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Models are all over
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Congrats -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Dude you’re projecting lol. I’ve said all along I don’t expect anything, but there is a path to something. Just trying to be objective -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Hopefully less dynamics as early and a few more ticks north -
Outlier
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Don’t do it as I said
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Rains to Maines
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Gfs with the most amped run yet. Congrats NNE -
Antedecent southeast winds are a death knell for us. Hope this isn't a trend.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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really amped
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Makes sense. iirc the deamplification trend usually starts at 3-4 days out, no? otoh, the high moved way off to the east and we need it to stay to the north of us.
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GFS looks nothing like the Euro and is significantly warmer than its own 12Z run. North and west of the city still make out well. Pretty good for the ski resorts.
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18z GFS amped again
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I mean considering how much more euro is weaker rather not start big south moves each run. Little tick north before comes south again is fine be me.
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It takes 2.5 days for models to cycle thru the CAB soblook for either tomorrow night or no later than noon Saturday for sizable snow amounts to appear uniformly
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Yeah I don’t like the less confluence part either. Looks more like 6z
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Probably going to be a warmer run. Hope I'm wrong.
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Less confluence and stronger vort thru 84. Let’s see how this goes.
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Was not referring to you. SS media. Yours is a forecast, the ones I am referring to are just warm biased nuts.
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Those storms tracked way closer than near the benchmark
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I was on easternwx and accuweather forums back in the day. Does Robert (WxSouth) post anywhere? He was one of the best mets that knew our climatology.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm refusing to get my hopes up though the maps look pretty. Per this run, there will be gnashing of teeth in metro. Glad I chose the W/NW side of town to dwell. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don't care what it says right now....I'm not going to alter my forecast philosophy based on a day 20 forecast product. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
That is a page right out of December 2000/2002
