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Was forecast to be near 70 but the back door cool front co ck blocked temp potential, and only made it to 56.
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Looks like the Pontiac cell is heading into stable air
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Addition sups are firing just south of the warm from from north-central IL back into southeastern IA.
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It was incredible. I bought a new ATV right before the snow. I was dying to ride it. Kept waiting and waiting and when March arrived I thought I'd give it a go. Buried it after about 10 ft. By the time I shoveled it out it looked like it was down in a pit. I wish I had a picture.
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Earliest 85F on record for BWI
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Up here where the flizzard gave us 6” I was able to get some yard work done today. I cleared the “wooded” side of my driveway. Cut down 2 bushes. Ripped out 3 stumps and began the winter limb pile.
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It’s a beautiful, wonderful thing!!
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The Pontiac cell definitely, before it gets dark. It’s kinda far from the radar right now. Hard to tell what’s happening on the surface.
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oh yeah, next year is gonna suck. I said that a month ago.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Agreed
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Yea, wasn't intended to be a lecture or anything....I just happen to quote your post because we were discussing. Thanks, I appreciate the positive feedback. It was not perfect and I do see room for improvement...will all be discussed in May.
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I get that Ray that's why I thought it was a good forecast. Not an A+ here but damn good for my first Maine winter.
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Very strong -QBO and high solar is a dead-ringer for +TNH....that crap about solar max always being warm is BS....solar max and conspire with certain stratospheric set ups to facilitate some of the most consistently cold regimes possible.
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Coming my way
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Best winter in at least a decade and possibly the last 15 years! Once 40 point blowout loss cannot diminish this great season. I liken today's 80 degree day to St John's season. 18-2 Big East record including them winning 16 out of their last seventeen games. Their only loss during the final two months of the regular season was not only of their most embarrassing losses in not only program history, but maby their worst Big East conference game that they have ever played!
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C minus minus here
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Snow beginning here. The more persistent band is setting up to my north as modeled. Guessing we’ll see about an inch.
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Pontiac cell looks like it may be tightening back up a bit
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I also wrote about the value of 2015, despite that it was a warm ENSO....highly anomalously cold several week stretch from +TNH regime January into Feb.
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Yea, we haven't had much of that...coming later this week.
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Perfect way to develop a composite...come up with a cast of characters, and explain that none of them are intended to be an exact prototype of the coming seasons, and then explain the role that each season will play and when it will appear. This what I love about winter forecasts...such an art form.
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Even when we had rain it barely moved.
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For you, it definitely was an A winter. For us in the urban jungle, not so much
