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  2. Omfg 12z GFS is like carbon copy now next week for this weekend lmfao. Next.
  3. Sure it does. Because the main system has pulled south. But ok. Maybe Mitch and are crazy.
  4. This particular shot was taken on February 12, 2014 on Glenwood Avenue in Raleigh, just up the street from the Angus Bar
  5. That's me! LES here is usually transient as it's passing from west side of the lake to southeast. Tough to get a prolonged band aimed S/SW. Expectations are tempered but nice seeing the WSW extended to my west.
  6. just an FYI - There is a new weather modeling site that i found that is pretty nice. Custom zooms, decent selection of maps, and nice graphics. Its called https://synopticwx.com/ I believe it will eventually cost money for access, but it is in Beta right now and free to sign up. Here is what the 06z Euro showed for our wednesday system
  7. I hope the 3K NAM is wrong because that would be a complete dumpster fire up this way.
  8. Yeah, it's raining, but the heavier bands was in our area. It pressed way south. And SV looked like, yours always look better/wetter.
  9. the southern wave looks real....the northern energy...who knows that could shift easily
  10. GFS close to neutral tilt at 135,snow breaking out in NC. 1008 low off Myrtle Beach.
  11. My expectation for tomorrow at this point is nearly nothing now. Maybe a dusting. I should have maintained my gut instinct I had earlier this week. That this may hit Hampton Roads some, but not us. I'll admit to me what might be memorable is inches of solid ice on the ground for an entire week or more.
  12. Snow being reported in SW Va in the other thread
  13. cant lie, ive been in san diego for the last week and i'm kind of dreading heading home tomorrow. it was 81 here yesterday with another day in the 80's slated for today. snow is great and all, especially around the holidays, but i'm personally over it by mid feb because... i like being outside in the warmth and not going nuts in my house i think im looking for a torch pattern
  14. Memorable is subjective. I guess what I meant, is that this stretch of cold with snow on the ground, as it has been a while, not even 2015 cold snap lasted this long.
  15. great Ricky update from NWS As generally anticipated, the mid-level and surface trough axis configuration today is decidedly focusing lake effect snow banding near and on the west side of the lake. However, the intensity of the snow extending well north to offshore of Manitowoc, WI increases concern for bursts of moderate to heavy lake effect snow persisting into this evening for northeast Illinois. While this won`t be a continuous firehose of snow like in a single dominant intense band, webcams under the heavier snow rates have consistently shown roads quickly becoming snow covered/hazardous. With the previous advisory and watch configuration for central and southern Cook, there was some thought that there would be more defined breaks in the accumulating snow, which appears less likely at this point. Additionally on this note, comparing radar to recent HiRes simulations, the HRRR seems to have a better handle than the 12z NAMnest (which initialized too far east with the snow off the WI shore). This suggests the intense banding developing this evening has a better chance to impact eastern sections of Cook County (and possibly even Lake and northern Cook) before shifting into northwest Indiana tonight. Ultimately, we opted to just replace the previous advisory for central and southern Cook with a warning, in effect until midnight. Confidence isn`t super high in exact trends yet, but felt that localized 6"+ amounts appear quite likely (especially near the lake), and more importantly the significant impacts to travel due to periods of 1-2"/hour snow rates and visibility as low as 1/4 mile. We`re keeping a close eye on webcams and road conditions in Lake and northern Cook as well (Waukegan Airport 1/4 mile visibility as of this writing) for a possible need to upgrade these counties from an advisory to a warning. As the snow band(s) come ashore today, convective snow showers may spread fairly far inland into areas where broad light snow is ongoing underneath the mid/upper trough. Should it appear this activity is more potent, we may need to consider advisories for this, or at least Special Weather Statement issuance. The Winter Storm Warnings for Lake and Porter County Indiana remain unchanged for now. DuPage County IL is also in an advisory given the closer proximity to the lake of northeastern sections of the county, though again, confidence is on the lower side regarding how things will play out farther inland in the Chicago suburbs.
  16. 28 degrees, mostly cloudy skies. Snow is predicted to start here at 2pm then a break for a while before it redevelops.
  17. Had a short period of light snow in Pennington gap about 45 minutes ago that lasted about 20 Minutes.. just a few flakes here as we just got grazed with that band.
  18. Of note the HRRRR has not been depicting this very well this morning.
  19. Then it’s rain? I guess WxBell panels are still loading but this doesn’t seem worth the consternation
  20. I am seeing reports that roads are turning white in Lebanon, Virginia.
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