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  2. The 2017 storm had a pesky warm layer around 800mb which caused the sleet line to be way north.
  3. Already some mPING reports in NW AR and NE OK. Seems those areas might be moistening faster than expected.
  4. 26f and windy af dew point 2
  5. If the M/D is pinging by mid morning that would be a poor showing from the globals.
  6. About 0.40” before the flip in DC (using 13z). So, probably 4-5”.
  7. Yeah- Helene ended up costing me just over $13k in tree work and landscaping on my property. Right now I’m most worried about being cold when the inevitable happens and power is lost. I do have a generator, but worry about folks that dont. Forecasted lows Monday night here are around 5. That’s concerning……
  8. I’m sorry, but that really doesn’t sound bad at all. My NWS forecast is around a foot, give or take, with a chance of snow. Not being our storm would imply rain, right? .
  9. I’m thinking 5 to 8 in the city, then a flip, is a good call
  10. i am using powders and spells to discourage the warm nose on Sunday
  11. Love how from 15 to 18z the NAM just absolutely books the sleet line up to Staten Island from Wilmington DE. Must be crappy rates and shredded precip.
  12. Starting at 6z/12z tomorrow, its hard to completely discount the NAMs, especially the 3K thermals.
  13. This run is like a hybrid of 12z and 18z. Stronger southern vort like 18z but less kinking back of heights as it gains latitude. Looks like it will be closer to 18z result though.
  14. Amazing how 8-12 inches is “not our storm.” Did ya all live through the past few winters? I swear some all timers like Nemo broke people from being able to appreciate big storms.
  15. How is a foot of snow “not our storm”? what a crazy comment
  16. Highest upside SWFE (due to coastal hybrid characteristics) since 2/2/15?
  17. People trolling that BAM weather guy on Twitter is actually hilarious .
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