bluewave Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 Yesterday looks like only the 7th time that JFK made it to 85 degrees in October. But October 2007 still has the record of 90 degrees for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 Well, since YanksFan has been hugging the GFS so tight this week, it had no choice but to cry out more precip in response to the pain. (Morning Joke) Seriously though, we really need some rain up here. Lol, this run has the low east of us which we want. It's a shame though because there'll be some pretty good wind gusts to the east of the low due to the gradient between it and a 1030 high to the east We do need the rain though so nycsnow will have to forfeit this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 The Euro shears out the system to our south, but the remnant moisture streams north along the front next week. Even .50 would be welcome with the dry conditions around Long Island. North32America_msl_132.gif Looks like the shearing isn't as bad as the 12Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 NHC likes the GFS and GGEM Other images: 5-Day track on – 3-Day track on – 3-Day track off – Interactive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 Well, since YanksFan has been hugging the GFS so tight this week, it had no choice but to cry out more precip in response to the pain. (Morning Joke) Seriously though, we really need some rain up here. I'm begging for something to break this boring weather pattern that's all. Not mention we need the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 If you want to believe the 00z GGEM it should be pouring here on Tuesday morning... Parts of the NJ shore could see wind gusts to 30-40kts...nothing spectacular but something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 I think we can make a seperate thread now to discuss the impacts so I'm going to go ahead and pull the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 For the real heavy rain across more of the region, we want the front to make more progress and force Karen to track east of us. There should be enough moist flow to work with for a few inches of rain in the spots where it's steadiest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 I think we can make a seperate thread now to discuss the impacts so I'm going to go ahead and pull the trigger. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41328-tropical-storm-karin/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41328-tropical-storm-karin/ psst...its karen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 psst...its karen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 I thought you could edit a thread title by going back to the origional post and edititing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Wow what a hazy lazy summer day...exceeding expectations with full sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 12z NAM has some decent rainfall tonight Generally between 0.10" and 0.25", more the further NW you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Already 83...record high of 87 is probably safe though unless it stays sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Already 83...record high of 87 is probably safe though unless it stays sunny wow! 70 here, but we had a shower earlier...sun's back out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 12z NAM has some decent rainfall tonight Generally between 0.10" and 0.25", more the further NW you go. .25 would seem like a flood here...we've been desert dry going back to late June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 .25 would seem like a flood here...we've been desert dry going back to late June. The nam is essentially dry for tonight. GFS is fairly wet though .25" or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 You can really see how dry it has been on Long Island when you get out on the Parkways and notice the brown grass the last several months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 In the 80s again, feels like mid August with the higher dews. It looks to stay in the 80s until Sunday and then we cool off somewhat, though we'll likely warm right back up again for more 80s. The positive departures should be excessive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 In the 80s again, feels like mid August with the higher dews. It looks to stay in the 80s until Sunday and then we cool off somewhat, though we'll likely warm right back up again for more 80s. The positive departures should be excessive. The chance for more 80s becomes pretty slim by mid October. Maybe a max of 80F, but certainly not in the mid 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 The chance for more 80s becomes pretty slim by mid October. Maybe a max of 80F, but certainly not in the mid 80s. The ecm and gfs imply temps in the upper 70s to low 80s by middle end of next week. May see some of the warmer spots exceed the low 80s. We'll see ow much rain we get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 We thought wednesday would be the warmest day this week but it looks like today will be warmer in many spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 84/67 here already, if the sun stays out could see 85+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 what a torch today is turning out to be. ewr is 88, breaking the record of 87 from 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 TEB hit 89 between hours. LGA is also at their record high 85 for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 82/68 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Looks like LGA, EWR and ISP all set record highs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 The chance for more 80s becomes pretty slim by mid October. Maybe a max of 80F, but certainly not in the mid 80s. Euro and it's ensembles 100% have 80s next week and to be factual, a couple days look as hot or even hotter then today. The past 2 days, the NYC area has set RECORD highs. So this heat is not normal by any stretch. P.S. The euro ensembles keep this record heat around for as far as they run. Through day 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Western South Dakota getting absolutely crushed today with snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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