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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don’t see any reason whatsoever to doubt it gets to 120W by November like the Euro seasonal shows, it’s already east of the dateline and still being pushed by the WWBs -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Euro definitely is glue factory with this. -
Early data in for June, and we ended near avg on the + side. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Some light showers have been around this morning, and we will continue with some small chances of these through the day. We clear up tomorrow with what looks to be our best weather day of the week with sunny skies and highs several degrees below normal July levels in the upper 70's to near 80. Our next chance of showers and storms looks to arrive on Thursday night into Friday morning. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some light showers have been around this morning, and we will continue with some small chances of these through the day. We clear up tomorrow with what looks to be our best weather day of the week with sunny skies and highs several degrees below normal July levels in the upper 70's to near 80. Our next chance of showers and storms looks to arrive on Thursday night into Friday morning. -
Just took a walk...it's either heavy mist or light drizzle...gross out
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nothing since yesterday. They got something like 9,000 back online last night on the west shore. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
I put in some new hydrangeas that I e had to water constantly, getting old. Yeah, we’re about to wrap up down here, looks like some sprinkles left and it’s done. .60 ish will be the total, after days and days of inches shown -
3.16"
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Well under I think. Stuff is too banded and FMH taking my moisture. Oh well. I don’t care about the lawn as much as my plants. It’s just a lot to water the plants hydrangeas, etc. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Damage In Tolland replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
What do you think you’ll end up with total? Over or under 1”? -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If we have another decade like this during the 2030s, then yes....I will assume we have reached a tipping point at which the back ground warming has rendered the pattern irrelevant for east coast snowfall prospects, but I am just not there yet. I think that's a pretty fair stance. Do I expect a repeat of the 2010's next decade? Probably not- -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Nah we got a lot of interesting weather, this is just bad luck. Stein even got the synoptics here. It’s not like it’s convection. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
the pac warm pool won't reload after this nino and we'll get dateline forcing forever -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Just Blizzards and wind. -
That thing is massive
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Epitomizes your online contributions over the course of the past two decades....what a waste of a degree. Plenty of highly esteemed contributors like @bluewaveand @raindancewx are pretty painfully objective with regard to east coast winter prospects...it's not about that. You just don't offer much of value not because you aren't capable, but you allocate all of your time and energy towards mindless trolling. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
snow, all the time -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
blah blah blah -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Any seasonal meteorologist worth a damn would understand that there are multidecadal trends and oscillations at play that are independent of the background warming.....they have all been about as hostile as it gets for east coast winter enthusiasts throughout the 2020s. If you feel the planet is going to warm enough to negate the more favorable shift of the multidecadal hemispheric trends and increased moisture availability, then I would be more than willing to wager against you. -
0.17” overnite imby/Columbia. 1.78” so far in July.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
Damage In Tolland replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
You just don’t live in a good area for any kind of weather really -
There is as much as 4" difference just in my town.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I would bet it ends up around 140W.
