TWCCraig Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Radar estimates are showing nearly 5" of rain on the east end so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Was out on the boat when that came through,came out of nowhere. Probably gusted 40-50 mph as I sat under the Wantagh bridge. That was about as unstable a sounding that you are going to see over Long Island at 12z during September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Does look very nice this week with bluse skies and very dry. Thu - Sat (9/5-7) look like the coolest days then id think we warm towards normal Sun/mon (9/8-9/9)before getting some more above normal temps by next tue/wed (9/10-11). Beyond there the gfs and ecm imply higher heights with ridging into the east coast and that shuld allow for more above normal and potential for late season heat somehwere between 9/11 and 9/15 or so.... The CFS is sniffing out 78F-82F as the highest temps for the Tri-State Area from September 11th-19th, which is slightly above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 I've been out east all morning. Drove through all the storms on my way to Montauk.The severe warned storm had hail, 50+ mph winds and insane CTG lightning.Have been in torrential rain for a couple hours. Easily 3"+ of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Does anyone know where you can get the GEFS individual runs from (not spaghetti) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Does anyone know where you can get the GEFS individual runs from (not spaghetti) http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGT_12z/f168.html (Home page of ewall bottom) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 You know things are going to be dry when an entire 384hr GFS run has totals of less than 0.50" for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGT_12z/f168.html (Home page of ewall bottom) thx, I forgot it had it =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 The CFS is sniffing out 78F-82F as the highest temps for the Tri-State Area from September 11th-19th, which is slightly above average. I would agree with that. Outside of the usual hot spots don't think anyone goes above that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 The first of the season: .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMINGMOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 The first of the season: .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. Lower 50s here in Manhattan. Morning run on Friday AM is going to be SOLID. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 The first of the season: .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. Currently 69.7/54 here.. Have dropped into the upper 40's a few times already up this way hopefully we can break 40 on thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 The first of the season: .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. Yup, I've got a forecasted low of 49F in Dobbs Ferry for Thursday. Should feel amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Yup, I've got a forecasted low of 49F in Dobbs Ferry for Thursday. Should feel amazing. i thought you moved to new hampshire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 The 18z NAM is hinting at possible upper 30s in some of the better radiating locations like Western New Jersey Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 18z GFS is pretty chilly too... 37F for a low in MGJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 We might struggle to reach 70 for a high on Friday. 850mb temps don't warm up very much by the afternoon. But with no -NAO block in sight, I don't think we are locking any major cool patterns yet. The Euro ensembles forecast the MJO to collapse and the CFSv2 is trending warmer for later in the month: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 Nice and cool Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 We might struggle to reach 70 for a high on Friday. 850mb temps don't warm up very much by the afternoon. But with no -NAO block in sight, I don't think we are locking any major cool patterns yet. The Euro ensembles forecast the MJO to collapse and the CFSv2 is trending warmer for later in the month: Typhoon Tip in another thread was mentioning that a +AO now lag correlates very nicely to a -AO in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 Picture perfect day today.. wish it could stay like this until mid October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 Picture perfect day today.. wish it could stay like this until mid May Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 Picture perfect day today.. wish it could stay like this until mid October Indeed a truly great day. These days are very theraputic. We have had several days like this the last few seasons. Too bda it wasnt on the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 We might struggle to reach 70 for a high on Friday. 850mb temps don't warm up very much by the afternoon. But with no -NAO block in sight, I don't think we are locking any major cool patterns yet.Just give us the same weather a week from Saturday (24 hour food and water fast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 Fridays record low is in the upper 40's for NYC...Sunday's is 54...So the cool shot coming up would be significant if it was 55 or lower in the city... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 Beautiful weather outside. Taste of fall coming! Looks like 40's for warlock Thursday night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 Beautiful weather outside. Taste of fall coming! Looks like 40's for warlock Thursday night! Warlock, myself and others will get well down into the 40s Thursday Night in Somerset County. Highs near 70 on Friday. Looks like a gorgeous first taste of autumn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 18z GFS/NAM still drop NW areas into the upper 30's on Thurs night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 80.3/58 was today's high/low split here. Amazing weather. Should have my first 40s tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 I am thinking Friday night into Saturday will be the cooler night for out here. Winds don't look like they'll go calm tomorrow night and a north wind off the sound is going to keep temperatures up. Friday night, the NAM has the winds going calm, allowing for radiational cooling to take over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 5, 2013 Share Posted September 5, 2013 Great night to have the windows open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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