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https://x.com/AndyHazelton/status/2028111031025672291

How do you know what I look like?

I’ve seen final grades by posters scattered around the various regional threads. My point is that there is plenty of time for grading, when we are actually done.

The power of the sun and the fact that a good number of nights the temperature stayed above freezing all night. WX/PT

Analog research comparisons.... 30 analogs Base period: Analogs (Top 30) Following March of 30 analogs Following Apr-May.. maybe a stronger severe wx season Following Summer (June-August)

When was the last time you even had a hairline? Pot meet Kettle.

High of 79 at 3:41pm.

Like Scoots hairline .. but growing and thickening on back

Plenty of pack here still, but it’s definitely receding.

Ya any bit of salt in the piles vaporizes it with the sun out.

Did anyone record anything this morning? I measured 0.3. 60.2 now on the season.

February at MDT ended 4.4 below normal in temp and 5.8” below normal in snowfall.

Some more information on that one...

@The 4 Seasons60.2 inches through March 1. Highland Mills NY Orange County.

Who gave their final grade? I do think it will turn cold but I think it's premature to say there's lots of winter left. I certainly wouldn't be surprised if we got more snow but I don't think that's a given.

Same here. Only snow left on grass is where it is shaded or drifted. Even the piles are gone in spots. That late winter/early spring sun really goes to work especially once you have any bit of exposed ground to soak up the sun's rays.

BDCF season baby

Crazy, pack is non existent along the shore out of the shade. Down to 3-6” here with grass showing up in spots.

How low do we drop tomorrow am, single digits?

Best chance for a real torch is if that cutter early next week (around 3/9-3/10) can cleanly warm sector us. Models have been off and on with that. If it’s a clean warm sector, we def would get 70F. I remember we got one in 1990 where we spiked over 80F and then I think we got a warning snow event a week later or less. Of course, we pulled something similar in 2007. It was very warm a couple days before the St Pattys day eve event. Not sure we hit 70 but it was close.

Well, like I said, lots of Winter to go…lol! People should wait until April 10th to give a final Winter grade in my opinion. I have enjoyed the couple of warm days that we’ve had in the last week or so & I’ll enjoy the warm up later this week, all while tracking the chance of every last flake until the true end of possibilities next month.

Just looked at the 18z euro and gfs AI suite, both are a bit north and more juicy than 12z and that seems to be the trend the last several cycles. I could see this providing a last minute surprise especially in the higher elevations. The rain a few days ago ended up a lot more substantial than models had it and the qpf axis ended up 50-75 miles north of the modeling from the night before.

Haha that’s 12 days away - I’m sure it won’t change. Let’s enjoy all the warmth until then.

Highs EWR: 44 NYC: 43