day with heavier snow in the evening. Board is slow where is everyone at? Jmister not even looking forward to that kind of cold. yep, look at that. .38 GFS and .39 NAM for me. anyone see anything different then a late evening start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 For the first time since 09 - 10, I am excited about a storm. Plunging temps and a moderate snowfall...what more could one ask for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 FYI Snow is starting around the greater Pittsburgh area and it is picking up in intensity rather quickly. A good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 FYI Snow is starting around the greater Pittsburgh area and it is picking up in intensity rather quickly. A good sign. Great to hear! Hopefully this is a whit surprise! Folks, if you have a smart phone, check out mPING. It's a great way to report / track the rain/snow line and the ground truth on reports. Citizen science at it's best! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Good luck PAers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Cutting my forecast from 4-8" to 2-5" based on 6z model trends. This almost always happens here; precip amounts drop and we wind up with less than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Good luck PAers! You too, neighborino! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 You too, neighborino! Thanks! Expecting 2", maybe 3" if rates are good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Thanks! Expecting 2", maybe 3" if rates are good enough. Enjoy your snow......My guess is 3-5" for my imediate area. I was going to say 2-4, but i'm feeling lucky! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Nice to see Eskimo Joe is excited! Hoping for 4". It will be tough, but one can hope. Should be a very wintery day tomorrow. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Nice to see Eskimo Joe is excited! Hoping for 4". It will be tough, but one can hope. Should be a very wintery day tomorrow. Bring it! it feels like its been awhile that i opened the door and get smacked by the stinging cold. Whatever it is, it is! i see a low of 4 maybe for Saturday. i hope my wife brings in more firewood today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Sauss...I checked out your fire department's website. Nice call volume. You get any structure fires around Christmas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Working. Hoping to finish my shift before it starts. Good luck CPA'ers. You too Mapgirl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Sauss...I checked out your fire department's website. Nice call volume. You get any structure fires around Christmas? I bet they got called to that restaurant fire out in Grantville. Those damn department sirens woke me up at 12:30 that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Sauss...I checked out your fire department's website. Nice call volume. You get any structure fires around Christmas? We had a house fire in our Township at 330 Christmas afternoon, went mutal aid to Perry County for a house fire 8pm Christmas night, went back the next day early for a rekindle (old log farm house) . Monday went to Dauphin county for a commercial Structure (2nd alarm) and Tuesday had a shed fire early am.. so yes, a couple. I posted some pics in the banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Working. Hoping to finish my shift before it starts. Good luck CPA'ers. You too Mapgirl! Me too. I'm headed home at the first sign of snow. Nothing worse than getting caught in the snow in a prius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Me too. I'm headed home at the first sign of snow. Nothing worse than getting caught in the snow in a prius. Wait, i thought is wasn't to start until later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Wait, i thought is wasn't to start until later I've seen anything from 3-8. I work until 430. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Im leaving work by 2:30 in Baltimore. The last time we had an advisory for 1 to 3 we got 7 in 3 hours. Was stuck on a back road and had to leavr the car until the next day. While I welcome a high bust, I dont want to drive in one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I've seen anything from 3-8. I work until 430. damn, when i looked earlier i thought it was like 8 or later. But what do i know. ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Im leaving work by 2:30 in Baltimore. The last time we had an advisory for 1 to 3 we got 7 in 3 hours. Was stuck on a back road and had to leavr the car until the next day. While I welcome a high bust, I dont want to drive in one. I'm watching radar too -- may not leave by 230, but at least by 4 depending on what its doing on 83. Thankfully when the Jan 2011 storm happened, we were still living in AA county, so I had to drive south, not north and didn't get stuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Me too. I'm headed home at the first sign of snow. Nothing worse than getting caught in the snow in a prius. My wife usually picks me up on State St here at the capitol. It is AMAZING during a storm or with snow on the ground the number of Prius' I see that spin out of control when turning from 2nd onto State or 3rd onto State. Like, seriously, I can count on one hand how many haven't skidding when making that turn. It's frightening ... and I love the Prius! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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