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Scooter jack?

The Euro is a serious thump tomorrow morning. That is going to be fun.

FWIW: 12Z EURO ZR totals went up.

I remember some sleet storm since I moved to my current location, which was 2016 (but after any winter weather, so something 2017+). I know the threads are here for that. 2017 - 2019 (notably 2017 - 2018) were significant "recent" years.

Checking short-term trends, proclivity is more QPF which also comes with higher chance of warm layers. I think I stick with my call from earlier this AM and hope for an overperformance and minimal sleet/ZR. NBM did increase odds of >18" from 4% to 11% at AGC, but shows more pronounced chance of mix during a brief period. I wonder how the NBM accumulation products account for mixes and ratios with inconsistent output across models. Hard to say. Also, if you check NAM runs from yesterday, they didn't have zero snow at Little Rock. The thermal profile was maybe off but it did show like 3-6" of accumulation by noon today on near every run as far as I can tell. No idea what that person is looking at.

It did not disappoint.

That's the issue I believe. Southern areas will not reach that.

Yeah Euro cooled a bit but no change in QPF. We take.

12z EC QPF Snow

FWIW The CMC has snow in Mexico next Saturday

Hard to decipher using Famartins maps looks like Jersey got the better of storm #2

Hopefully the ratios start out above 10-1 when the column is still cold, so maybe we average out 10-1 before the sleet comes in. Some places north and west that stay all snow will likely average 15:1 type ratios given the amount of moisture in the snow growth zone and lift.

Reclaim the crown, please!

12z Euro

Purely focused on radar OBS now kind sir! Good to know you are here and watching out for us. I'm looking specifically at the band headed into eastern TN thats getting crushed by these low DPs. Seems the initial "finger" of moisture that was showing up on a few models doesnt stand a chance.

& I am fired up good sir & showed the goods!

Ironically is the developing coast which shoots the warm layer up. We would have been better off without it. Would have flipped but more snow ahead.

But mixes a bit north of 06z

I believe pivotal does not use sleet in any snow map

A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for much of Georgia

Could Euro be King??

cooled off a bit here in the tropics of SNE, has a wild warm layer where theres like no sleet, mostly freezing rain where it mixes..

It definitely trended north since 0z.

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