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Pit 2 looks good for this, but like he said they're hard to forecast.

Not weather related but I gotta say. My job had me in the right spot to get to meet the GOAT (Saban) & shake hands with him. Merry Christmas to ME!!!!

1/27-28/2004 was borderline epic here. An over-performer and we jackpotted for once.

I will say you GaWx & Carver have been all over this. Thank you for sharing!

Indeed - as has been the case for all of human history, and will continue to be the case for all of the rest of human history. The difference is that increasingly the primary reason for people going hungry isn't food production issues (or climate change), it's political instability. If anything attempts to *prevent* climate change will bring about a higher level of food insecurity, as less and less prosperity is available to poor areas, due to increasing pressure to not avoid using fossil fuels (e.g. for things like farm equipment, more-abundant electricity to power food processing facilities and transportation, etc.). Tugging on "going hungry" heart strings is nice, but one has to also use one's brain. That includes realization that the use of fossil fuels is a big enabler of prosperity; and that prosperity helps bring about - among other things - an abundance of food.

unless it's snowing or there is an existing snow pack to preserve for Christmas day, the higher the temp the better. Who the heck would like 30 or 40s and brown over 60's?

A very infamous moment back in the late 70’s when he and Vida Blue were supposed to be traded to the Sox and the commissioner RESCINDED it. I don’t think that’s ever happens since

Look at how much Dec 29-Jan 4 has cooled vs 2 days ago on the EPS thanks to the stronger -NAO pushing back from the NE despite the strong Aleutian ridge remaining. Two days ago: Today:

Shoreline probably still cooked but this is still looking like a solid 1-2" for most and the lucky ones will grab 3...maybe even 4" for those super lucky.

HRRR ramped up too

Icon came south a bit

Hang in there Voyager. Hope at some point you can move back west. You have always used this sub forum hope you don’t stop using it!

Cmon, damn

Jan 22 had a very fun miller b

The way the models have been adjusting especially with this upcoming cold shot because of the building negative NAO there will be some wild swings especially in the mid range.

Nice midwinter day here in Burlington. Light snow for the last 3+ hours with at least a couple more hours upcoming. Highs in the low 20's. Will be a nice "commute" home to Charlotte at 5pm.

Looks like DEN hit 75 today, tying their all-time December high from 1980. The December record for Denver comes from the old city station in 1939, with an absurd temp of 79. So sick of this pattern we're stuck in, and it's awful for the mountains/ski season/tourism/etc. And still no sign of meaningful change 10-14 days down the road.

The random posts about people being in the wrong forums, and I think I'm on the wrong board. I'm beyond depressed with seeing Friday's temps dropping. it doesn't help when Phoenix has three consecutive weeks of record pushing warm temps and the midwest torches this week. I like all of you, and I get good weather analysis here, but I'm a straight up warmanista, and am the antithesis of what this board was founded on and stands on. In reality, I live in the wrong part of the country, too, and should have NEVER left Arizona after my mom passed...

NAM continues to come south/colder/wetter with more than 2" now for CPK.

The forecasted high for Friday has fallen off a cliff over the past few days.

Just when you think we're getting some model convergence, the 18z RGEM drops a turd on our head. Looks like those paltry NAM runs from earlier.

Bam, Bam, Bam!

LWX mentions the big south trend in their afternoon disco!!! Meanwhile, another disturbance will emerge out of the West Coast trough and rapidly track up over the central US ridge Thursday into Thursday night, before diving east-southeastward toward the Mid- Atlantic on Friday. Guidance has shifted significantly southward with the track of this system with each of the last few model runs. As a result, many solutions now show wintry precipitation across the northern half of the forecast area (roughly I-66/US-50 northward). Of the solutions that do have wintry precipitation, most favor freezing rain and sleet, but some snow can`t be completely ruled out depending on the ultimate track of the system. The upstream flow pattern across the North Pacific (from which this system will originate) is highly complex at the moment, with critical pieces that will come together still to the west of the California coast, in the Gulf of Alaska, and in the Bering Strait. Another closed upper low to the west of Hawaii will likely also have a major impact on how the West Coast trough evolves. As a result, there could still be significant shifts with respect to the track of this system over the next few model runs, and confidence in the forecast is much lower than normal for five days out.

Well to be fair, Christmas Day is still forecast to be above normal up here but by less than it looked thankfully!

Friends, if you are looking to embarrass your kids, I highly recommend getting a giant sign installed in your front yard for everyone to see all day long and especially at the end of the day when buses are going by your house with kids on it who know your now teenager.