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CANSIPS has a cold bias N. Atlantic SSTAs May-September are a great predictor of coming Winter NAO state. It has started to go more negative over the past few days

July has been a wet month since 2017

IZG did for sure

It'd be nice to get one of those tropical days where downpours with lightning form at like 12 PM and we get a few rounds of lightning for the rest of the day. Top it off with a distant lightning show after dark. maybe in july

I asked for 2 shots. One for me and one for you.

There was a look on some of the reliable models of the storms ushering in a pattern change. It’s just that after the storm hit it got can kicked and then collapsed. I addressed that in a follow up thread.

Did any official stations hit 90? Didn't make it here with the cirrus. No heatwave this go around.

Why do you do this?

I changed the tags the other day, maybe replace the first part of a variation of that. I would’ve done so if I had the ability to.

Well to be more specific you’re in S Wey . Just so he is clear

Even so, I have to get used to it. Feels pretty hot at first. I like to enjoy things about every season but summer still is my least favorite.

I closely observe the Drought Monitor weekly and have given credibility to its assessment until May 200% of rainfall in Augusta and the 310 ft. water table returning from - 15 to - 2. This Drought Monitor measure is completely wrapped up in government bureaucracy as the Va. DEQ said last week that the drought continues because "groundwater levels are much below normal". What a joke! They have increased from minus 21 in February to minus 2 in May. I can't rely on the Drought Monitor or DEQ.... I will rely on my own assessments in the future. Thanks Very Much for your interest!!!

He made the thread ahead of the last rain event, but there was already a Med/LR discussion thread. This one got pinned after that, which really didn't make sense as there was no hint of heavy rain going forward, and there still isnt.

Yeah humidity bottomed out at 16% here this afternoon with a high temp of 88°.

Philly news tonight with voluntary restrictions in certain areas.

F ing Omen title. Has brought nothing but bad luck, bad timing and zero rain.

Too bad Electric Blue closed

@WxUSAF Please change the title of this thread. Its ridiculous- the antithesis of the reality of the situation going forward. Maybe just delete the first part and make it "June 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion".

Any chance we see anything from this tonight in long exposures? https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/update-g3-watch-4-5-june-utc-days

No changes in the drought status for the area with today's update. If some of the LR forecasts come to fruition there will probably be some parts of the area(probably SE) that will be in extreme drought category.

Smoke? There’s some cirrus moving through. Vis seems fine.

87F for high. Sitting at a comfy 75F now.

Wildfire smoke ruining a perfect evening?

US Drought Monitor is a contracted service with the University of Nebraska-Lincoln with decades of AG experience. The composite for the area has actually shown improvement from week to week after the last period of rainfall leading to a downgrade in category from Extreme to Severe at a higher prevalence. The top soil layer is only part of the equation and it takes more than 5-7" of rain to combat a persistent deep layer soil moisture pitfall. It took a step in the right direction this go around compared to what has been occurring. I can tell you don't like government bodies by this response and I for one have issues with some government entities as well because I want to hold governments at all levels to a higher standard, however the work done from top to bottom in this industry is critical in maintaining a positive report with the AG industry which spans far and wide across the U.S. This group is consistently praised by the decision-makers at large and anecdotal evidence from a small part of a bigger picture does not represent the entire story. We can agree to disagree, but I thought the map made sense from all the data I have parsed, which I do on the daily while I'm on the job.

You can call the ASOS weather phone. They pretty much all have one…AWOS too. A few of the bigger sites do have online software with realtime data. The NWS has 1 min obs from PHX up on their site too.