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  1. Past hour
  2. Blizzard of 93
    .66 of rain in Marysville today through 5 pm.
  3. vortex95
    GFS MOS had 93-94 and it got to 93 at DCA. And the GFS does not have smoke integrated into it, so apparent the smoke was not a factor for heating. The Td got to 77 and DCA and IAD. You get more bang for you buck per deg for Td than T when it comes to increasing CAPE. There is a sig difference between say 72 Td and 77 since moisture increase is not linear, and it really goes up fast once in the 70s!
  4. WxUSAF
    I missed the action in Columbia due to a funeral… but my son said it was “scary”. As @Herb@MAWS posted in the other thread, about 1” on the day now. Just heard thunder again.
  5. pazzo83
    i was on the verge of thinking it couldn't rain here anymore lol
  6. donsutherland1
    Showers and thundershowers are possible early tonight. Some of the thunderstorms could bring flooding downpours and strong winds. Highs will generally reach the lower 80s through the middle of next week. Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night into Wednesday. The long-term outlook for the remainder of July has swung to near normal or even somewhat cooler than normal on the guidance. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -23.95 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.735 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.5° (near normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  7. jm1220
    1.2" here today but been a rainy month overall.
  8. SACRUS
    Dewpoint temps up to low mid 70s = 74 here CNJ
  9. SACRUS
    2.25 inches of rain most of which fell between 1:30 and 2:45
  10. Herb@MAWS
    On the east side of Columbia, the afternoon thunderstorm gave me exactly 1.00 inches. Counting a pre-dawn thundershower, I’m at 1.11 inches for the day and 4.39 inches for mid-July, not too shabby.
  11. winterwx21
    All of the early action doomed our chances for late day and evening, but we got plenty of rain so I'm ok with it.
  12. vortex95
    That's quite good for 12z, esp. the CAPE!
  13. IronTy
    What the hell is it with this precip split for Southern Maryland. It's been all summer. Rain north, rain south, black hole in the middle. We better make up for it this winter.
  14. canderson
    They can cancel the T-Storm watch for the HBG area imo Tuesday has always looked more legit to me.
  15. vortex95
    If you confused, you are not alone. While I understand what SPC is trying to do here (quantify risk better), it not easy or always intuitive (probabilities and statistics are are tough subject for many, or kind of dry)! If mets and wx enthusiasts have problems figuring this out this, forget it as to the general public! It somewhat reminds me of interpreting the homograph, it not intuitive at first you have to spend time on what you are looking at and think in 3-D despite looking at a 2-D plot!
  16. Stormlover74
    Lol RADAR OUTAGE: The National Weather Service says its KDIX radar is currently down for an unknown reason. Technicians have been notified, but there is no estimated return-to-service time. You can still monitor the NWS national radar mosaic, which incorporates surrounding radars, but local low-level coverage may be less precise. Keep Wireless Emergency Alerts enabled, follow NWS Mount Holly and trusted local media, and use a reliable weather app for warnings. We’ll continue monitoring updates and public reports here.
  17. Rhino16
    Richmond has some impressive numbers at the airport. Wonder what will go into the report.
  18. CAPE
    Glad I got that storm with the warm front this morning. Seeing the usual gap on the radar.
  19. vortex95
    Good to know. Thanks!
  20. KAOS
    large tree branches down, numerous intermittent power failures, 10 minute power outage. strong winds. from untrained eye appeared as if may been a microburst. house creaking. local lightning strikes. 21122.
  21. weatherwiz
    I would wager by 5:00 we probably see an MCD for western areas.
  22. Chinook
    Punxatawney Phil needs to get to his basement or sturdy room. Oh, he's a groundhog? Already in his den, underground.
  23. Voyager
    I don't know what happened. The rain seemed to train over the area. One concern I have is that I looked at the USGS Tamaqua gauge and it showed a bit less than my backyard. It shows 1.25". I wonder how accurate the hepatic rain gauge on the Tempest is. More and more, I've been contemplating going back to a traditional weather station with a tipping bucket and wind cups.
  24. LakePaste25
    Important to note that this El Niño event will remove a lot of heat from the oceans (and into the atmosphere) if it materializes as record-breaking. This is one of the reasons why El Nino doesn’t preclude a strong La Niña, and ENSO itself acts more like a damped nonlinear recharge oscillator.
  25. enpawx_observer
    They just showed a drone shot on the Phillies broadcast and it's pretty heavy. Not as bad as Thursday but still super noticeable
  26. jm1220
    Latest HRRR has the South Jersey Alley area keep getting hit and whatever storms coming from UNY fizzling as they get here.
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