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  2. Kmlwx
    Then again...clouds are one of our most common failure modes. I do think someone will get walloped tomorrow. But I might have been inclined to keep it at 30% with no CIG hatching. The CSU MLP guidance has not painted any 45% contour at all on today's runs. That said, the 30% on that guidance *is* centered over the DC region.
  3. Stormlover74
    I think its time for Mr. G to hang it up
  4. cyclone77
    After a little break from the heat this week it's coming back next week. Up to 0.22" for the day.
  5. Damage In Tolland
    Give a few examples !
  6. Chicago Storm
    the smoke is still here. still ranging between 3-8SM at all obs sites across ne il.
  7. Yardstickgozinya
    Thank you for checking it out. The Dauphin county youtube channel has some good stuff. I really enjoy the friends of Wildwood and Friends of Fort hunter lecture series. https://youtube.com/@dauphincounty?si=Uhbac1Gt5xRdxPjr
  8. HIPPYVALLEY
    You are free to leave anytime you want, bruh’! I bet there’s a few on here that would even come help load up the moving van for you.
  9. LakePaste25
    Should see that -PDO continue to weaken into the Fall as the CTKW’s move north along the west coast and the upwelling from the california current weakens as the N Pac high begins to take a beating.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    This afternoon's line of storms was gusty, like the morning line, but it was weakening as it moved through and didn't last long. I only got 0.38" this time. We were not able to recover enough after the first line.
  11. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea. Unless you live in a high prone power loss area, i don’t think WHG’s are worth it. It looks cool and is obviously super convenient but if you run the numbers for a mid sized home that rarely loses power (less than once/5yr), it’s a loss. If folks have the extra cash in this brutal economy, sure…get it. But I would recommend a good portable generator for everyone else.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    18z HRRR largely clouds over the warm sector tomorrow. Hard to see that happening.
  13. NEG NAO
    WPIX trying to increase their ratings or decrease them ?
  14. BeastFromTheEast
    When you factor in real-feel, nearly a 50 degree drop from the peak of the recent heatwaves. Low temps in the 50s will feel so foreign after this recent stretch! I love our climo! Just when you think things are starting to get extreme and unrelenting Mother Nature gives us a nice respite. Same thing in the heart of winter when the bitter cold stretches are followed by a nice thaw.
  15. Met1985
    Nice! Yes it's very beautiful around the area.
  16. buckeyefan1
    Welcome to mby Not the cliffs, but in the area and yes, it is pretty here
  17. donsutherland1
    A cooler regime is in place and will remain in place for an extended period of time. Highs will generally reach the upper 70s and lower 80s through the week and into the start of the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms are likely tomorrow into Wednesday. Some areas could pick up heavy downpours with flooding a possibility. Daily rainfall records for July 21 include: Atlantic City: 4.60", 1969 Bridgeport: 2.16", 1961 Islip: 2.69", 1984 New York City-Central Park: 2.26", 1983 New York City-JFK Airport: 2.45", 1948 New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 2.06", 2006 Newark: 3.23", 2006 Philadelphia: 3.45", 1988 Wilmington, DE: 3.80"m, 1988 The long-term outlook for the remainder of July has swung to near normal or even somewhat cooler than normal on the guidance. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.1°C for the week centered around July 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.82°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -21.79 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.825 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 64% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.8° (0.7° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  18. Today
  19. dailylurker
    We don't do widespread severe around here. In my 47 years of life in this area I've seen widespread severe once or twice. It's normally very localized like what happened in Pasadena a couple days ago. Even the day La Plata was hit with the EF 5 was pretty lame. That Southern MD super cell was the only game in town that day. I remember thinking it was a bust until I heard about the GOAT tornado. The derechio was the the most widespread severe I've seen.
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    +2.03c on this date is greater than +1.7c in 1997 and 2015 at this time for highest since 1950 (+16%!)
  22. cyclone77
    0.17" of anvil rain earlier.
  23. snowman19
    All one has to do is look at this….the last 2 super El Niños (1997, 2015) at this point in time compared to this one. It’s not even close…it’s blatantly obvious we have a historic, monster event coming…..
  24. vortex95
    This is a case where the shear is not from a trough, but the E side of a strong upper-level ridge. In these cases, the TC can be forced to the S, which is a motion that TCs most often do not respond to well. Convection gets sheared away in short order and you are left w/ an exposed LLCC the moves more w/ the low-level flow.
  25. frontranger8
    Touched 101 in my backyard.
  26. Stormchaserchuck1
    2 good signs for the Winter: 1) SSTA south of New Foundland is cold. This is up to 65% correlated to DJFM -NAO 2)-PDO is cooling off a bit
  27. Chinook
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