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Keeping my fingers crossed that we get a much-needed heavy downpour tonight. It has been close to 2 weeks since we've had rain and the ground is bone dry. I'm tired of having to water the vegetable garden almost every day, so hopefully some help from mother nature tonight.
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HRRR is around that .25" ish
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It didn't have much two weeks ago on Wednesday and we know what happened in parts of Queens and Nassau. WX/PT
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Didn’t get the shower but got the humidity here -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I think 50/50 shot of getting a storm here. Or at least .25 which is minimum needed to wash in . Late timing generally weakens storms but it’s not impossible -
certain mets have been touting plenty of storms and downpours tonight, what could possibly go wrong?! You don't trust them? Drop the fert and be done with it!
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You'll hopefully see a few storms. Yeah everything collapses rapidly, we're all expecting a dry fropa besides Coastalwx
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Superstorm started following Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Superstorm replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Brief shower came through to make it nice and humid. . -
Let’s get an all out torch
- Today
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Probably will stay north of us... but... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0998.html Mesoscale Discussion 0998 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2026 Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western Pennsylvania...northern West Virginia...and northern Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 061507Z - 061730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity to increase in coverage and intensity through the late morning/afternoon with an increase in damaging wind potential. DISCUSSION...A line of storms continues south and east across portions of eastern Indiana into Ohio, with occasional strong to isolated severe gusts (50-60 mph). It is uncertain how this will evolve downstream, with guidance showing potential for maintenance and intensification along the remaining outflow later in the afternoon. Gradual increase in forcing for ascent will occur this afternoon as strengthening mid-level flow overspreads the area with the trough across the Great Lakes. Filtered heating is expected through broken mid-level cloud cover. This in combination with dew points in the low to mid 60s will yield around 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Additionally, steepening low-level lapse rates are expected, supporting downward transport of higher momentum flow aloft to the surface. Additional downstream development is likely with potential for several clusters of storms capable of damaging wind through the afternoon. While exact timing of this threat remains uncertain, a watch will likely be needed to cover this potential by the afternoon. ..Thornton/Thompson.. 06/06/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...
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some sprits of rain here.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This little line moving through now is NOT the main front; it’s some sort of pre-frontal trough feature. The front won’t move through until later tonight.- 388 replies
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We hope its right but I wish it was a couple hours earlier.. might be some weakening by then
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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Hopefully that extends into July
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At least Weymouth got about 6". Enough for Scott to "break the 6" drought" and it look "VIOLENTLY BEAUTIFUL" out there! LOL.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
nw baltimore wx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Is this early frontal passage going to hurt our chances along and west of 95 later? I kind of expect anything that fires up later will be eastern areas.- 388 replies
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Main severe threat just like the last severe threat a couple weeks ago will be the damaging winds usually when the storms are approaching any affected area - this is especially dangerous at the many outdoor events this time of year during this weekend
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Getting overcast by me. Keeping temps down hopefully! Nice breeze too.
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Lake breeze keeps paradise weather around lakeside until late next week
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I was going to post the same thing We had some decent sun until about 10:00. Pretty much clouds ever since. Out to mow my postage stamp-size of a lawn. Be back in 20 minutes. 67*
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Late May/June 2026 Medium/Long Range
JenkinsJinkies replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
Check if the thermohaline circulation has weakened recently. A similar occurrence in 2013 was caused by it.- 140 replies
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- we got burned
- rugpull central
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Definitely not reaching 90 up here today. Currently 81 and deeply overcast but humid. Thankfully we’ll take it since we had baseball today.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He was but my point is that Paita is just a very specific small area in the far edge of 1+2. It’s 1+2 that we follow because it matters significantly as far as Nino effects on the globe are concerned. And the current 1+2 is nowhere near record highs. I’m adding important context related to this tweet you posted. Without what I added, one could be fooled into thinking that 1+2 is at all-time highs, which is nowhere near true. -
End of ensembles trying to shift low heights into SE Canada. Wtf
