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51.3 when I left the house this morning. .48" of rain had fallen, the intense area of rain is encroaching now...

This might be impossible but... are there any good social media Mets to follow? Specifically on twitter.

Of course it did, because it's cutting....but if it were a coastal, all we would here about is Tip lecturing everyone on how the fast flow from CC would yield in a shearing of the wave in the lead up to verification.

Was I wrong? A clipper going near or north of us with a marginal airmass isn’t a recipe for snow. Did you even look? I’m not sure why so many people on this forum are adverse to facts and truths.

yeah soundings are solid looking. I suppose there could be potential for a brief spinup along the leading edge today. I know there had a few warnings around STL yesterday and in fact, the line looks pretty similar to what went across that area yesterday.

Ya that one is tenuous down here without some shifts southward. Something like the 6z ICON has, where it transfers to a secondary east of the Cape, but futher south and sooner would be desirable.

Timing ?

Yep! If we can move that darn pig, chances are things will get better...

MSP did in fact issue a Blizzard Warning, lol...

Feels like Spring out there.

I have to agree with Eric Webb here. Despite what twitter is saying, this year looks absolutely nothing at all like last year at this time. It’s not even remotely close. The twitterologists either don’t have any semblance of a clue as to what they’re talking about or are straight up wishcasting if they think we are going right into the exact same pattern we had last winter by early January

This storm just kept steadily intensifying on all guidance over time. Now seeing 969 mb, on the euro, about 200 miles north of Quebec City.

12/23 might be tough in SE areas. Southerly or southwesterly flow in the low levels is never good there. The key though will be how cold we start. Could start off cold enough that it doesn’t matter as much.

Soundings had good shear. Turning wise.

The magic dewpoint number is really in the high 30s. Beyond a wetbulb of about 37-38F, the pack melting really takes off. That’s why sometimes you can get a 34F rainstorm on a decent pack and basically see almost no melting. But do it at 40F and it’s a different ballgame. The ice crystal structure changes faster.

Kind of interesting the SVR in NE PA has a tornado possible tag. Only instability is elevated

.33 here in 21057 High temp of 56.7 but falling fast since. Down to 49.8. I pulled the cars out so the last showers can wash the salt off.

56F in the valley in E CT with some rain

PNA going negative for a long time. You know it’s bad when even BAM weather thinks the pacific pattern stays stagnant for the foreseeable future. That said you only hate the idea of warmth. Once it hits your skin, you love it.

Went from 35 and mostly full snow coverage at home to 56 and zero snow by the time I got to work. Feels like May.

Likely already discussed but I didn't really love the 6z Euro Op. It did seem like it cooled slightly for Christmas however, with some flurries possible? Though good to hear the AI looked better. Let's start getting some better improvements across the board at 12z.

Valleys gon’ valley

You just described November through March here, outside of a few periods. Pretty heavy rain band now washing off those streets

Islip has broken high high temp record so far also

Snow cover is pretty much wiped out. Very patchy at this point. Started snowing around 5am and everything is now covered again.