All Activity

Sure

@stormtracker @WxUSAF new thread before 18z?

Pretty consistent outside of exact details it’s gonna snow! Who’s got that gif?

Been busy at work and haven’t been able to lol much. Are things still relatively tame from a wind perspective?

On occasion (much less common now) a met will wear just the wrong shade of ... green? and they become transparent... that was more in the 1980s/1990s

Feels like a good time to share this with the type of ice accumulation being talked about. Unfortunately winds look to get quite gusty during the height of the freezing rain as well. I'm praying for as much sleet as possible now, or for this thing to just cut all the way to Memphis.

Understood. My question is this was showing an 1"+ of freezing rain for the top half of the state up until 12-18 hours ago and now it appears it's just the upstate forecast to get significant ice. I said "most" of SC in my initial question regarding drastic change in accumulation for the better (less). Just wanted to make sure I'm looking at the map correctly and it's nothing egregious outside of upstate.

His name is PEE DEE though. So I assume he is looking at the ZR totals for that region. on that particular map it's not all that bad. However, there is plenty of time for that to change.

I would trade places with you in a heart beat, dont like being under the threat of any amount of icing

I mean I get it but even if you do not even look at Synoptics climatologically thinking you 60-90% of the time mix in these situations. Check all past storms like this however it does vary north to south or southeast to northwest depending on the cold high up north or phasing or not. I get the suppression thing but remember we are in a La Niña after all and heights typically rise along the southeast coast southwestern Atlantic.

There are a lot of signs that point to this being a very strong thump especially south of the pike.. extremely anomalous WWA setup . As is euro is like 9+ hours of 1-2” + rates around here..

It looks like 7PM to 12AM or so... not a huge impact for most

Does Cherokee stay open throughout the storm durations? I know Bristol Hardrock opens but has a hard time staffing.

Really need to see soundings to see where that warm nose is if you cant see the 700 maps.

Feen is back at it

If the the primary is further north then I believe precip would come in faster but also end faster/dry slot. If the primary is further south it's slower and the coastal is the show meaning starts later, longer duration, all snow.

What does the Euro Narcan say?

I hope local communities are starting to get very serious about setting up shelters. This kind of ice with those kind of temps afterwards is a deadly combination.

no doubt about it. 12z looking bleak. I think I'm more than ok with this amping into an apps runner to avoid ice issues. Even though deep down that hurts my weather loving heart. I think this one is gone and personally will go down as one of the biggest let downs of an extremely disappointing winter.

I think that makes sense. Temps on Euro are straight up hot. I think even the Canadian is more realistic with temps with a similar storm track.

My Snowmap, will adjust as we get closer. NYC 18 DC 19 Boston 18 Philly 17

EPS gives me 11 inches and .39" freezing rain. I find that hard to believe since the warmest that I get at 850 is 28. 700 is not available. The ECM AI ens. gives me 14 inches of snow. ZR not available on AI.

Our trip to Wisp next Thursday through Sunday is going to be a little chilly...