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  2. The date that the chart shows a 2nd slight weakening is mid-month, so he was showing the mid month calls might be wrong (like half the posts here since Oct 1). It doesnt take a genius to say that the PV will eventually strengthen. A 2 year old can make that same statement, it isn't a bold call.
  3. Im saying that the PV will not become strong. I expect cold most of this month with active conditions. Beating a dead horse ? Snowman, you have been wrong so far about this upcoming pattern along with others. I wouldn't be puffing your chest out if I was you. Why are you ignoring the MJO projection . PV will take another hit soon.
  4. We’ve had accumulating snow right down to the beaches in less than ideal cold-Nov 2018 being the most recent example but numerous others. We really just don’t want the wind shifting to onshore.
  5. I hate them. Even at my new place, there's more risk of them missing than not. Just think of James.
  6. GEFS, EPS, and GEPS members clustered where we'd want them I think, mostly offshore with the SLP. Hints of a weak primary up the Apps. The bulk of the precipitation along the coastal plain. Surface temperatures for low elevation coastal areas are marginal for snow and the real cold doesn't move in until the storm is departing. But that's a pretty good look overall for a 6 day forecast. The bar for me at this point of the season is a shovelable snowfall. I don't want to get carried away by 10:1 snow maps.
  7. 35mph gusts at like 4:30 woke me up this am, lots of stressed people on campus (we still have class today) who have to drive either north or to the west side of the state
  8. Today’s MJO through 12/10: tune in tomorrow to see what they’ll do 12/11-27:
  9. God, just thinking about it sends chills up my spine. The amount of storms is ungodly. The area/towns/counties i'm unfamiliar with + wild elevation changes... At this point i think i know every town and county from Ocean up to Ulster and east to Essex, MA, thats plenty for me.
  10. Messenger shuffle ftw I want everyone to cash in this winter. Seriously. It’s been too long.
  11. Moose chillin' up near the ADK house. (pic taken by one of my cousins) Not sure why it's crappy like a 1970's Big Foot pic.
  12. Looks like a graphic pirated from that bafoon, Mark Margavage, who is trying to claim there will be a major SSW with a reversal around xmas. I can assure you, there will not.
  13. Just an FYI that was his call for the 1979 Chicago Blizzard. No lie.
  14. Someone could see a bit of NWFS this evening and overnight as a bit of moisture moves overhead.
  15. Here again, not fighting against anyone. I don’t like trolling. I don’t like misinfo from folks, or folks trying to agitate others. I come here for accurate info on what our weather may be…and that’s it. I have no agenda. just want to discuss the potential weather when it’s active. And I won’t burn out..I am on zero social media, so I just walk away from here if it irritates me too much.
  16. No. You should do it. Because then when it trends south and east so many will be happy.
  17. Imby/Columbia: 0.32” overnight. 1.52” November to date.
  18. The long range looks meh to me. Not a torch anymore but no slam dunk pattern that is primed for southern snow either.
  19. Look how happy he looks in that pic of him and her.
  20. What are you trying to prove? Nothing has changed, this is still a classic wave reflection event then a recovery and strengthening of the SPV come mid-late December. Even twitter has moved on. We’ve discussed this on here ad nauseum with @40/70 Benchmark and several others. We’re beating a dead horse
  21. Consulted Jerry Taft on the ouija board. 2-4"south; 3-5" north
  22. BWI: 23.7" DCA: 19.3" IAD: 26.5” RIC: 9.7” ----- SBY: 11.3”
  23. Welp may as well start this crap… 12z is the biggest run since 6z…
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