weatherMA Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 My mother was just driving back from Boston and called me to tell me its snowing steadily near the 140 and 290 intersection in Shrewsbury. That's about 700-750 feet in elevation. Precip is east of here so its doing nothing IMBY at the moment. Confirmed. Light steady snow here right now, just picked up from flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 That would be pretty close to an April '97 redux IMBY. It's 95% likely to be overdone as usual, but that is just an extreme snowstorm for CNE if it were to come to pass. Even if you chopped a 1/3 rd off of the qpf, That still leaves some pretty hefty totals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 So long as we can keep power until after the Sox game, I'm rooting heavily for the NAM. Yeah, It starts at 4 pm going to be in the thick of it by then.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Temp down 5 deg since this started. Snows when it's heavier and there's the ruv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Bouchard 2-4 here Noyes about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 New BOX snowmap looks great to me I will be surprised (pleasantly) if I wind up in the 8-10 range as depicted. But you know me--Mr. Qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yeah, It starts at 4 pm going to be in the thick of it by then.. I rarely second guess BOX, but I think their 3-5'' advisory here is just way too low. I'd expect that more in the KGAY area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I will be surprised (pleasantly) if I wind up in the 8-10 range as depicted. But you know me--Mr. Qpf. NAM is good for you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 first call: 7-12" 2nd call: 5-9" Final call: 3-6" meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 i cant believe your snowing there Temp down 5 deg since this started. Snows when it's heavier and there's the ruv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Eh' I still think i get 4-5" here more like 6"-8" up at the Moneypit. Around here it that will be less of a disappointment then Boxing Day storm when we were expecting 15"-20" right up through go time. Perhaps if current temps are indicative of p-type. 39.1/28 here, though I see 44.5/30 at the mesosite in Greenfield (though I think that one's downtown) and mid-40's all the way down the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I think that warm tongue out this way is partially due to just crappy omega. Not enough vertical motion through the column to cool things. It was going nuts here, but still warm. Maybe it's right..who knows. Hopefully this bout of precip in eastern areas can slow the WAA a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I rarely second guess BOX, but I think their 3-5'' advisory here is just way too low. I'd expect that more in the KGAY area. i don't understand that advisory "sliver" on the map. Its almost like they wanted MHT in an advisory so they did that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 If the ruc is right (19z) it gets Kenny Rogers toasty later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 i don't understand that advisory "sliver" on the map. Its almost like they wanted MHT in an advisory so they did that. It's just a weird thing they do...and it's funny because GYX never plays along. They have warnings at the coast lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I rarely second guess BOX, but I think their 3-5'' advisory here is just way too low. I'd expect that more in the KGAY area. GYX had adjusted the coastal totals here, The had advisorys and went to warnings and dbbl the qpf, There will be a sharp cuttoff somewhere and maybe your on that line, If true you could end up on the right side of it as well as the wrong one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 18z nam ridiculous qpf lookin like Son of 97 (Jerry's name), only warmer on coastal plain and heavier snowfall totals shifted 50 miles northwest... far from over in eastern SNE, and will be interesting to see what these excessive qpf rates can do to critical thicknesses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 i cant believe your snowing there Same in raynham... Snows with the heavier precip. The same thing al the way up 24. Heavy snow showers then light sprinkles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I think what we want to see is this mixed precip shield start to develop more to the west and curl up from south to north. It might be that we have some sort of a two part system before the real sh*t gets going later on. A + sign would be for echoes to explode east of NJ and move north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 BOX is still pretty bullish here...I'm probably siding with that, though I'm definitely a bit weary of omega issue should this end up too far east MODELS HAVE ALSO INCREASED SPEED OF SFC LOW...SO BEST ISENTROPIC FORCING AND DEFORMATION LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE 06 TO 12Z TIMEFRAME...WILL FOCUS MAJORITY OF SNOWFALL AND QPF FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. THE INTERIOR...WHERE UPSLOPE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL COMBINE FOR A TIME WILL LIKELY SEE A PERIOD OF NEAR 1 INCH AN HOUR SNOWFALL RATES...PARTICULARLY IN THE MONADNOCKS AND WORCESTER HILLS. THIS GAVE TOTALS APPROACHING 10 INCHES BY THE TIME IT IS ALL SAID AND DONE AND LINED UP WITH CURRENT WARNINGS. THEREFORE NO CHANGES TO CURRENT INTERIOR HEADLINES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 a touch of wet snow mixing in with the rain here. SFZ has dropped to 36/28 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 It's just a weird thing they do...and it's funny because GYX never plays along. They have warnings at the coast lol. There's going to be a gradient somewhere...but I mean GYX having CON at 7-13" while BOX has MHT at 3-6" is a little ridiculous. Those locations aren't far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Perhaps if current temps are indicative of p-type. 39.1/28 here, though I see 44.5/30 at the mesosite in Greenfield (though I think that one's downtown) and mid-40's all the way down the valley. Down in Northampton now, about 46. 39 when I left my house. Wind is really freshening even here on the valley floor. Snow on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 BOX is still pretty bullish here...I'm probably siding with that, though I'm definitely a bit weary of omega issue should this end up too far east MODELS HAVE ALSO INCREASED SPEED OF SFC LOW...SO BEST ISENTROPIC FORCING AND DEFORMATION LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE 06 TO 12Z TIMEFRAME...WILL FOCUS MAJORITY OF SNOWFALL AND QPF FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. THE INTERIOR...WHERE UPSLOPE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL COMBINE FOR A TIME WILL LIKELY SEE A PERIOD OF NEAR 1 INCH AN HOUR SNOWFALL RATES...PARTICULARLY IN THE MONADNOCKS AND WORCESTER HILLS. THIS GAVE TOTALS APPROACHING 10 INCHES BY THE TIME IT IS ALL SAID AND DONE AND LINED UP WITH CURRENT WARNINGS. THEREFORE NO CHANGES TO CURRENT INTERIOR HEADLINES. Hopefully our amounts come close to verify. I'd be pretty happy, personally..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 4:41pm AFD... some shifts with cooler solution Will add Essex County to advisories. With the slight east shift...expect that cool solution now favored here so accumulation more likely. Current snow totals yield about 5 inches...and with isentropic ascent just west of pivoting warm front and some close calls on deformation this is favored. After collaboration with gyx...who is issuing a watch adjacent to Essex...this will line up well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Hopefully our amounts come close to verify. I'd be pretty happy, personally..lol. Just give me the 12z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 ch. 7's new map is really bullish but ignore the ct part. They kind of ignore that zone even though its on their map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 BOX is still pretty bullish here...I'm probably siding with that, though I'm definitely a bit weary of omega issue should this end up too far east MODELS HAVE ALSO INCREASED SPEED OF SFC LOW...SO BEST ISENTROPIC FORCING AND DEFORMATION LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE 06 TO 12Z TIMEFRAME...WILL FOCUS MAJORITY OF SNOWFALL AND QPF FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. THE INTERIOR...WHERE UPSLOPE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL COMBINE FOR A TIME WILL LIKELY SEE A PERIOD OF NEAR 1 INCH AN HOUR SNOWFALL RATES...PARTICULARLY IN THE MONADNOCKS AND WORCESTER HILLS. THIS GAVE TOTALS APPROACHING 10 INCHES BY THE TIME IT IS ALL SAID AND DONE AND LINED UP WITH CURRENT WARNINGS. THEREFORE NO CHANGES TO CURRENT INTERIOR HEADLINES. Sorry late to the party here but: 18z NAM: BOS//527353 03617 130909 36049994 06002939360 03211 100713 38019898 12034999465 01509 070616 40000097 18084989970 20108 980427 43010100 24100986347 00406 880225 42009901 30015977838 01113 893219 35009693 Maybe if you ask you receive: That is 2.33” total in a virtual isothermal sounding at 0C for BOS…. If that verifies even half you got a 12" of blue snow for BED-ORH and possibly as far W as FIT and everyone is underdone! We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2011 Author Share Posted March 31, 2011 Just picked up my son from daycare and precip is starting back up, light rain with some splats on the windshield. 37/32 snow snow snow snow snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Serious precip/rain here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.