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Storm potential January 17th-18th
coastalplainsnowman replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah but she cares if the PNA is negative amirite? sorry just wanted to sound smart -
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Confession: I have a major appointment Mon. Am 26th made 2 months ago. So I can almost guarantee a blizzard on the one day I really don't want it. Maybe we can adjust the timing until Monday afternoon.....
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Meet you at dogfish? Lol. I would love to be ground zero yet again Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk
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Yeah I got it now. That's Chuck's baby btw Until he makes a -PNA post then it becomes N Arlington's
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Spaizzo replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Just finished my work AI classes here. AI is only good as the data it is fed the question would be what data it’s being fed and what algorithms it’s using to weigh it. It truly might be seeing something that the regular models aren’t seeing. The ai chat bot we are building looks at our documentation portal but is learning to essentially guess at times what that person is asking. If it’s asked enough the same question it learns or corrects itself based off of whether or not the person continues asking etc. . -
GFS with a classic mixed bag for the 25th.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
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here---this is a true cape storm
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We get thru this 3 day weekend and this storm is still there 7 days out then maybe it’s worth tracking
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The 18z GFS is definitely running w/ the over-running idea. Unsurprisingly it has trended slightly north, BUT...this looks like the winters of the past decade where the cold stalls either at the Plateau or Apps. I bet if you dig back through my winter forecast in June, you will see this scenario mentioned.
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Have a nice time gooning, man.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
ORH_wxman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
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Cheers! Gulp gulp
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Can't see precip. effin WB lol that low location looks good tho
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Are we in Guy Fawkes ("Guys-Folks") territory???? -
Yeah, it's a nice hit. Plenty of cold. No snow maps tho
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Bing bong there it is.
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amarshall started following First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
amarshall replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I don’t bring it out often . -
Of course my laptop just died.
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And I get that it is frustrating for some. My pet peeve is tracking a potential pattern change, and it turns into a seasonal frontal passage. Haha. I just don't see this as a "can kick". Jan 1-10 was a can kick. This weekend's system was a pretty bad model error in terms of synoptics. I do think the GFS has a tendency to (erroneously)really, really amplify features on the map at times between the d 7-15 times. I don't understand it. It wasn't like that last winter that I can recall - maybe I need to go back and check. Right now, we are fighting widespread drouth over the SE. Trying to get a moisture conveyor belt going over drought areas is like pulling teeth.
