wxmanmitch Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 Upslope signal looking great for the Green mountains in the wake of tomorrow night's rain. Plenty of cold, northwest flow with wrap around and lake effect moisture from Champlain and Ontario. This should be a long duration upslope for Powderfreak, allowing them to make a nice recovery after whatever damage the rain does. In addition, it should be a cold mid to high 30s rain as opposed to a 40s or low 50s type rain in NW VT, hopefully sparing them a full blown snow hemorrhage. Unlike last night's failed WINDEX/upslope event, I feel better about this one producing some love for the southern Greens and maybe even the Berks/Taconics. These cold, moist NW flows trailing a strong cyclone can produce for areas further south. I also feel confident about the upcoming clipper pattern providing some decent snows to orographically favored areas in WNE. I had about a 1/4" of an inch last night. BL was above freezing all night, limiting accumulations and upslope machine didn't keep up for long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 Upslope signal looking great for the Green mountains in the wake of tomorrow night's rain. Plenty of cold, northwest flow with wrap around and lake effect moisture from Champlain and Ontario. This should be a long duration upslope for Powderfreak, allowing them to make a nice recovery after whatever damage the rain does. In addition, it should be a cold mid to high 30s rain as opposed to a 40s or low 50s type rain in NW VT, hopefully sparing them a full blown snow hemorrhage. Unlike last night's failed WINDEX/upslope event, I feel better about this one producing some love for the southern Greens and maybe even the Berks/Taconics. These cold, moist NW flows trailing a strong cyclone can produce for areas further south. I also feel confident about the upcoming clipper pattern providing some decent snows to orographically favored areas in WNE. I had about a 1/4" of an inch last night. BL was above freezing all night, limiting accumulations and upslope machine didn't keep up for long. Bless you, Mitch, bless you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Upslope signal looking great for the Green mountains in the wake of tomorrow night's rain. Plenty of cold, northwest flow with wrap around and lake effect moisture from Champlain and Ontario. This should be a long duration upslope for Powderfreak, allowing them to make a nice recovery after whatever damage the rain does. In addition, it should be a cold mid to high 30s rain as opposed to a 40s or low 50s type rain in NW VT, hopefully sparing them a full blown snow hemorrhage. Unlike last night's failed WINDEX/upslope event, I feel better about this one producing some love for the southern Greens and maybe even the Berks/Taconics. These cold, moist NW flows trailing a strong cyclone can produce for areas further south. I also feel confident about the upcoming clipper pattern providing some decent snows to orographically favored areas in WNE. I had about a 1/4" of an inch last night. BL was above freezing all night, limiting accumulations and upslope machine didn't keep up for long. I agree. And you have DGZs dropping right to summit level, should get some very nice ratios out of a deep snow growth zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 0z NAM bufkit really doesn't even look all that impressive for the wind threat with this system...not saying we won't see some strong gusts but doesn't look like anything overly impressive. In fact, the strongest winds could be associated with the CAA if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Obviously with any convective elements there will be bursts of some stronger gusts. Speaking of which there could be some sort of fine line of t'storms that develops just along the leading edge of the dry slot where this drier air could enhance mid-level convective instability and with WAA in the lower levels and some CAA in the mid-levels along with a decent amount of 700mb VV this could set the stage for some sort of line...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Interesting...I looked at the NAM sounding for here at 21Z and all levels are below 0C from 950 mb upward... I wonder if it could start as a brief period of wet snow or sleet. I'll take anything interesting at this point. 22F now ... Obviously with any convective elements there will be bursts of some stronger gusts. Speaking of which there could be some sort of fine line of t'storms that develops just along the leading edge of the dry slot where this drier air could enhance mid-level convective instability and with WAA in the lower levels and some CAA in the mid-levels along with a decent amount of 700mb VV this could set the stage for some sort of line...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Interesting...I looked at the NAM sounding for here at 21Z and all levels are below 0C from 950 mb upward... I wonder if it could start as a brief period of wet snow or sleet. I'll take anything interesting at this point. 22F now ... I actually only looked at some soundings here across SNE...didn't really look at any areas which could be close to snow or anything. I suppose something like that could be possible up your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Gusts to 70 for Phil? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 New NAM has a nice line of LIs 0 to -1 cutting through SNE between 3z and 06s tonight. Looks like it could be a fine line type deal. 80kt winds to 925mb or so and not a terribly strong inversion could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 22 here. Would've been a fine antecedent airmass had it not cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 nice ob for Dendrite North Bay Airport Date: 11:00 AM EST Tuesday 27 December 2011 Condition: Heavy Snow Pressure: 100.3 kPa Tendency: rising Visibility: 0.2 km Temperature: -0.1°C Dewpoint: -0.6°C Humidity: 96 % Wind: S 9 km/h Wind Chill: -3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 New NAM has a nice line of LIs 0 to -1 cutting through SNE between 3z and 06s tonight. Looks like it could be a fine line type deal. 80kt winds to 925mb or so and not a terribly strong inversion could be interesting. Classic embedded ribbon echo squall sinuously slinking across the area with nice wind pulse and sheeting rains. ...maybe. While not a fold, there does appear a nice pressure fall/rise backside couplet for an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 In a good winter, this would be a nice event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Only 34.2, dew point < 25. here so if this had taken a decent track I think we could have pulled off a snow event this time. But not much luck this season. It has broken out as wet snow in the high terrain north of BGM, but that won't last. In a good winter, this would be a nice event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Only 34.2, dew point < 25. here so if this had taken a decent track I think we could have pulled off a snow event this time. But not much luck this season. It has broken out as wet snow in the high terrain north of BGM, but that won't last. 38.9F/32 here I even thought I saw a flake or 2 earlier this afternoon... probably debris being blown aroud by the stiff wind As long as it gets itself out of here quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Just got back from Maine. Rain's started lightly, but it's a lot chillier than I had expected. 32.6/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Light rain...38.4F/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 just an update, looks to be a washout in MTL, maybe some frozen on the front end but by and large, the snow will be N and W of the city, so indeed rain from border to border as CT blizzy said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Light rain...38.4F/36 Use ginxys thread for obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Use ginxys thread for obs. Bad title but ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2011 Author Share Posted December 27, 2011 Bad title but ok I thought is was for high wind obs? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I thought is was for high wind obs? No Apparently not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Apparently not. You're the only regular poster from SNE who didn't donate to the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 You're the only regular poster from SNE who didn't donate to the board I have not yet either. I will this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 Apparently not. Thread title was changed and pinned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.