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January 21/22 Storm Obs/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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Not around here. That's over the Cape and then far NE MA.

The 18z 4km BTV WRF brings a decent looking band into W CT around 10 pm and hits us pretty good around 1am to 4am.  If that doesn't happen then we're probably stuck in the sucker hole at C-2"

 

The 4km NAM does something similar but gets the band organized a bit further east in C CT then pushes it through our area around 1am to 4am.

 

We'll see if they're onto something in the next 4 or 5 hours.  Otherwise we have to hope we're on the edge of some of the NORLUN stuff.

 

Meanwhile still nice light snow like we're in a snow globe.

 

Links for those interested.

 

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/4kmwrf/

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/comploop.html

 

You saw OKX recording a 50:1 ratio (lolz) that's kinda extreme but if we get in some good lift we could easily get a couple quick inches.

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Isn't the heaviest not supposed to be like after midnight through the morning rush hour?  18z NAM had the best snow from like 7am-12pm, no?

 

That's still like 12 hours away, lol.

 

 

Not around here. That's over the Cape and then far NE MA.

 

Not saying it is correct, but taking the 22z RAP verbatim, the best stuff for much of eastern SNE including Boston develops around 6-7z tnite and continues through 10-11z...

That is progression of the stuff currently over PA.

 

 

The 2 bands that give the qpf maxes also develop over extreme NE MA and the Cape 10z-15z.

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The 18z 4km BTV WRF brings a decent looking band into W CT around 10 pm and hits us pretty good around 1am to 4am.  If that doesn't happen then we're probably stuck in the sucker hole at C-2"

 

The 4km NAM does something similar but gets the band organized a bit further east in C CT then pushes it through our area around 1am to 4am.

 

We'll see if they're onto something in the next 4 or 5 hours.  Otherwise we have to hope we're on the edge of some of the NORLUN stuff.

 

Meanwhile still nice light snow like we're in a snow globe.

 

The band your talking about here should pass through pretty quick though, right?

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It's time to pull back . With an inch so far and radar looking not so hot.. The 1-3 calls will end up good. It doesn't look like anything to our west wants to develop much more . Those that went a bit lower look to have been more right

 

Yeah just sort of meh for us. Better down in New London County, Rhode Island, and SE Mass .

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