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Also current temp and low of 14 degrees.

EPS really high on 2nd half of the forecast period. Top map is snowfall at 180hrs and bottom map 360hrs.

This is your moment

Models aren't digging the vort like yesterday so this isn't a long duration event anymore. Totals are cut way back. The one good thing I see is that we may see severe small flow events the next 10 days. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

why I dont trust models not even 1-2 days out they change way to much for the same model from 1 run to the next

I'm not going to lie. This winter has been so frustrating and continues to be. We can't seem to manage a single decent synoptic driven snow. I've been checked out since the little event the first week of November and that hasn't changed and doesn't look to. I guess the plus side is I've had more sleep over the winter than ever before. Just incredible how bad the short term trends have been for this mid-week event. Yet another token NW event on deck.

Now that the end of week threat is practically dead… it looks really boring again weather wise… le sigh

Outside of the mountains this would be a painful look for our cold snap if it verifies:

Whoof knew overnight runs were awful when both the NE and MA forums were absolutely dead

This shows some pretty bad forecasts. Late December is the first set of images and the latter is as we close in on mid month.

I’ve read that the MJO is in 6, so this being a snowstorm is not likely, right? But the next 2 are more favorable. Tired teacher here. I want all of them.

0z EPS at 360hr is continuing to show a favorable N. Hemisphere pattern for cold, and possibly snow the last few days of January. I like this +PNA in the N. Pacific (which is something we have not seen much of in the last 10 years) And -AO all the way up north.

Been a long while since we’ve had an organized southern stream low run move across the south and run into an established cold dome. Simple overrunning setups work well here. Much rather a bowl pattern with an active STJ and cold air available to the north than have to rely on perfectly timed phasing, perfect ULL passes and unicorn farts.

There are a lot of nothingburgers.

If this were to occur, it would be almost exactly a year from last winter's Gulf Coast snow event. I'm rooting for you guys. We've finally made up for our snow drought here in Anchorage with us picking up 29 inches of snow over the last 6 days. I've never seen so much in this short of a period snow in my life.

How? The Euro gives nearly every active SE forum member snow. How often does that actually happen? 0Z EPS members: includes a few Gulf/SE solutions (6 of 50) for the SEmost extent like the op:

To Quote The Critic: "It Stinks!"

Yeah we do wind quite well. Sorry to hear flu has hit your house. That is never fun. I have heard it is bad this year. As for the Bronchitis I am on a multitude of meds. Got a Z Pak on board, pills to curb my coughing and an Inhaler. Back in my college days I had my first bout of it and it was bad. On the day of my graduation I had to carry a spit cup with me for when I had stuff come up. Once you have it you are more likely to get it. I know the signs so I did catch this bout early. But have not slept for 3 days as I cannot lay down without coughing. You need to catch it early so it does not go into Pneumonia. The Z Pak has already made a difference. Should be ok in a week.

looking more and more like post 2/1 we have a shot at some decent snow. Of course that's 2/3 of winter, and the beginning of sun-angle season

there are no issues with where to put the snow ;O

Of course the Euro has another near gulf coast snow event.

What the? Can we stop here?

Folks, are y’all sitting down? Or better yet, lying down? Ok, feast your eyes on the 0Z UKMET!

Really thought we had a shot at this one for some stupid reason...

Told you the storm would hear you. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk