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  2. Nice timing too. Right around 18z plus more westerly flow in the BL vs onshore.
  3. The RRFS is decent too, just a bit later with timing
  4. Borderline big heat tomorrow. As expected ... headlines now flying. Prooobably 94 to 95? 95+ is sort of the "unofficial" "big heat" criteria. But it probably really should go by the HI values.
  5. About to land in Philly after spending a week in Ireland with mid 50s and a strong breeze. Adjusting to this heat won’t be fun.
  6. Yeah I thought Nam was decent too. I don’t think it’s widespread, but probably a couple of segments in the line that get strong.
  7. 92 already at 1 PM. Dew point around 63 so isn't the worst but definitely a little bit uncomfortable
  8. We will need a ark if the GFS is correct.
  9. Pretty decent agreement on the ensembles for an inch or so of rain over the broad area of the forum, over the next 7 days. Hope it pans out. We need a lot more than that.
  10. Currently 82° at home and 84° in downtown Greenfield. What a day, I may need to cut out of work early.
  11. So we just need to string together a few 115s
  12. I think we'll see widespread storms...should see a solid line evolve ahead of the front. Only question is whether damaging wind gust potential is rather isolated or more scattered
  13. This is in no way 2009-2010...not remotely relevant. You have brought that up a couple of times...it's moot. It was much weaker and the warmth was relegated to the western flank...not to mention we had just passed solar min with a neg QBO.
  14. 90 yesterday. Currently 85. Let's see if we can pull off another one here this afternoon. Tuesday is a lock and Wednesday looks promising for 90 here. A 4 day May heatwave would be sweet. Hoping for a nice banger on Wednesday and then Stein gets his webbed hands into this weekend. Can't see how anyone would route for cool/wet on MDW, including ACATT.
  15. If Chicago ever fixes housing affordability I'll be back sooner than later
  16. So we have a model temperature forecast for 7 months into the future and it's against an 1880-1920 mean. lol
  17. sad to lose a local, glad you're staying in the sub
  18. AO and NAO are usually about 0.85 correlated, but they are running apart this year: AO is -1.0 for 2026 so far, NAO is +4.4. March AO was +2 though. It has basically exactly neutral correlation April to May, and March to May [1948-2020]. There is a slight -EPO correlation actually March +AO to May- May is a little cooler temp wise in the CONUS after +AO March, which we have seen at least in the 1st half.
  19. Thanks, Chuck. Does it say anything about the May AO, That’s projected right now to be +AO.
  20. Some news on my front if anyone cares lol. Moving to Milwaukee next month. I'll be bringing my magnet to pull some Winter Storms and warm fronts further north.
  21. https://x.com/peakaustria/status/2056315272852648378?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
  22. 88 here at 12:20. Not a cloud in the sky
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