mattie g Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Heh, I guess if the setup was spot on perfect I suppose. I would think areas like Parr's and mt vortmax would be the southern extent if everything came together just right but that is really just a wag. We probably need to be pretty far from the center with hardcore N-NW flow to stand a chance. That's what makes it so interesting to me. We suck at wraparound snow for a multitude of reasons. Downsloping being the big culprit. Then add orographics to the north wringing the everything out before the downsloping even starts. However, a storm this strong moving in a very odd westerly (even wsw if you believe some of the models) would be just about as perfect as you could get for snow wrapping around to make it this far south. And it's a tropical system, so I'd imagine the Apps ould have a hard time wringing everything out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 12Z GFS run has temps at MRB falling below 50 Sunday evening, and staying below 50 the remainder of the run (out to 11/9) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I guess I should finally buy a new battery for my sump pump backup system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Looking more like a phase will happen at some point. Exactly when that happens, and where the resulting landfall will be, is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Euro will go into DE. Book it. South trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Euro will go into DENMARK. Book it. FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 FYP What a ridiculous post. East coast of Ireland or GTFO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Euro will go into DE. Book it. South trend. Might not be a bad call. If it does, then this thing is almost a guarantee to phase, and landfall will happen between the Delmarva and NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If that Euro track doesn't get us flakes, I dont know what will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Since this is a banter thread, and I'm a fool, I can't help but say that I'm flashing back to February 2010 when reading the "official" Sandy thread. Holy moly, taking aim at Ocean City at 120! Euro has a 940 something surface low just off the coast of Ocean City at 120 hours Looks like Cape May at 132? Or just west of there? I realize that this is a completely diferent situation (tropical system, October, etc.), but I think the mega -AO is helping to bring back memories of huge storms that crawl up the coast. This is freaking insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 total noob question: is this storm expected to still be tropical by the time it affects us, or will it be extratropical (which nhc seems to be saying)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 You guys have all the fun. Looks like really cold and gusty weather here in SW and western VA, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If that Euro track doesn't get us flakes, I dont know what will Probably *too* close to us for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If the Euro is right might have to get zwyts on the chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If the Euro is right might have to get zwyts on the chase. I probably wouldn't go anywhere if it was right exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I probably wouldn't go anywhere if it was right exactly Not sure I can anyway. I have jury duty next Tuesday. Well, not if the Euro is right maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If the Euro is right might have to get zwyts on the chase. Didn't know you wanted to do a Josh and chase this to OC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Dont like it, need it to scoot north....... I don't need a dump, just want some flakes flying here from this, would be delighted if we could somehow muster an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Didn't know you wanted to do a Josh and chase this to OC. Yeah I'm sure Matt would much rather see some sideways rain than 36" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 This thing is chocked full of goodies....... you've got hurricane winds, coastal flooding, upslope snow, lake affect snow, regular snow, tornadoes, torrential downpours....... I mean, its a buffet of weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Halloween's going to be cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If the Euro is right might have to get zwyts on the chase. I'm down in Virginia Beach...my hotel is right on the beach...I have extra space if you want to come here. If we survive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I'm down in Virginia Beach...my hotel is right on the beach...I have extra space if you want to come here. If we survive Wouldn't take much of a jog for Leesburg to get into some snow game, you better get back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Abundant October snow usually translates to a crappy winter around here. If the Euro verifies it will be the worst winter ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 This response from someone to Kev's whining in the NE thread is all kinds of awesome: You're probably right. There's a new algorithm in the Euro that will automatically "correct" successive runs when Mt Tolland is not the epicenter of death and destruction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 This response from someone to Kev's whining in the NE thread is all kinds of awesome: You're probably right. There's a new algorithm in the Euro that will automatically "correct" successive runs when Mt Tolland is not the epicenter of death and destruction. He was already saying they'll come back north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If the Euro verifies it will be hard to decide if I go to Oakland for snow or stay put for TS conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If the Euro verifies it will be hard to decide if I go to Oakland for snow or stay put for TS conditions. Agreed. Blizzard snows or Tropical storm.. hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I <3 tropical force winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Abundant October snow usually translates to a crappy winter around here. If the Euro verifies it will be the worst winter ever. thanks Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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