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It's snowing in Reston? WTF?

Damn…

Panic room hasn’t been bumped in almost 36 hours.

14.7/1 with light snow just starting!

Wind is coming from the ESE here in Chattanooga which could be the CAD?

The temp keeps dropping. Mostly IP, but enough ZR embedded to stick it all together, immediately. These aren't loose ice pellets; they are combining into one big glacial sheet of ice. 21.7/14

Down to 29 with moderate freezing rain.

I am curious as to whether Monday provides a surprise. I guess we'll now in 48 hours.

Muthafkkers?

Making a final call map, does anyone have a blank map for me to use over MD, PA, VA? I don't have the same archived map DB i used to

So I’ve never seen this drastic of a split between the globals and American run CAMs at this range. What’s odd about this and gives me no past reference to draw on is typically when we see this kind of thing the euro and rgem/HRDPS kind of bridge the gap as those 3 are decent at seeing mid level earning. But they are all in the camp with the other globals (UK/Icon/gfs). The impact is most drastic actually for Maryland. Around DC and south we’re talking maybe the difference between 4-5” and 6-8”. But for places NW of 95 in extreme NW VA up through central MD we’re talking the difference between 5-6” and 10-12”! The divergence seems simple. The globals along with the Canadian high res models have an intense WAA and over the area from 12z-18z that the American CAMs do not. That’s why they are warmer. Less dynamic cooling to fight off the WAA at mid levels. Also less precip. That combo means 6” instead of 12” for places like Winchester-Frederick-westminster. What this comes down to imo is which camp is correct about the precip representation from 12-18z. Unfortunately I don’t have any great insight. Usually here is when I’d be saying “in this or that situation this is what happened” but I can’t remember a single case like this to draw upon. I guess I’m gonna ride with the euro camp. It would be hard to take the NAM and a bunch of experimental stuff over the highest verification tools we have. But on the other hand those CAMs were designed for this. When they score the euro a 30 mile shift in 800 mb temps and a meso scale precip band aren’t really going to impact those scores at all! Yes I just contradicted myself. If I had to make a forecast maybe I’d hedge and go in between even though that’s probably not the most likely outcome, one of these camps is going to win and that zone is either getting 5-6” or 10-12”. So a forecast of 8 would be gutless but the least likely to bust bad. @Terpeast @WxUSAF @CAPE @MillvilleWx Thoughts?

Just took the beasts out for a walk and saw a few flurries! (Reston) bring it!

Anybody up in Cross Junction? Should be first flaking there...

Okay, rye whiskey is poured. Cat is going outside, back inside, outside, inside, repeat... Caps game is on soon. Radar returns are showing up. And snow is on the way! Let's go!

0* at Pit2. Gearing up for .8 - .9.

You’ll fit in nicely

I've got 7-11" I-78/I-80 corridors and 6-9 EWR, CP, JFK

Watching this storm is the equivalent to watching a train crash in slow motion.

Jets fans are just as pathetic as their "football team". Absent anything positive to talk about their own team during their 15 year playoff drought they resort to trolling NE fans.

Exactly! The ensembles have a strong signal for many!

Patiently awaiting the "storm busts" posts when this is absolutely we want to bust.

Turn your phone landscape

You’ll grab a few Monday into Monday evening

The 18z NAM had the sleet line coming from Westminster Maryland to Harrisburg in 1 hour, which is absolutely flying Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk