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Good to see the 12z GFS, Canadian & Euro each showing a winter storm chance for Tuesday at this point. Plenty of time to sort out the details, but it would be great to get on the board so early even if it ends up as a light event: It should be just the beginning of our chances in December.

You watch your mouth. Don't speak it into existence. Lol Low ratios and snow falling during day in marginal temps will definitely lead to a lot of compaction. Going to be heavy wet snow

Temp is dropping and wind starting to pick up a bit. Down to 44

yeah, that’s exactly what we want to see.

SW winds though. Kind of meh for that.

Snow or not, winter is coming .

Love how the one hole in lower totals in literally over my county. Lol. Can't make that $hit up

Some said it wouldnt happen...some were wrong

Near 60 at work in Chelmsford. Gorgeous!

We are back to bashing all models that don’t show our preferred solutions and praising the models that do, no matter what model it is. gotta love this place.

Well to be fair Brett…this is 6-7 days away…I’d rather have it look tepid at this stage, than have it show a full blown blizzard bullseye for the area right now. And it’s gonna oscillate on guidance over the next 3 plus days. But it’s ok to say the Pattern looking more promising, but we keep expectations in check as you said earlier.

I feel cheated.

I like the cold look. Whether that produces anything precip-wise tbd

Just got a feeling from past events that modeling is underplaying Fridays windex squall potential. That's some low 500 temps. Add some lift and some streamers and some quick inch or 2 s . Something to watch.

Happy Hour coming soon

Obviously not after 12Z run

To many of us, no matter what you say, this still applies. As always …..

I think from where we have been 6z GFS was almost "Folks"!!

Here we go suppression vs snow and rain classic. I do not think in this set up suppression will be a thing looks progressive up the coast.

As had been mentioned, signal still there for 12/2 12/3, but much more tepid at 12z today. i wouldn’t expect much from that. Need a lot of factors to break right. Temps look marginal

This is exactly the theme we have been seeing last few years. Now with that said we see the potential and we are a little under a week out so changes will be abound good or worse. My expectations are learned to be in check for sure.

Looking good on this cycle for the western suburbs, my 7.5 prediction from earlier might need modifications tomorrow.

I'd like to see a sharper trof like last night's GFS and UK. That allows more intense and widespread precipitation and it also anchors the surface high further west in Quebec due to the strongest upper level convergence staying further west. With a more positively tilted trof, the surface convergence shifts east and the surface high goes with it. (upper levels and surface are connected in the sense that converging air aloft tends to sink [surface high pressure] and diverging air aloft tends to rise [surface low pressure])

Randy lives in the real world.

I thought the Euro is usually overamped and the gfs is too progressive.