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Ouch u .
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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
Stormlover74 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Almost every model has us mix between 1 and 2 now but we get 6-7" before that and then of course whatever sleet we get on top which should be heavy for at least 3 or 4 hours -
WhiteoutMD started following January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
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Nothing really new it is just been like ten years since we have had an Arizona east coast storm. To bad we could not get the coastal to take over sooner and stronger .
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Chicago reporting two inches
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you have more to learn about climo, grasshopper. there’s a reason Millville came out here for this storm. .5” on the deck now.
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
House is quiet with wife and 4 little ones fast asleep....just sittn', smile', listening to old school NOAA weather radio. Hand may, or may not be sneaking into pants. -
This is the finest sandiest snow I’ve ever seen accumulate. Also the roads are already caved in Gaithersburg.
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I'm really unsure how long I'll be holding at 32, I sort of expected to see temps begin climbing fast after midnight but still getting freezing rain. Trees have a good bit of droop. Hoping it doesn't get stuck all night right at freezing. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
MAG5035 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
Coach McGuirk replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
The neighbor's cat came in for a snack. -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
HIPPYVALLEY replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
That's widespread 18"+ amounts. Impressive, let's do this! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Ruin replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
first flakes outside harrisburg big fat flakes -
Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
Noteaster101 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Listen, I hope you’re 110% right, I’m just seeing what I’m seeing, and it doesn’t look good -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
WinterWolf replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
5 degrees out…impressive airmass for sure. -
Same as it’s been all afternoon…literally unchanged
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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
LakeNormanStormin replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Snow showers now. Weird night precipitation wise. -
Well if the messenger is going to make stuff up and mislead people I'll at least call them out. No models show 3-5 for the city. The worst and clear outlier meaning the one you should be considering the least even show 6 inches on the very low end. On the high end some of the hi-res models are showing up to 15 inches with the sleet line retreating after about 2 hours back to snow. Most models including the out of range global models settle the middle around 9-11 inches. You can look through every model pivotal for free. Plus they've been trending snowier all day. Not the other way around! .
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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
RU848789 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Just for giggles and the people I share weather info with on a Rutgers sports board, I put together the data set below for New Brunswick, as most posters there are alums and/or live reasonably close by, so NB can be a decent surrogate for much of CNJ and for 95 from Trenton to NYC. Anyway it's total QPF, snow QPF from the 10:1 maps and ZR QPF and sleet QPF, from subtracting the snow/ZR from the QPF (and sleet depth at 3:1). I'll be curious to see which model at 0Z tonight did best, since I'm just 5 miles NE of NB. Thinking my 10.4" snow/sleet prediction is decent (NWS was 11.9" last night when I made my guesstimate and is now 10.1") and I still think (have for a couple of days) 8-12" for CNJ/EPA between 78 and 276/195, as well as the 95 corridor from Philly to NYC is a good call. Have a great storm all. I might paste all the snowfall maps too if I get motivated more. HRRR: 1.5" QPF - 11.6" of snow (1.16" QPF) - 0.12" ZR = 0.22" QPF as sleet or 0.66" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) NAM: 1.4" QPF - 5.6" of snow (0.56" QPF) - 0.02" ZR = 0.82" QPF as sleet or 2.46" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) ICON: 1.5" QPF - 6.3" of snow (0.63" QPF) - 0.00" ZR = 0.87" QPF as sleet or 2.61" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) RRFSA (new NAM): 1.3" QPF - 12.4" of snow (1.24" QPF) - 0.06" ZR = 0.0" QPF as sleet or 0.0" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) GDPS (CMC): 1.8" QPF - 9.5" of snow (0.95" QPF) - 0.0" ZR = 0.85" QPF as sleet or 2.55" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) UK: 1.1" QPF - 10.2" of snow (1.02" QPF) - 0.0" ZR = 0.08" QPF as sleet or 0.24" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) Euro-AIFS: 1.3" QPF - 12.2" of snow (1.22" QPF) - 0.0" ZR = 0.08" QPF as sleet or 0.24" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) Euro: 1.2" QPF - 7.2" of snow (0.72" QPF) - 0.1" ZR (this was a guess as the Pivotal algo is suspect) = 0.38" QPF as sleet or 1.14" sleet (assumes 3:1 ratio) -
Was wondering when the virga was gonna go away...that's just little west of me in whitehall.
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
This EURO run gets me to just about 2' on the Kutchie. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Homie J replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Already got banding here in State College -
Knoxville's sister city is Atlanta holding steady at 32!
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Oh I know that. We will carry snow for 12 hours after yall. Hate to do that to you. I am getting completely wrecked right now
