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Quite possible yes, but 06z GFS is also quite toasty for Wednesday into Saturday - using 18z 2mT at DCA: 99/101/102/97 I don't see what you mean on the 00z Euro... that is a big no thanks from me re 2mT. Mid 100s? Blech

That graphic should read "with reduced subsidence into MC"...I'll have to correct that later. Tough catching everything with 4 kids under the age of 7

Lol .04 last night whoopee

Low of 67 with .06” of rain. Might have to start checking some records for next week.

Rain completely fell apart here. Typical

Doesn’t look a day over 69

Yeah perhaps. We thought Memorial Day was kicking off a rainy pattern as well. I’m generally skeptical we go to a AN precip regime before the fall.

I hope he enjoys watching Superman 3 today

You can see how that has edged eastward a bit relative to the mean positioning from the past decade.... I expect that to the theme of the winter....better, but not quite there yet. Excerpt from my June update: What this implies is a season that will maintain some milder warm MC influence in the mean, especially given the degree to which intense El Niño events elevate global temperature, but with greater variability, which may very well appease east coast winter enthusiasts during the climatologically favored interval of the coming winter season. Indeed, it appears as though the wise early hedge is for winter 2026-2027 to have multiple personalities with increased volatility.

Yes more details on this please so I can replicate!

Completely expect MC forcing for much of December and maybe into some of January. Ironically enough, if @snowman19is right, and we are able to vanquish the MC for this season, then it probably means a somewhat colder first half.

Yea, I would gamble with that season again....it could have easily been like 1982 with near average snowfall if that February blizzard made it like 100 miles further north. Just accept that it isn't going to a cold season in the mean.

Except this isn’t happening in a vacuum, it’ll be on top of what fell on Tuesday and will be followed by the start of an active storm pattern to kick off July.

Gun-to-head, I think our area may end up colder than 2015-2016, even though it may be comparable or warmer on a national level.

Last day of school today for NYC public schools

Looks like Toledo is going to graze 100° on Wednesday and Thursday

.05" of rain overnight/this morning. Meh.

Can you take some pics of the meadow area? What did you plant there? You converted turf grass to that ?

Another drencher. 59.3° +RA

Not sold on widespread 100s. It's several days out, some models like the Euro have a known mid range heat bias, and it's rare to get an airmass that supports many 100+ degree air temperatures readings. We probably won't know until next Tuesday if we're going to have a legit heat wave on our hands, or if this is just going to be a few hot days.

Only about .16 in this area.

0.0

i'm sure this will be the first strong ridge in years that trends weaker

A well needed .47 for HVN.