N. OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 alright weenie pickles has said his peace wrt to the upcoming pattern and sne cp climo. i'm done talking about it , time to focus on mon pm/eve event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 All I want is a near average winter. Now that seems impossible. It happens once every 20 years. One occurred at 1984-1985 and the second one at 2008-2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE072.gif looks like the rich get richer on the 18z nam, and the boston screw zone remains all powerful. That has to include snowfall that's already on the ground, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I don't see how anyone outside of caribou maintains pack. Overnight temps dews very high with a spectacular torch Wednesday. This years torches always get more impressive as we get close. Meanwhile, officially, BOS got 0.3 overnight and now is 1.3 away for obliterating 1936-37 and 1.6 from last year. Epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2013 Author Share Posted January 26, 2013 I don't see how anyone outside of caribou maintains pack. Overnight temps dews very high with a spectacular torch Wednesday. This years torches always get more impressive as we get close. Meanwhile, officially, BOS got 0.3 overnight and now is 1.3 away for obliterating 1936-37 and 1.6 from last year. Epic. I am sure you jest as these NNE spots with big numbers will not http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=GYX&product=HYD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 at the pattern ending with a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Would love to be able to pull something out of thin air on Friday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Pattern looks good for the NW MA weenies. ...all 5 or 6 of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 On the waterfront in Boston, f'n brutal with the wind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Would love to be able to pull something out of thin air on Friday... gfs looks like the old ggem scenarios. Front way offshore, system digs down and develops right around us. Seems like every model but the euro has had this at one time or another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2013 Author Share Posted January 26, 2013 gfs looks like the old ggem scenarios. Front way offshore, system digs down and develops right around us. Seems like every model but the euro has had this at one time or another Theres Rollos follow up wave, euro has it just further offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I don't see how anyone outside of caribou maintains pack. Overnight temps dews very high with a spectacular torch Wednesday. This years torches always get more impressive as we get close. Meanwhile, officially, BOS got 0.3 overnight and now is 1.3 away for obliterating 1936-37 and 1.6 from last year. Epic. I won't have snow left up here except for snowbanks (at least at village elevation) come Thursday afternoon. The higher spots deeper to the NE of here in NEVT and NNH/WME that have 10" or more to start with will probably still have some crusty inches left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2013 Author Share Posted January 26, 2013 I won't have snow left up here except for snowbanks (at least at village elevation) come Thursday afternoon. The higher spots deeper to the NE of here in NEVT and NNH/WME that have 10" or more to start with will probably still have some crusty inches left. You said that last time when we had a 5 day torch , yet you still had snow. How is a 24-36 hour period going to wipe you out especially when you add 3-6 Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Thankfully there's been solid 3 inch snowcover during this cold wave. While nice without snowcover..the pack really brightens the spirit of deep winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Theres Rollos follow up wave, euro has it just further offshore. Ginxy models all over the place with something in the 1/31 to 2/2 range. With the torch becoming more torcharrific it's shifting more to 1/1 ish. The gfs is always too fast with that type of diving energy...but we can't get any consistency run to run because it handles it differently very six hours. We will see how it rolls come later tonight into Sunday. I'd prefer the 18z gfs solution. That's what the ggem and jma have tried to do at various times as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 You said that last time when we had a 5 day torch , yet you still had snow. How is a 24-36 hour period going to wipe you out especially when you add 3-6 Monday? No I said that we'd keep it last time...lol. You said our fluff would evaporate, IIRC. I'll post a picture of my yard on Thursday to confirm. A rock hard 6.0" at the stake right now. During the last thaw we went from 15" to 5.5"...and that one didn't even really have any rain. I just think if some of these 1"+ QPF/rain models come true along with dews getting into the 40s... this stuff isn't going to stand a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I hope the things you've been pointing to as possible good signs are going to come to fruition man but it's just been frustrating so far. 26" at 1k in NW CT going into Feb? That's not good papa ginx Dude.....stop. 26" at this point in the year...is close to average...AND 1K in NWCT is not Mount Mansfield. As Will has told you, you average somewhere around 65". So you are probably about 5" below average to this point. And Uconn is average to above for snow for the winter. A good FEB and you are average to above average for the winter in both locations. Weenies think they 10-11 comes every year or something...Geez. Boston has right to complain but interior CT is average to in a lot of cases above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Dude.....stop. 26" at this point in the year...is close to average...AND 1K in NWCT is not Mount Mansfield. As Will has told you, you average somewhere around 65". So you are probably about 5" below average to this point. And Uconn is average to above for snow for the winter. A good FEB and you are average to above average for the winter in both locations. Weenies think they 10-11 comes every year or something...Geez. Boston has right to complain but interior CT is average to in a lot of cases above. Its probably just this month that's really seemed like its blown... my snowstake at 3,000ft saw only 40% of a short 5-year average this month, bringing us down to 80% of average to date (135" vs 168") after a semi-decent November/December. What I find interesting...clunkers seem to come in bunches...as we got more snow last Dec/Jan than this Dec/Jan combination. I wasn't sure it could get worse than last year with over 100 inches below normal, but unless something changes, we're on pace to give last year a run for its money, lol. While the actual inches of snowfall from town to mountain summit may not seem complain-worthy to some, as far as relative to normal goes, it has certainly not been anywhere near "snowy" up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Its probably just this month that's really seemed like its blown... my snowstake at 3,000ft saw only 40% of a short 5-year average this month, bringing us down to 80% of average to date (135" vs 168") after a semi-decent November/December. What I find interesting...clunkers seem to come in bunches...as we got more snow last Dec/Jan than this Dec/Jan combination. I wasn't sure it could get worse than last year with over 100 inches below normal, but unless something changes, we're on pace to give last year a run for its money, lol. While the actual inches of snowfall from town to mountain summit may not seem complain-worthy to some, as far as relative to normal goes, it has certainly not been anywhere near "snowy" up here. Yeah, it's true. January has been pretty terrible. Over half (14") of my 25" came from 12/26 to 12/29....so if you look at it that way I've had 11" for the year outside those two storms. It's hard to complain living where I live though. NNE has had it even worse. CON has less snow than ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Miller B for Friday???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Miller B for Friday???? Possible..Wish there was Euro ens support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Possible..Wish there was Euro ens support Meh. Euro had not been stellar in the the 3-5 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Euro has blown massive hairy balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 GFS FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Miller B for Friday???? I'll be both shocked and pissed if we don't have a winter weather event to track 1/31 - 2/2 Euro ens...blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 GFS FTW.Funny how we can't shake old habits though...still wait for the euro to roll in as though it's gospel. GFS definitely having a good run of late - maybe it's just the fast flow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Funny how we can't shake old habits though...still wait for the euro to roll in as though it's gospel. GFS definitely having a good run of late - maybe it's just the fast flow? I was thinking that. Euro still slightly tops the GFS at H5 in the NHEM scores, but there's been quite a few days when the GFS was the daily winner. Surprisingly, the Ukie comes in just ahead of the GFS in 2nd. It does seem the GFS has handled the details better than the EC though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2013 Author Share Posted January 27, 2013 Damn, took a major digger in the driveway stepping around my truck, ribs FTL. Surprised how much of last nights snow is around, full sun, not that cold, pure fluff although a lot did vaporize and some obviously melted and refroze into black ice on my driveway. Nice lump on my cage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Damn, took a major digger in the driveway stepping around my truck, ribs FTL. Surprised how much of last nights snow is around, full sun, not that cold, pure fluff although a lot did vaporize and some obviously melted and refroze into black ice on my driveway. Nice lump on my cage. That stinks. My son got a little carried away speading the CaCl3 in the driveway (he wanted to play basketball, but the recent flizzards made a mess). Not sure why he wanted to play basketball when it was in the teens. Anyway, we have calcium chloride everywhere. I also drove the old minivan a little today (got a new car 2 weeks ago) and hit the wipers. Blade I guess was frozen to the windshield and the wiper arm snapped. Oops Hope you feel better. I tweaked something in my back at WaWa Thurs night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2013 Share Posted January 27, 2013 Damn, took a major digger in the driveway stepping around my truck, ribs FTL. Surprised how much of last nights snow is around, full sun, not that cold, pure fluff although a lot did vaporize and some obviously melted and refroze into black ice on my driveway. Nice lump on my cage. What did you end up with last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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