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Feb 8-9th Blizzard Thread


dryslot

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NAM/Euro combo argue for 20" easily for the eastern 2/3 of CT with 12"+ west 1/2...while GFS is more of a 12-16" deal east and probably 8-12" west. I guess that's as close to consensus as we're getting. Enjoy the storm all!

 

BTW...would love to know who my town consults with for forecasts. Just got the call from the first selectman...they've been pushing 70 mph gusts since yesterday...we shouldn't come anywhere close to that. They're also at the extreme end with snowfall of 24"+. Thinking maybe they just find the weeniest forecast they can and go with it.

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Holy EURO! two feet plus for all :snowing:  :snowing: :snowing:

 

This system has shown us that while the EURO may not be the best for small stuff, but when the BIG ONE is on the way, nothing beats the EURO. What is it, now nine straight runs of essentially the same solution on every run? What a coup for the EURO...

 

-skisheep 

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MCD for us...awesome read!!!

 

 

SUMMARY...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NWD FROM NRN NJ AND SERN NY   THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND. SNOWFALL INTENSITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE   THROUGH THE DAY WITH RATES APPROACHING 1 INCH PER HOUR BY LATE   AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. HEAVIEST RATES /2+ INCH PER HOUR/ ARE   EXPECTED TO EVOLVE DURING THE EVENING.      DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON A DEEP SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED   JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD FROM   THE LOW INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS   DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A VORT MAX NEAR THE CNTRL VA COAST AND   WITHIN A COUPLED UPPER JET STRUCTURE. AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF   PRECIPITATION IS IN PROGRESS FROM NJ INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND WITHIN   ZONE OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT NORTH OF WARM FRONT. SNOW RATES WITHIN   THIS AREA SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN AOB 0.5 INCH PER HOUR THROUGH MID   AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN OVER LONG ISLAND   SHOULD TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE EVENING AS THE WARM NOSE AOB   850 MB BEGINS TO COOL WITH THE ONSET OF COLD ADVECTION NW OF THE LOW   CENTER.      LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES A ZONE OF STRONG 850-700 MB   FRONTOGENETIC FORCING WITHIN DEFORMATION AXIS JUST NE OF THE LOW   CENTER OFF THE SRN NJ COAST. THIS ZONE OF STRONG FORCING AND MID   LEVEL ASCENT WILL DEVELOP NWD THROUGH TODAY AS THE LEAD IMPULSE   INTERACTS WITH UPSTREAM TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND EJECTS   TOWARD SRN NEW ENGLAND. THEREFORE...SNOWFALL RATES WILL UNDERGO A   SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE FROM NRN NJ INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY   EVENING AS ZONE OF ASCENT DEVELOPS NWD AND DEEPENS THROUGH THE   DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER. THE SNOW SHOULD EVENTUALLY DEVELOP BANDED   STRUCTURES THIS EVENING WITHIN THE NWD DEVELOPING FRONTOGENETIC   ZONE...AND THERE IS ALSO SOME INDICATION THAT THERE COULD BE SOME   SLANTWISE CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT WITHIN THE BANDS.

 

Been waiting for that the last couple hours. Nothing beats a Heavy snowfall MCD! Game on!

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A run or two ago it had the height of impact overnight into the morning with a stalled low SE or SSE of the Cape.  Where it stalled for a couple/several hours.  The last two runs have moved that what is now a significant amount NE.  Luckily the intensity of what happens the first half of tonight makes up for later.

 

But it's fairly significant as DT mentioned, it was where it stalls that makes or breaks the legendary status.

Yep.

Please keep your updates coming regarding the stall and where (if) it will happen. The loop the Blizz of 78 did was what made it such an incredible 36 hour storm (love long duration). Thanks!

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BTW - 

 

 

For me in N. Cumberland, RI  (Uncompacted Totals of Course)  
 
Feb. 5-7, 1978 - 50" 1st Place
Feb. 22-28, 1969 - 36" 2nd Place  
Mar. - Ap. 1, 1997 - 30" 3rd Place
Jan. 22-23, 2005 - 27" 4th Place
March 3-5, 1960 - 24" 5th Place
Dec. 11-12, 1992 - 24" 6th Place
Jan. 6-8, 1996 - 24" 6th Place
Feb. 8-10, 1969 - 24" 6th Place     
 
February 1969 For The Win btw.  
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