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I’m not going to lie I think this map is overdoing the drought in upstate and SW mountains. All week the news stations were saying 12-15” in that area was needed in a month to end the drought and a large part of that area got 6”+ last week with more from a few weeks ago and some isolated areas in SW mountains picked up 12-15”! No I wouldn’t Think it would “end” the drought but with that much rain I easily would’ve expected some areas to drop to “moderate”. Unfortunately going forward looks exceptionally dry for the areas in extreme drought in northern half of NC so missing this rainfall has likely doomed us to see rapidly worsening conditions over next couple weeks, again. In spite of rain, falls lake has continued to drop as very little fell upstream and water use has continued to increase. Cooler weather will be only saving grace here. Looks like SC and Georgia continue to get beneficial rains this week though
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah yeah, all that. Meanwhile, today? Chamber of Commerce. -
May 28 1965: Late season snow falls across much of Minnesota with Duluth and Caribou reporting an inch. For Thursday, May 28, 2026 1877 - A "terrific" two day long sandstorm (sand) blasted Yuma, AZ. (28th-29th) (The Weather Channel) 1942 - The latest snowstorm of record for the state of Iowa left ten inches at LeMars, eight inches at Cherokee, and 7.5 inches at Waukon. Afternoon highs were in the lower 30s in parts of northwestern Iowa. (The Weather Channel) 1947 - A storm produced heavy snow across Wisconsin, with ten inches reported at Gay Mills. The snow damaged fruit and other trees, and downed power lines. The storm was followed by the coldest weather of the month for much of the High Plains Region and Missouri Valley. Williston ND reported a low of 21 degrees the morning of the 28th, and the next morning Cheyenne WY reported a morning low of 16 above zero. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced torrential rains in Oklahoma and northern Texas. Lake Altus, OK, was deluged with nine inches of rain. Up to eight inches drenched northern Texas, and baseball size hail was reported north of Seminole and at Knickerbocker. Ten to 13 inch rains soaked central Oklahoma the last five days of May resulting in an estimated 65 million dollars damage, and forcing several thousand persons to evacuate their homes, many by boat or helicopter. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A sharp cold front began to usher cold, wet and windy weather into the western U.S. Thunderstorms in the Great Plains Region produced wind gusts to 80 mph near Brookings, SD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather continued in Florida. Five cities reported record high temperatures for the date. The record high of 98 degrees at Lakeland, FL, was their fifth in a row. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Florida late in the day, with golf ball size hail reported at Kissimmee. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Two to five inches of rain over southeastern Ohio on the 28th and 29th capped an exceptionally wet month of May, and triggered widespread flooding. Flooding which resulted claimed three lives, and caused millions of dollars damage. Numerous roads in southeast Ohio were flooded and impassable, and many other roads were blocked by landslides. (Storm Data)
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU Weather Center I will be releasing my 2026 Summer and Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks this afternoon! The developing El Niño should temper tropical storm and hurricane activity this season, but it only takes one. Expect a “backend” summer with hotter and drier conditions from July-September. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Getting (cautiously) more bullish that we see a classic Nino response and the W pac warm pool will not be as influential. The suppressed convection in the W pac, believe it or not, is actually being under modeled now. -
Upper 30's-low 40's around NE MN. Hog Creek up in Cook County hit 33. BTW, don't know about the rest of you, but starting to add idiots to my penalty box. If I need to see what is being said, I can just briefly open the door, then shut it again. We are here to enjoy the wx active or not.
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4.88" last 8 days. 6.11" total for May.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A great stretch of weather with temperatures running at least a few degrees below normal for the end of May and the start of June. With highs in the upper 60's to lower 70's and nights in the upper 40's to lower 50's. No rain chances through the weekend. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A great stretch of weather with temperatures running at least a few degrees below normal for the end of May and the start of June. With highs in the upper 60's to lower 70's and nights in the upper 40's to lower 50's. No rain chances through the weekend. -
Let the dry out begin...
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I agree 8:30 sounds strange even thinking about that. However, I think its a good trade off to prevent those dreaded 4:30 pm sunsets. I get out of work at 4:30 so my opinion is slightly biased.
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Out for a walk and it is wonderful! Sunny, nice breeze, low humidity, perfect early fall like summer day.
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I think that a lot of the frustration comes from saying that April (7th warmest on record in Detroit and Chicago) is equivalent to any of these months being below average, when none of them were anywhere near 7th coldest. Essentially the argument you guys are saying is 7th warmest is balanced by being colder than normal, even if it’s like the 50th coldest (I didn’t verify the actual ranking, feel free to check what those below average months ranked). So it just feels like a false equivalency that you guys are arguing.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
NepaJames8602 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As a cold/cool weather lover this is heaven. Hold that heat off as long as possible! -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Plus, a similar strength el nino in 09-10, which produced a very cold (and in the mid-Atlantic, very snowy winter) happened in between. In hindsight, though, we probably should have seen that 25-26 was going to be a cold and snowy winter in the East, and warm in the West. 25-26 was the 2nd year without a defined ENSO state. In recent times, 2nd years without a defined ENSO state (93-94 and 13-14) were cold and snowy in the East, and warm in the West. -
Many areas improved as expected. But they did extend the exceptional to more of the SAV area as NorthHills predicted. However, if the forecasts verify well, even this area will improve some there on next week’s map.
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25⁰ windchill at Scooters house. Family gathering in the living room huddled together with winter gloves hats and heavy blankets is so far from normal. Like a 75⁰ turkey day.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I am not exactly happy seeing this. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Crystal ball says MDT finishes the month with a mean temp of 62.0 -- good for 1.4 BN and middle of the pack all-time. Book it. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Late May is the equivalent of late November on the other end…so this isn’t even that. If this were June 8-10 and this happened maybe. What folks fail to realize…just as they do in late November(which is still very much autumn), is that Late May is very much still spring in New England, and this crap happens here. Everybody is always in a rush to bring in the next season…it don’t work that way on either end.
