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Despite the MRGL/SLGHT risk SPC has for the region Fri, it still looks to me too warm aloft and capped for any significant storms most of the region. Still +12 C at 700 most of the day. The ridging aloft starts to break down by late aftn, but models show very limited storm coverage. Isolated storms at best. Best chance the PA border and SW VA/parts of WV. Looks good for considerable tstm activity Sat-Mon. GFS and ECMWF quite wet for the region in the next week.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
5:00 am 74 dgrees. Stay hydrated today. Voyager enjoy your day Might try and squeeze a grass cut in this morning. Clover gone wild -
max HI 113 high temp 96
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Having CanSIPS and JMA on our side at this point is actually encouraging no matter what ECMWF and Chuck say
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I’ll reiterate that I thought Chris Martz looked really bad due to saying “it’s called summer” and for saying “heat dome” wasn’t the correct term. However, I also said Jeff B. was wrong for calling the current/upcoming US heatwave one of the most expansive in history. Here again is Chris’ post responding to Jeff: But I forgot to earlier mention this: The mean temp in July (and also in summer as a whole) comes out close to normal rather than hot in the E US when averaging RONI based super strong El Niños. See image below. Hardly any were hot. 1957, 65, 72, and 97 were slightly cool. 1982 and 2015 were NN. Only 1991 was hot. That’s just 1 of the 7! That’s enough for me to say that the upcoming super-El Nino in combo with GW is not the direct cause for the current E US heatwave as Jeff said. GW, by itself, obviously favors hotter heatwaves than when the Earth was cooler. But the supposed super-El Nino piece of this, itself, correlating to E US heat does not compute to me at all. Thus whereas I thought Chris’ post was terrible, I also think Jeff’s was pretty bad, itself. @donsutherland1
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The Ring of Fire around the ridge. My turn here in Chicago is on Saturday-I'm flying out on Sun so hopefully we're done then and maybe it'll be severe I get to see. Suffolk got hit this morning and much needed. We're in convective season where synoptic systems don't happen other than anything tropical. The south shore LI pretty much goes into a 3-4 month drought because of all the storms that die before making it there.
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WNW winds will determine. Probably Ambrose Jet tomorrow so that's shot.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Over 100 at the house now. missed any rainfall to the ne of me -
I bet Newark will hit 105.
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I don't know much about soccer but that looked like some serious "you're not meant to win it this year" bad luck to lose what I understand is our best scorer for the next game from purely incidental contact that led to a red card. That is so dumb, smh
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A Montgomery county ABC store closed this week and my brother stopped in and got me these for $20 apiece. They're all decent, but I'm liking the Funky a lot!
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Why does upstate ny and new england get whacked constantly with storms but we cant get shit here.
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He is young and has been handled terribly, so still some hope if the ownership has the balls to clean house at the top. New GM. New manager, and coaches. Hard to say which of those is worse right now, but its all bad and major change is needed.
