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Everything posted by RobertSul

  1. RobertSul

    2019 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Thread

    00z Nam is maxing out the precipitable water values in Western Ontario, with 2.5+ stretching back to Detroit. Could this be close to a record for the region?
  2. RobertSul

    June 2019 General Discussion

    GFS is having a bad time.
  3. RobertSul

    April 2019 Discussion II

    If I recall correctly, Oklahoma has had 1 and Kansas hasn’t recorded a single tornado yet this year.
  4. RobertSul

    April 14-15 Snow Potential

    This was one week before I moved to Michigan - upset that I missed it!
  5. RobertSul

    March 13th-14th Severe Weather

    I'm starting to wonder whether there should be a separate indicator for EF2+ tornados, since there's already one for 65+ knot winds and 2"+ hail.
  6. RobertSul

    February 23-25th Winter Storm

    Wow, that's insane. Be careful out there man!!
  7. RobertSul

    February 2019 Discussion

    Huh, I haven’t seen anything about hurricane force winds...
  8. RobertSul

    February 2019 Discussion

    Hurricane force winds?? When?
  9. RobertSul

    February 23-25th Winter Storm

    Winter Storm Watches for west and central lower Michigan. Was surprised by the issuance of the watch itself, but then especially by the condition of "Up to 3"" of snow, which would usually warrant a winter weather advisory if any headline at all. The very strong winds/near whiteout conditions are probably the deciding factors here. ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...High winds are forecasted to combine with occasional snow and falling temperatures to potentially lead to widespread impacts for the area. Westerly winds could gust over 60 mph. Blowing snow could potentially lead to near whiteout conditions. Accumulations of up to 3 inches are possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west central Michigan. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through late Sunday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An increased risk for tree damage and widespread power outages exists with this storm. Plan on difficult travel due to poor visibilities...slick roads and high winds.
  10. RobertSul

    Winter Storm - February 11-13, 2019

    DTX issued a Winter Storm Watch for all its counties.
  11. RobertSul

    Hybrid Clipper Event 1/27-1/29

    4 - 8 inches sounds like a pretty good consensus to me?
  12. RobertSul

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Winter Storm Watches extending from Missouri to Maine, but nothing yet issued in the DTX area.
  13. RobertSul

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    24"+ for both storms combined or just for the 2nd big dog?
  14. RobertSul

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    All other things being equal, would a W-E trajectory be more beneficial for our area?
  15. RobertSul

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    I like the look of it! I don't think I've seen a model output with inconsistency between its hard numbers and the corresponding gradient shading - any particular reason for the examples above?
  16. RobertSul

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Those several 1-1.5" snow events favored areas to the east and north of my backyard, I distinctly remember seeing that on radar. There was one event where we got an inch, sure, but fussing over a half inch just really hits home how bad this winter has been locally, lol. EDIT: Meant for my original post to say much more than half an inch.
  17. RobertSul

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Don't shame me too hard for posting this, but found this little gem off Weather.com for my locale. Have yet to see anything over a half inch this season. If it completely covers the grass, I'll be a satisfied man! (Real low standards this year)
  18. RobertSul

    Winter Storm!? Jan 12-13th, 2019

    Man, I so hope you're right.
  19. RobertSul

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Yes but every other word would be misspelled.
  20. RobertSul

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    I hope so! I haven't seen anything over an inch so far this year, and even then it's melted by mid-afternoon. Starting to feel like Missouri in these parts (no offense to that part of the sub-forum).
  21. RobertSul

    December 2018 General Discussion

    I think the best weather place for you might be a hotel in Colorado.
  22. RobertSul

    Winter 2018 Discussion

    How often is it that every state in the CONUS, except one, has had at least a trace of snow before December?
  23. RobertSul

    Nov. 25th-26th Midwest Snowstorm Potential

    My deepest condolences.
  24. RobertSul

    November 2018 General Discussion

    Well if Detroit had 8 million people crammed into it, with an early snow storm occurring in mid-October by climatological comparisons, receiving 6+ inches when they were supposed to get 1 or 2, with the heaviest snow falling during the evening commute that catches /millions/ off guard, then I think there might be similar issues.
  25. RobertSul

    November 15-16 Storm Potential

    It’s interesting that from 1972 - 1980, it was almost an every other year occurrence to have 5”+ in November.