40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 CTRain I was using sarcasm when I said no one saw it coming. It has looked fairly obvious, for most of us, that this is not going to be anything major for several days. Most of the weenies are beyond the 3rd and 4th stages of grief at this point, time to accept what it is and move on. Nothing has looked obvious RE this system and much still doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 originally I was thinking about heading to the higher terrain north of Will...but now it seems as though this storm is less organized and further east...maybe i should just hike to the top of Blue Hills and have a weenie campout! seeing as this is quite probably the last shot at accumulating snow (in my area) anyone else interested in driving around at 2am like a weenie ( or dumba$$) looking for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yeah, I'd still think northern ORH county over towards northern Essex County would be a good starting point... depends on just how much elevation matters in this one. Of course, its going to help but if it comes down hard enough at the right time of day it may not matter all that much. Its not like we are talking 3,000 feet of elevational differences... still, the CP in northern MA may do better than high terrain down south of the Pike if it comes down hard enough. There's still some sneaky warmth at 800mb south of the Pike on a lot of these models. It's a fine line....N ORH CO has better elevation, but N Essex co and even my area may see better omeg, than they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 originally I was thinking about heading to the higher terrain north of Will...but now it seems as though this storm is less organized and further east...maybe i should just hike to the top of Blue Hills and have a weenie campout! Nobscot Hill, Sudbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I don't have time to pour through the threads, what did the EURO show for ct? Thanks and onto the next class, yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Nobscot Hill, Sudbury. Ha - I actually have to meet a guy who lives at the high point of Edghill Rd on a professional matter there on Friday. Guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Hints on the ruc that some week pv emerges off nj later....not like the gfs but not the euro either. 18z will be entertaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 seeing as this is quite probably the last shot at accumulating snow (in my area) anyone else interested in driving around at 2am like a weenie ( or dumba$) looking for snow? Sometimes I feel like you're actually Quincy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Nobscot Hill, Sudbury. How high is that, like 400'... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 1-3 tonight, 7-11 tomorrow. Let's rock. Yeah lets do this thing 1 more time, I'm in it to get to 100", Thats the goal for a happy ending to the season.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 seeing as this is quite probably the last shot at accumulating snow (in my area) anyone else interested in driving around at 2am like a weenie ( or dumba$$) looking for snow? lol - I've got a 12" bank behind my house you can come check out. I'd like to know how Kev's driveway banks are doing these days. . . . Currently - light rain here in Woodstock, CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Sometimes I feel like you're actually Quincy. no red tag here...just a weenie with a snow fetish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 44 out and we just had a short burst of snow . This one is going to be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 SREFs still an inch plus of qpf for central and eastern NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Models are models...they'll always lay an egg at some point. It's never good to live and die by them, but when they all sort of exhibit a trend..it's a little concerning. We'll just have to see what's up. Hopefully the euro is too far east and not allowing the QPF to be distributed wide enough. The euro certainly has laid an egg inside 24 hrs..in fact I think the GFS has done fairly well IIRC this year during that time. Of course, it doesn't mean it has to apply in this situation. GFS totally messed up the 3/24 storm just a few hours out, had the track off NJ when it ended being off VA. The thing that concerns me with this system is that the H5 energy is looking increasingly unconsolidated with a weak clipper like feature left over the Midwest, instead of phasing into the l/w trough. The second shortwave sort of loses its intensity off the Mid-Atlantic coast because the system isn't injected with the most potent energy from the northern stream. Here's sort of what we would have liked to have seen: But then in reality, everything becomes fragmented and the low doesn't bomb until too late, as the 12z GFS shows: Just too many cooks in the kitchen this time, it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 CTRain I was using sarcasm when I said no one saw it coming. It has looked fairly obvious, for most of us, that this is not going to be anything major for several days. Most of the weenies are beyond the 3rd and 4th stages of grief at this point, time to accept what it is and move on. confused.. guess GYX, WMUR, pretty much every met, etc missed this signal that was so obvious to you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 confused.. guess GYX, WMUR, pretty much every met, etc missed this signal that was so obvious to you? Ignore him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 How high is that, like 400'... 600'+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 GFS totally messed up the 3/24 storm just a few hours out, had the track off NJ when it ended being off VA. The thing that concerns me with this system is that the H5 energy is looking increasingly unconsolidated with a weak clipper like feature left over the Midwest, instead of phasing into the l/w trough. The second shortwave sort of loses its intensity off the Mid-Atlantic coast because the system isn't injected with the most potent energy from the northern stream. Here's sort of what we would have liked to have seen: But then in reality, everything becomes fragmented and the low doesn't bomb until too late, as the 12z GFS shows: Just too many cooks in the kitchen this time, it seems. unrealistic IMO that the s/w energy does not consolidate in this situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Anyone else getting weenie flakes? It's been snowing for the last half hour or so at work in Winchendon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 New BOX snowmap looks great to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 How high is that, like 400'... 620" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 What a bunch of mentally unstable basket cases in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 unrealistic IMO that the s/w energy does not consolidate in this situation Do you think the shortwave energy from the third s/w will get involved as well, or do you just think the GFS is stringing out the 1st/2nd piece too much.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 New BOX snowmap looks great to me thoughts change for out in the NW hills yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 620" ......uh, that's FEET, not inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Eh' I still think i get 4-5" here more like 6"-8" up at the Moneypit. Around here it that will be less of a disappointment then Boxing Day storm when we were expecting 15"-20" right up through go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 confused.. guess GYX, WMUR, pretty much every met, etc missed this signal that was so obvious to you? This was not going to be a big storm for SNE. Honestly, I rarely read GYX or know what WMUR is. (MHT tv?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 New BOX snowmap looks great to me i like how whoever did that outlined MQE. nice move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 This was not going to be a big storm for SNE. Honestly, I rarely read GYX or know what WMUR is. (MHT tv?) your signature fails dingus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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