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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Gawx has pointed out that March 2026 will likely be the most +NAO month of March since 1950. Surprisingly, rolled forward to April and May is not a warm composite April May March to May -
2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Big time warm water is getting going in the western-subsurface. Could help to push the Nino a little further west if it stays under Nino 3.4 and surfaces Nino 4 is warming -
33.4, could get a freeze tonight. I'm glad I waited to plant my garden.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
here is a gif i made while working on a project that I think people might enjoy. It shows weather station density in PA, NY, NJ from 1930's to present day. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1r4BDH1gMlgvlXgP7s1zNFQnUv9bTeEhS/view?usp=sharing -
Update: @RevWarReenactoris out of the hospital but faces a long road ahead. He’s in the care of some good doctors but faces surgery in a few weeks and could be looking at dialysis in the near future. But to be clear, it’s the result of a birth defect, not lifestyle choices. It wasn’t the Big Arch!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
https://www.tornadotalk.com/roundtop-ski-resort-pa-ef2-tornado-april-28-2011/ I was thinking about the last time I ever went to my basement. The same cell that dropped the F2 at Ski round top tracked directly over my home back on april 28 2011 right around 6:25am. It was one hell of a storm and it's the first and only time water filled up my window wells and flooded my basement. I just found this article, put together about it on tornado talk from 2021 With images and videos of the damage. -
Time to say Goodbye Roger. We will all miss you
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Again, the overall pattern is not unprecedented, it's just amplified. See previous winters cited, then add on some AGW. In addition, it makes sense from a climatological perspective as the persistent pattern also produced Juneau, Alaska's snowiest winter on record, one of the coldest on record for Fairbanks, and some of the coldest temps in Canada in several decades.
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Is this extreme pattern a result of weather modification or solar geoengineering projects gone awry? Just asking for a friend . I'm only aware of smaller weather mod efforts like cloud seeding done years ago,, but you have to wonder. I mean, the high temperature records broken this winter, and especially this latest heat wave, are smashing records not just breaking them.
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these new NAM numbers would have us pushing 70 on Thursday. sometimes that happens this time of year… We’re waiting in misery like it’s never going to end and then all of a sudden it’s right there and you’re like where the hell did that come from? It’ll get cold again, of course, but I think still looks like April 1 is kind of a step out date graduating to a new paradigm along a seasonal change
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70 degrees on Thursday! Can't wait!
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I do but not until I retire in 7 years.
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Ahh man It’s a lot of fun. Used to love it. Only reason I stopped skiing for the most part, was that I got into snowmobiling. Only so much time and money while I’m still working. But it’s a great sport/hobby. Every once in a while when I do go…I really still enjoy it. You gotta get the heck out of that concrete jungle down there.
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Phoenix Experiences Warmest February and Winter on Record
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
To illustrate the extreme nature of the ongoing heatwave in Phoenix, there were six dates since 1980 when the daily record was broken by 8F or more. Four were: 3/19/2026, 3/20/2026, 3/21/2026, 3/22/2026. The others: 9/28/2024, 10/6/2024. -
B gradie in Greenfield. Needed at least one more 6”+ to move the needle,
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Ours is at 30.50 and climbing. High of 54, low is our current temp of 42.
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Amen!! I'm fine with 60s to 70s or so right now, but mid-upper 80s? Not yet, please!!! We'll have plenty of days (weeks!!) with oppressive heat in the 90s-plus and high humidity, that's a guarantee. Days where you feel like you'll just wilt or melt as soon as the sun hits you! I remember all too well the late spring and summer days when I was at Florida State University for grad school. Now THAT is oppressive, day in and day out with no break! It was always a sad day when that last cold front would go through north Florida sometime in early May...you knew there wouldn't be another one to bring in more refreshing air until nearly October!!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Blizzard of 93 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Bugs & humidity are the 2 main things that make me yearn for Fall every year. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Blizzard of 93 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The problem was a weak low traveled a bit too far for us into West Virginia. The secondary coastal low took its time developing & was very weak off of the DelMarVa. Despite the super cold Arctic air mass in place, there was a sneaky very small warm layer at 925 that did just enough to mix & flip us to sleet for awhile. If we did not mix or had minimal mix for an hour or two, that storm easily could have brought at least 18 inches of snow to the LSV. This will be included as part of my Winter grade that will be issued on April 10th.
