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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
canderson replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
34 today here - same as yesterday. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
and I tried to keep that brief! LOL Btw, H.A. are initials. Heather Archembault released a Master's thesis back in the early 1990s that discussed the restoring of +PNA lending to enhancing precipitation over eastern North America. -
Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
ineedsnow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
Sugarloaf1989 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
27F here. -
Although we were kicking the Bills' ass before we self destructed in the 4th quarter in the first game of the year. Pretty much set the tone for this disastrous season.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
weathafella replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Through 12/27: BOS: -5.0 BDL: -5.1 PVD: -4.8 ORH: -5.3 Snow is pedestrian to bad vs climo. BOS. 4.3” BDL: 8.4” PVD: 5.1” ORH: 12.3” -
Closing in on blizzard levels there.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Voyager replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yup. I'm sitting at 30 on the nose right now. It hasn't been above freezing here since 7:20 pm on Christmas Day. -
Yea that WWA is needed. Maybe a bit late idk.
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https://patch.com/connecticut/branford/then-and-now-three-times-a-century?fbclid=IwY2xjawO-islleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZA80MDk5NjI2MjMwODU2MDkAAR7I7VfT2I1ml9MVxPQs5PnCcMvpFnBcO0uEYsFjjkArKVKr6InglMmr09clOg_aem_J0fJPAJ8ylgDdejmSaL_IQ
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
bristolri_wx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
https://www.youtube.com/@riretroweather/streams I grabbed the project linked to by @dendrite and run a 24x7 stream on YouTube for Bristol as the location from an old junky computer... -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It never got above freezing up there. I see temps 29-30. Forcast here was 38-40. We got up to 33 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
23/18F, Will start off frozen, Have to see how long we can stay that way. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Voyager replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Man, things got quite a bit icy here. Our sidewalk, with residual salt from yesterday morning on it, is complete glare ice. -
Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
DavisStraight replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I'm at 28, isn't too far to go to 33 or higher, hope to get some ice first. -
Light rain and some freezing rain is moving into the region. Areas north and west of New York City have the highest likelihood of seeing some freezing rain. Tomorrow will see some additional showers. The temperature will likely reach the upper 40s to perhaps lower 50s before colder air moves in. It will also turn very windy with gusts reaching 40 mph to 50 mph at times. The remainder of December will see cooler than normal days. Below normal temperatures will continue into at least the middle of the first week of January. Some flurries or snow showers are possible late on January 1 into January 2. December 2025 is on course to finish with a maximum monthly temperature below 60° in New York City. The last time that happened was in 2019 when the monthly high was 58°. If 2025 has a monthly high below 60°, that would be only the fifth such occurrence since 2000 (2003, 2004, 2005, and 2019 are the cases since 2000). The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around December 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter. The SOI was +9.19 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.799 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal December (1991-2020 normal). December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 33.9° (5.2° below normal). That will make December 2025 the coldest December since 2010 when the monthly mean temperature was 32.8°. It would also make 2025 the third coldest December since 2000. Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.5° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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18z GFS upped the ante for tomorrow with 4-6” along/west of the Allegheny Front. Gusts 55+ for several hours - best to be prepared for power outages with that. Shows another 6-8”+ this week after tomorrow’s event too.
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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
ineedsnow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
26.1 just need the precip now -
MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion
Stx_Thunder replied to stormdragonwx's topic in Central/Western States
Not before setting a new all-time daytime high record for December this year (that I posted about in here). Very interesting as that had not happened in Fayetteville AR since back in 1951. -
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Not sure why this got weenied...I mean that's what current guidance is showing. BUT, I guess this kind of thing could trend a little stronger as we get a little closer...we'll see.
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Tomer has a NYC January snowfall poll on Twitter and says his vote is 20-29”. That would bode quite well for us since he also thinks the pattern favors areas south of NYC…
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27.2 and precip on the doorstep.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
This was just added This Afternoon A chance of freezing rain. Cloudy, with a high near 32. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tonight A chance of freezing rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain. Cloudy, with a temperature rising to around 40 by 5am. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. -
Jelly
