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About IntenseBlizzard2014

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    Carl-Gustaf Rossby is my idol.
  • Birthday 08/24/1991

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  • Location:
    South Bronx, NY

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  1. Maybe this our chance to take a well-deserved break?
  2. The QBO value is nearing the -5 to +5 range. The QBO value as of November 2019 is +5.07. Let's see if the QBO can go a little lower for December.
  3. It's probably the snow growth. It's not exactly impressive area-wide. Some people are getting huge snowflakes. Others are not.
  4. If there are disruptions on the stratospheric and tropospheric levels of the PV up north through late December, then there should be a window of opportunity through mid January into mid February.
  5. Yeah. I'd be cautious about this one for the coast. The primary low not transferring quick enough is one scenario that's glaringly bad for the coast. Another problem is dry-slotting.
  6. Yeah. I gotta admit, this winter looks like a rickety bridge because of this and the very warm IOD.
  7. I had a feeling it wasn't going to look good. The IOD doesn't look impressive for us. Nor does the NAO.
  8. I'd say that up to 74 is more likely. Even in a super warm month like October of 2007 didn't have highs near 90 in the second half of October.
  9. We really dodged a bullet. If Sub-Tropical Storm Melissa was 350 miles further west, we'd be talking about heavy rain and high winds with insane wave heights.
  10. Seriously though. The West Coast will chill out while the East will torch. The EURO says definitely to that.
  11. Yeah. The atmosphere requires constant instability for tropical activity. The dry air is also a major problem.
  12. Yeah. The next round of heat may max out in the low 90s, but nothing like a couple of weeks ago.