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A lot gets lost in semantics...technically, that mid January period was a torch because night time mins were very high, even though we didn't get any 55 degree-torch days. I get where both sides are coming from.

My first winter in Plainfield but I was in Maine skiing most of the month. 28 here feet and feet there

34 today

Well, now you know what weather conditions will have to be like to get to that level of cold. Realistically, the ambient temp is going to have to be at +5 with winds of 35mph to get there. Also, if that level of windchill is forecast, then we go beyond a cold weather advisory into a windchill warning. I really don't want either of those.

The hope is that we change that look to more blocking. I’d like to see a better NPAC though. Some signs it was trying to happen.

Link?

70:1 ratio?

How can we do that if they’re torching it after V Day though? Honestly ?

Yeah but you can see how their could be influence into the favorable phases in 2018. Interesting though.

That is hard to repeat. I’d role the dice with 2001 again.

Light snow , 34 temp...

It was snowing for about an hour. Very light. Didnt amount to anything.

What are we tracking again ?

The met from MU was touting -20 to -25 wind chills on Saturday.

Caveat being, we didn't have the baseline MC like forcing due to the warm pool back then, so maybe it's bit harder now...but like I said, I still don't think March will suck.

Yes. Seems like we just need to avoid the MJO from getting in the way during March...don't need it. 2001 flirted with phase 8 briefly, then went COD...2018 was actually briefly in MC before going COD.

I mean we are only 3 days into this snowiest month of the winter…so hopefully we can score some during peak climo. But ya…if it plays out like those charts, could be decent as you said. Or all that could change by the time we even get into March a month from now.

CFS?

That was one damaging month. Probably as anomalous as Feb 34 15. But we learned from the past to never say never

I see that Kentucky is getting heavy snow again this evening. This has been one of the most epic winter ever 150 miles north of our area. We are better at warming up from extreme cold and raining than any spot in the nation.

I mean, I'll take the under on me getting 45.5" again, but it will probably be a decent month.

Well after temp change charts posed as a torch, you were due to be next... a torchy post

East side of town, close to Middlefield town line and powder ridge.

18z EPS was a bit better FWIW