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i want to believe

I can just feel my hopes of mid-70+ water temps at Warren Dunes before August slipping away. Makes raging over missing out on snow seem quite pathetic in comparison

00z Euro had an interesting look for next Thursday. Decent shear and placement of the low, would like to see some more instability though. Still, its far out and possibly something to track over the next week.

Yeah big changes last couple days. We need the rain but even tonight's has been chopped back to .25-.50

Looks like the bleak long range forecast of clouds cool and showers has evaporated Mild actually this week with clouds but rainfall cut way back and sure a cool weekend coming up but 70s aplenty with a nice spring week to follow

Yup . Another beaut

Spoke too soon, here comes the sun

Looks that way next few weeks too

With a shower this morning, we have officially crossed 10" of rain this month in my backyard. Wettest month we've had in the 6 years I've lived here. May to start dry and cool.....let's hope the faucet doesn't completely shut off as seems to have been common over the past several summers.

Believe a lot of apple orchards in Sussex county and ny got hit hard too.

Great question! Long term data is stored, but the website hasn't evolved yet to display that information. As a temporary work around, I've been taking the URL for the Las Vegas ASOS (you can use any western region ob) that capture the 5-min observations (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KVGT), then switch out the airport code for the MD mesonet stations, which use the nomenclature of three digits then MD (EX: 001MD, 002MD, etc.) Once you swap out the site code, refresh the page then left click 'Advanced Options' and you can select a time from the 'Number of Hours to Retrieve'. Paging @wxmeddler in case I missed anything.

Sunday looks kinda ruined again down here. terrible timing for a party

The PDO has been negative for 6 years. It's easier for the MA to be wet when the PDO is positive because La Nina like dry conditions are more likely when the PDO is negative. The coming El Nino can possibly fail if the PDO stays negative.

Stein trying tomorrow. Webbed hands blocking good rains

Feels like a 3 year cycle. You're right though. Who knows what is coming.

Glad we in just enough today

I went down the rabbit hole of the climate in the mid Atlantic during the Paleocene epoch, under the assumption that were slowly heading in that direction with climate. Of course there's no ironclad consensus, but the studies I read did seem to indicate that our region was drier during that time. Especially the winters were very dry with somewhat more moisture during the summer.

Every day has been sunny and warm here since this post

Who is she?

Flo did that

No, soil temps are warm enough now.

More like 2018-2022. Also who’s to say we don’t go right back to famine after the niño ends?

Just patterns. From 2020 to 23 it was a swamp around here. It even killed off lots of trees due to excessive rainfall and wet soil. From 2023 until now it's been the opposite. Guess what's coming next? Lol

Interesting development: Thunder

69.6" Appreciate all the work you put into making these maps