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  2. The second things like sun angle start becoming an issue again all I can think about is the lake getting warm as fast as possible. I think last year was pretty good in that respect since spring was pretty solid iirc. Since we're looking at cold cold for at least the next two weeks, this may be my first year of actively pulling for a torch in about three weeks' time.
  3. If the GFS misses this storm again (it likely will) like last week it should be shut down. The power it uses would be better used elsewhere. How has the American flagship model gotten so obsolete? It's truly embarrassing.
  4. It’s ensemble was completely dif and significantly west
  5. Those temps are more like NE. Cold has not disappointed
  6. GEFS looking better at hour 78. More separation of our TPV and better ridging between the two systems already. Not surprised though as the GEFS usually follow the OP. The western ridge also got better.
  7. There are lands south and east of the beltway it turns out.
  8. 18z ICON says congrats Bermuda.
  9. We are used to heart break - but we got a shot at least!
  10. Mount Holly believes, at least a little. My forecast for the weekend- Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 19. Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 5. Saturday A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 19. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. Blustery. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  11. My favorite type of storm. Ocean Bomb backing in.
  12. 18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  13. I have no idea how to extrapolate - but MY EYES see the Euro with something, the GFS with a good thump, NAM showing something and RGEM showing something. Odds are there, but it's razor thin for the upstate, SC people. I honestly think unless this heifer goes OTS, a lot of our board is gonna get a good little thump we haven't seen in a long time.
  14. Man the GFS has actually been the most consistent the last day and a half. Trying not to let it suck me in lol
  15. could be an all timer if you shift the ULL northeast like 100 miles .. so close to being an amazing look
  16. Nevermind... the RGEM actually looks like the GFS at the end of its run
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