A-L-E-X Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I predict youll be adding March 1956 to your analog list Its been talked about since before the beginning of winter. It also began with a very positive AO that swung to the negative after the first few days of March, like many are predicting this one will do. Its actually a really good ENSO match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Btw...I may be siding with Tip on getting rid of this snowpack which is a glacier. I was in the woods...picking my way as the little fluff over an icy moraine was slippery. Kind of like when the wind blows off the overnight upslope powder when you're skiing and what's left is hard gray ice to ski over. Well walking is a bit easier but not 20 feet from the end of the glacier when I would have a paved path and then walk home, I took a spill. Smacked my hip pretty good but I'm ok. F**k this...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I just hope this next one isn't a brutal hit like today. Not sure the roofs can handle another dump of this magnitude. The euro really is ugly for longer term winter. You did a great job forecasting this past event and were correctly bullish on the more southern track. I picked up 1.75 inches but this amount of snow on top of bare ground at this stage of the winter is pretty boring even if you're a snow lover. I know not everyone agrees. I'm sure Ginx is running around the fields of NE CT nekkid revelling in his 1.8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 So what do the Euro ensembles look like? Very cold in the 11-15 day for the Plains, with a boundary along the east coast. The Mega NPAC ridge remains to help deliver the cold into th nctrl US, but that also means we'll have troughing in the west. Models do try to raise heights in the southwest, but as I mentioned earlier, that might be a bias in this pattern. Just too early to tell, but it could be pretty active. The EC ensembles have a nice sprawling high coming from Canada with what looks like a storm track over the East. Just remember we run the risk of taint jobs or worse if the track is close enough, however it's way too early to talk about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Very cold in the 11-15 day for the Plains, with a boundary along the east coast. The Mega NPAC ridge remains to help deliver the cold into th nctrl US, but that also means we'll have troughing in the west. Models do try to raise heights in the southwest, but as I mentioned earlier, that might be a bias in this pattern. Just too early to tell, but it could be pretty active. The EC ensembles have a nice sprawling high coming from Canada with what looks like a storm track over the East. Just remember we run the risk of taint jobs or worse if the track is close enough, however it's way too early to talk about that. Thanks Scott. Are they similar to the op on the Friday event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Guess it should be no surprise that the NAM looks like the Euro/UKMET. Snowpack going to get uglier and crustier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Guess it should be no surprise that the NAM looks like the Euro/UKMET. Snowpack going to get uglier and crustier. Or worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Or worse I'd love for this crap to all melt and then either replace it in March or just let the golf season begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Btw...I may be siding with Tip on getting rid of this snowpack which is a glacier. I was in the woods...picking my way as the little fluff over an icy moraine was slippery. Kind of like when the wind blows off the overnight upslope powder when you're skiing and what's left is hard gray ice to ski over. Well walking is a bit easier but not 20 feet from the end of the glacier when I would have a paved path and then walk home, I took a spill. Smacked my hip pretty good but I'm ok. F**k this...... <Ginx>Boys crying for their mommas ... </Ginx> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Thanks Scott. Are they similar to the op on the Friday event? Yeah they are pretty ugly, and mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 They do offer some wintry precip Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Yeah they are pretty ugly, and mild. Time to order arks from Amazon? 20.8/-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 50's and rain are coming Friday...sucks..really really sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 50's and rain are coming Friday...sucks..really really sucks Maybe arks aren't needed. Mud boots will probably suffice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 They do offer some wintry precip Sunday. Souds like the op run on sunday as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 <Ginx>Boys crying for their mommas ... </Ginx> No actually that post of Jerrys concerned me, tough as he is, brittle bones come with age. That snow layer definitely made things super slippery. Getting real cold now, man quite the mess going on in the Midwest where yesterday was freezing rain, now substantial snow. FYI these come out pretty early http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 I'm not against a good March btw, so don't try to read in between the lines of my posts. I know some are going for an epic month. I'm just saying that we have a few caution flags up, and explaining what they are...mainly the dam PNA and AO. You can also throw some reasons up as to why it will rock. If the EPO can really muscle the PV to the south...it could be one hell of a ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 50's and rain are coming Friday...sucks..really really sucks Link me to the model that's shows 50 s or met who said that, I missed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Link me to the model that's shows 50 s or met who said that, I missed it. Euro and it's ensemble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 50's and rain are coming Friday...sucks..really really sucks looks like winter is over for you. baseball draft ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 do you have the ensemble for the Feb 28 to March 1 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 do you have the ensemble for the Feb 28 to March 1 storm It's over Toronto..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Time to order arks from Amazon? 20.8/-1 It's all about that F. Glad some others are joining on the flood bandwagon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 do you have the ensemble for the Feb 28 to March 1 storm The spread is 65 in DC, versus 80 in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 winter isn't over and lot of cold air in Canada to come down very soon . look past three storms gfs has had more east track and ecwmf model came towards it . I still say will get into colder and stormy pattern in march for the Northeast area and sne area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 winter isn't over and lot of cold air in Canada to come down very soon . look past three storms gfs has had more east track and ecwmf model came towards it . I still say will get into colder and stormy pattern in march for the Northeast area and sne area. You sir, are my all time favorite poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The spread is 65 in DC, versus 80 in DC. I think by the time 3/5 rolls around the advocates of a major return to winter in SNE will be tip toeing their way onto the ark listening to this. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RukUetw0hAM or maybe this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was surprised how cold it was today..I thought the sun would come out and vaporize the snow we got last night. at least 2.5 inches of new snow..not sure we had three like pns says but I did not measure until a few mins ago and the snow stopped this morning. Some really nice snows went through pa ny and north jersey down towards the white plains area...wow....i wonder what white plains has for the season.. round two looks awesome for parts of pa...wouldnt it have been something to have really gotten in on both of those!!!! at least 64.5 now for the season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Link me to the model that's shows 50 s or met who said that, I missed it. This would get very warm after the low level inversion breaks and gusty south winds develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ It's so fitting LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.