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You're in luck cause here comes the NAM

The question is will Raleigh post a watch today or wait until the morning?

With inflow off the ocean? Hard sell.

Thanks for the clarity.

I need more maps with pretty colors injected into my veins stat!

This longwave pattern is exactly what we need...we just need some freaking waves to amplify within it... but the mean h5 the next 3 weeks is exactly what all our big snow periods look like... but within that pattern we need some freaking storms to come along...the longwave doesn't matter if there are no energetic shortwaves embedded within it.

On a day 4+ prog that can be worked out

This was why I posed that nobody used the "B" word. Every time that phrase is used the pattern turns to mush.

you'd think the guy could afford a decent hair piece.....

Yes, I have been following the ECMWF, EPS, ECM AI, GEM and GEPS. If the GFS and GEFS continue dropping precipitously at 18z with no interest from the others, then I agree that You and I are cooked for this one.

Somewhere a death band is going to develop with regards to that meso low and they are going for 10+. All depends on the exact track of the ULL and meso low.

Not satisfied. .

I wonder if he meant 276?

You're not alone with those thoughts. I had the full experience of the blizzard of 93 when I was renting, lol; hiked to friends house right up the middle of Merrimon Ave in Asheville wearing a motorcycle helmet. Now an older and wiser home owner, I don't need to see anything like that again. Let the trees stay upright, keep power on, and have about 4 or 5" of snow to go for a nice walk and I am happy

@aldie 22there we go - from the other thread...

GFS has to be skewing these totals

Please don’t go girl?

GSP’s hourly forecast graph has about 7” in the unifour region.

Not pictured is the dry air at 850mb.

That's a good bet, but I'd wait until Friday morning before making a final decision.

I've got no clue in that area but highlands is nice and sets up in elevation. There's still a lot to iron out.

Maybe that'll bring the storm back.

High tide frozen foam on the Delaware Bay at Broadkill Beach.

By tomorrow we can probably close this thread

Thats a great catch dude. That first RH map is very telling