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People laugh off the wdi but climate isn't a poisson process. The odds of getting a big snow event should presumably go up after going through years that dont structurally support big snow events assuming that those structural patterns must relax.

It's hell week for moths. 3hrs a day out in this weather changing out sleeves. Another 2-3 more.days of this nightmare and I'm on the other side of the bell curve.

Meh

It's nice having a consistent berkshires poster. Looking forward to your reports during the winter.

I hope Athens can get some of that magic too, lol.

And it was only a MRGL day! 8/12 and 8/13 were excellent examples of how "only" has gen tstm and MRGL out can be deceptive or promote the @CoastalWx MEH! MRGL say nothing about how intense any given tstm will be. And you can having honkin' supercells no problem. I recall in April 2024, MRGL for NC/SC and one storm produced 4" stones in SC! The HVN MB?, in a general tstm area, yet we get a high-end wind gust. And the PWM area ydy as noted. But the actual svr reports are isolated/sct as shown on the SPC plot from 8/12 and 8/13. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260812_rpts.gif https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260813_rpts.gif And now for today, suddenly a narrow gen tstms area gets upgraded to MRGL at 1630z. Decent 500 s/w and temps drops to -17 C at 500 (that quite good for August - and ydy they were -14 to -15 C). When it's good, it's good (NW flow and cold temps aloft RULZ!!!) I don't want to hear any IMBY "I didn't get anything!" whining either!

My guess is no, as their lowest is 21.4" in 1954-55. However, 1997-98 is missing and might've been a candidate for lowest.

Raining and 72 at my location

https://schumacher.atmos.colostate.edu/hilla/csu_mlp/csu_severe.php

glad we don’t live there, nor do we live in the NYC forum

This has about a 1% verification probability, especially southwestern portions

Freaking hot. I went back and looked at August in the strong NINOS at thermals in the MID state,mainly 82-97,i still discount 2015,it just wasn't the same type NINO IN 1982 we averaged between 88-90f,we only had 3 consective days reaching 90F+ IN 1997 we hit 93F on 4th,16=17th.But the avg tempa in whole was 86.6 for the month I blame this on the PDO myself ot it should be a good starting point at least.Its what makes this NINO unique,but it better change the next several weeks,its rare to see such a negative PDO than positive this time of year in a stromg NINO Id be kinda concerned about the PDO right now into winter,it better start going to negative real soon,you got to remember in NINOS your indices go south into fall and winter,they dont go north

Frankly I'd rather talk eclipses instead of hot weather, lol! Yeah the lunar eclipse Aug. 27-28 is happening Time and Date dot com also has good info. Perhaps unpopular take, but I believe lunar eclipses are very under-rated. I'm not gonna sit here and say they compete with total solar or bright Aurora; they don't. But I'm gonna say a deep / total lunar eclipse competes with comets and other astro-treats. I prefer a lunar eclipse over structure only storm chase, perhaps even over brief tornado. Then while with solar, it's 100% total or nothing! ..Lunar is different. Deep partial with long diamond ring phase is really gorgeous. With solar the diamond can't compete with Totality. Lunar is different.. I love a 95-98% partial. Had that back in 2022 and it was stunning. Finally, clouds are more forgiving. We got about an hour vs 2-4 precious minutes. From @KakashiHatake2000 above originally Met Eric Snitil.

WB 18Z NBM thru Sunday.

Man it’s sweltering. Right now it’s 102 at 49% humidity for a feels like temp of 120

Tuesday was insane here around cmh. Definitely most severe I've seen since the 2012 derecho. Also, there had to have been some imbedded weak tornados in the midst of everything because I find it hard to believe that straight line winds can flip cars on a highway, (it's not like they were high profile or trucks). I've also seen a lot of tree damage around the burbs where there were grouping of large trees that were completely snapped at the trunk and the bark looked like it was twisted off. Either way, what a day. Finally got business back on line. Tomorrow we might have another round but hopefully by me posting this I just jinxed it away.

Can you provide a link to the CSU MLP?

It's something to see, how heavy the rain is when it hits. Absolutely torrential. The sheer amount of thunder this summer is crazy.

The bottom has dropped out here in Waynesville. Lot's of street flooding.

DIT with some hail to his north again.

The HVN area just can't be left alone!

Oh, good luck my friend. I had that done back in 2020, and I hope I never have to do it again. I was out of work for six months after that surgery for recovery and physical therapy, but that was because of the physical nature of my work. You may be able to return to work faster. One thing to be prepared for is pain. It was the most painful therapy I've ever gone through. One word of advice my surgeon gave me was to stay ahead of the pain. Don't try to man up. If he/she doesn't give you a time estimate of when the nerve block will wear off, ask. That nerve block is awesome, but when it wears off, you'll know it. When I came home after surgery, I was like "that wasn't so bad". Yeah right...lol You'll want to take your first Vicodin, Percocet, or whatever they give you an hour before, because if you try to play catch up, you won't.

I mean, the longer we go without one, the more due we become. Unless we’re considering the possibility that it’ll never happen again, which would be pretty absurd. Also, this period without a SECS isn’t just long for our lifetimes. It’s one for history. BWI has blown past the longest streak of below average snowfall winters since data started being collected. With that being the case, I’d venture to assume this is the longest the Baltimore area has went without a SECS in history, probably by a good margin. That’s why I say, this is not just some bummer of a stretch. This is historically lousy.