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2026-2027 El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Idk what's going to come of next winter, but this Stormsurf link has a lot of info and I've posted it before. Watching it the past 10-14 days, I'm not seeing off the Cfs links the things that were showing up back in 23/24. First of all, the SSTA graphs are starting to show a much weaker Nino. Likewise, as Chuck's mentioned, the SOI ain't cooperating. But what I find more compelling is the 3 month MJO forecast. The westerly wind anomalies represented by the yellow/red, seem to be stuck west of the dateline except for a brief intrusion east mid/late April-mid May. Moreover, there remains pockets of blue (easterly wind anomalies) scattered east of the dateline through the end of the forecast period late June. https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html I know it's early, but if that forecast doesn’t start showing some substantial changes, strong or super Niño forecasts look like a tough sell. -
75 in Dumont, Nj
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's funny, I was actually thinking about including your name in the post because, I realized we've been on the same level atleat in the terms of this topic. But then I figured I better not speak for @Itstrainingtime. There has been days i've gotten up and to check, and it's been scaled back.But it's very few and far between and it's generally done in the early morning update. -
Don't knock it till you try it. nah, -10F and sunny (no wind) is the best.
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69 here
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That western heater is just bananas. Hottest March temperatures in Salt Lake City… it’s like the whole past week is up there. The ski areas getting all sorts of weird wet avalanches they’ve never seen before.
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Ahh cubs opener fly over Loud af
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Just got buzzed by something fast and loud, very strange
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It’ll always happen this time of year as long as we control the onshore wind and we have sun. Barrier islands stuck at 50.
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Our local course opened yesterday...my son played and said it wasn't too wet (which is often the case this time of yr)
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Motherf*cker. First tick of the year on my neck after a lunch time walk in the woods.
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Also screen name appropriate ….. Well done! Stay refreshed, as always ……
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
My early hunch is it's right, but like I said....we shall see. So, so early... -
2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Going to be interesting to see how the cansips evolves this summer. It had the cold winter lakes/east look last summer and fall while the other seasonals were mild. Its showing another cold winter in those same areas for 2026-27. -
Forecast is 74, I'm at 72, so looking good. Jealous that my son is golfing today
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Up to 68. Forecast was 62. Nice warm bust
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Violentweatherfan replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I’d rather merge with Mid Atlantic -
74 pretty easily. It's a little humid out
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I thought it was supposed to rain today? Models had light QPF midday and yet it’s sunny and 50s up here. Amazing win for several hours here.
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Hoping we can pull a 90 this April
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Warm and muggy today, mid 70s in March. It's hard to remember it's still just March as we've had so many of these days this month. The NAO is very positive, but there has been a less than ideal 500mb pattern for very warm days this month in the W. Pacific (+EPO/+WPO usually drives major March warm ups - the WPO hasn't been positive this month). -
60!
