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  2. I hope this system misses us. Our infrastructure cannot handle another beat down like last night's.
  3. Being pretty sure or confident on any long term weather pattern is an oxymoron. Knowing how complex these things are, statements like these serve no purpose and are not productive.
  4. Absolutely correct! I'm often as much as 5 or so degrees different than MDT.
  5. NAM seems to not understand the concept of downslope....I think the eastern parts of the area have a better chance of seeing over 1 inch with this
  6. Euro is definitely the most meh of models. It also hasn't exactly inspired confidence in the day 3-4 range. Lets see if the meso's start ticking more aggressive with the OE stuff as we get closer. The INVT trough is a crapshoot
  7. Did anyone anywhere get anything from this POS system?
  8. My station is consistent with all of them around me. I believe it's just about 100% accurate. When I made my post, the Airpark down the road was 31. MDT has been consistently running lower than me for a couple of months now. Edit: Every station to my east is in the low to mid 30s. Every station between me and MDT is in the 28-31 range. Interesting. Still say my station is accurate.
  9. Interesting timing difference.. GFS/NAM vs EURO .. EURO slowly bleeds the cold in Saturday afternoon.. NAM/GFS are much more of a "whoosh" with NAM showing an 18 degree in one hour temp drop around daybreak here.. ICON/Canadian more in line with the EURO, so it's American guidance vs foreign.
  10. Squalls are very hit and miss. I’m not a fan of broad 2”+ amounts when there isn’t a broad precip shield. Sure, someone may get that, but good luck pinpointing where squalls will focus
  11. Exactly how many times are going to post the same exact thing Jeremy? It gets tiresome.
  12. denver is ugly but most of new america is
  13. @40/70 Benchmark Even a better page dedicated to the RONI and much easier to view the data https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/#latest-data
  14. This morning was the warmest I've had in a while 16F when I let the dog out Sunday morning looks to be the coldest of the weekend, but nothing we haven't seen before
  15. Can you explain the difference between a SWFE set up versus Miller B? I know there might be some overlap, but is it a Midwest originating low redeveloping off the coast in Miller B verses south westerly originating LP that then may or may not redevelop off the coast in SWFE? Anything on the 500mb to look for difference-wise?
  16. I know. I texted you the exact same thoughts a few days ago. You must have not seen it. It's unbelievable! Even in bad winters we get 10 inches alone from nickel and dime events. 2011/2012, 2012/2013 are a couple examples with plenty small events. I do believe we get 1 or 2 more moderate events but the lack of more frequent lighter snows will probably be the deciding factor in getting to average.
  17. Yea, better chance in March, but it's probably decidedly RNA from here on out IMO.
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