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The ICON ensembles do not support that far of a south jog on the OP, they are very much in line with euro and GFS.

Looks like we have a good chance at seeing the North Lights tonight.

Made the mistake of getting on Twitter and seeing nothing but Webb and a bunch of other southern weather personalities going on and on about how the AI models have no grasp on how strong that High is going to be and once they pick up on it, this is all coming south. Someone intelligent in here please tell me they’re being somewhat biased lol

The terrible Crossville Ice Storm was 2/21/15. January 29-30 Crossville got a decent bit of ice on top of about 5-6" of snow, but nothing at all like 2015.

I believe that you folks in GSP area are extremely close to a dividing line due to a possibility of a pesky warm nose. That said, this far out (beyond 36 to 48 hours) it is a wait and see situation. There is little doubt that the potential is rather high for a Major Winter Storm from Central Texas and points E to the Atlantic Coast. I believe that certainty is all we can expect for a Storm 5 to 7 days out. You're welcome to hang out with our group. We may not be the most popular, but the knowledge base of our Mountain folk is second to none in my opinion.

Looks like all the models that were further north are trending south towards what the Euro and GFS are showing.

Suppose to be really really good northern lights tonight. Problem is these dam clouds came out of nowhere must be sound effect related with the wind

So, you’re actually trying to say that a EURO weeklies run (that change and flip flop wildly on a daily basis) for the month of February on January 19th proves that my thoughts on February are wrong already? Wow, just wow. I honestly have no words. Speechless @Rjay

On shift nights all week but have fun y’all!

Its been the them the last several years as the northern stream has dominated and any phasing has been late

Nvm...

Thanks! We always strattle the line, but sometimes that can bring a little fun with it

12Km NAM posts should be hidden in a serious storm threat thread at this range, or any range come to think of it. It is about to be retired, and should already be. The Panasonic(which doesnt really exist) is better.

whoa, blast from the past. you're in ohio now?

Glad you got the goods with this one. And it’s good to see you pleased .

Bump for Euro weeklies.

I need around 84-85” to hit 100” so really need these next few weeks to step it up

Looks like an erroneous run because I don’t think we ever see that much cyclonic vorticity like this off the Baja coast (unless it’s a tropical cyclone)

Borrowing this from the Great Don regarding the NBM

Those weeklies were nuts. Obviously low skill, but that’s quite the run there..Dam.

I had to shovel PVD, Pit1, and Pit2 today. Kicking back now.

Considerable shift south on the 18z ICON. Less moisture to work with as well. *of note* 18z only runs to 120h so not fully within the window but southerly trend none the less.

Thank you! .