Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Unless we start seeing some strong winds at the buoys soon I doubt we see anything widespread gusting over 65mph. storm cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Piqsirpoq Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Spectacular! Agree, it's amazing to see that kind of detail! Thanks for the link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Disagree Well the obs are clearly not living up to what was modeled at this time.. maybe we'll start mixing down better though. Also maybe sandy staying more tropical makes a difference.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Well the obs are clearly not living up to what was modeled at this time.. maybe we'll start mixing down better though. Also maybe sandy staying more tropical makes a difference.. Harvey Cedars NJ just gusted to 69mph... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The winds are going to be backing throughout the day...there's actually a decent inversion right now over LI and the south coast on the soundings. It will erode throughout the day as the winds back more to the east. I suspect we'll see some gusts ramping up more as the winds keep turning more easterly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds are doing exactly what was modelled. I hate when folks do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 Gust to 50kts at MVY. 48kts at FMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds are doing exactly what was modelled. I hate when folks do this lolz. You predicted this over the summer. I distinctly remember you saying something about 1938 style coming our way this Fall. Not exactly 1938 out there, but definitely a helluva storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Anyone have good satellite with quicker updates than the floater page? RAP UCAR isn't loading on this computer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Anyone have good satellite with quicker updates than the floater page? RAP UCAR isn't loading on this computer... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SATRAPID/anim16ir.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 so maybe a cat 2 now? That's nuts. I thought it could strengthen yesterday and today given the gulf stream and the lower shear but I didn't think it would pull off an additional 20 kt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Breezy here, but so far nothing to write home about. Probably no gusts over 25 mph yet. I think over there, maybe 50 to perhaps 60. Not sure where he is in the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Reacon found 99 mph sfc winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 From UI: There have been reports that UI will de-energize a Bridgeport substation at noon.Currently, UI has No plans to de-energize any subs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Called the folks back home in SW CT, they said both wind and rain starting to pick up, luckily they're away from the immediate coast, so flooding should not be a problem, but the town expects serious damage for some low lying, sound-shore properties. Up here in Madison County NY, nothing yet. Winds are calm with occasional drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Well the obs are clearly not living up to what was modeled at this time.. maybe we'll start mixing down better though. Also maybe sandy staying more tropical makes a difference.. I don't know... model soundings that I was using yesterday seem to have pegged things IMO. I don't really rely on any 10M wind output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds are doing exactly what was modelled. I hate when folks do this I'm not trying to say storm cancel at all, but in skier's defense the NAM/GFS models at this time did appear to have stronger winds along the south coast...but it could be 50-70kts at 950-925 and still only 40kts sfc cause Will mentioned a decent low level inversion down there. I think we spent so much time looking at H95-H85 winds that we are now expecting surface winds to reflect that. Just look at the 00z and last nights 18z and see what winds they had for 18z today (in an hour or two)...especially if the storm is moving faster than guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I don't know... model soundings that I was using yesterday seem to have pegged things IMO. I don't really rely on any 10M wind output. Everything seems pretty spot on IMO...if anything we're looking at potential for slightly higher gusts, at least as you near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Anyone have good satellite with quicker updates than the floater page? RAP UCAR isn't loading on this computer... http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~rabin/goes14/loop_srso.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 WOW RT @Ryan_Wichman: Surface wind speeds with #Sandy now reported at 99mph with the Hurricane Hunters. http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/archive/access.cgi?year=2012&storm=Sandy&product=UZNT13&who=AF&mission=23 … Retweeted by Ian Livingston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Gust to 50kts at MVY. 48kts at FMH. I just hit 58 here a few minutes ago, mph not knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Mets..will a stronger storm at LF have any bearing on our winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 This graphic has been spot on down here. http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/box.php#tabs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Channel 4 interviewing a 'Josh' wearing a Giants jersey with the handheld aenomemeter. Based on his physical condition or lackthereof it is clearly not HurricaneJosh. Which one of us is it (has to be a member !!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Anyone have good satellite with quicker updates than the floater page? RAP UCAR isn't loading on this computer... http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~rabin/goes14/loop_srso.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 Mets..will a stronger storm at LF have any bearing on our winds? I think for here everything is on track. I think NYC/LI Sound area into NJ are in trouble from wind and surge. Big trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 From UI: There have been reports that UI will de-energize a Bridgeport substation at noon.Currently, UI has No plans to de-energize any subs Correct, the tide came in lower than expected at that location (this high tide).....good news. There are 35k-40k customers that would have been affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The latest 1 minute frames of the GOES show new convection firing... We may see the eye clear out again briefly. This rapid update SAT stuff is killer BTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The latest 1 minute frames of the GOES show new convection firing... We may see the eye clear out again briefly. This rapid update SAT stuff is killer BTW Do you have a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 BOX WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THRU THE DAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING BETWEEN 2 PM - 8 PM. A SECOND PULSE OF DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CT/RI AND SOUTHEAST MA AROUND 8 PM AS WARM SECTOR TRIES TO OVERSPREAD THIS AREA WHICH WILL ENHANCE MOMENTUM TRANSFER AS WINDS SHIFT FROM NE TO SE AND LOW LEVEL INVERSION ERODES. THIS ALSO COINCIDES WITH POSSIBLE TROP FOLD AS TROPOPAUSE RAPIDLY DESCENDS DOWNWARD. IMPRESSIVE PRES RISE/FALL COUPLET LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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