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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
Harry Perry replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Make that three! -
Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
bncho replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
0z GFS has the Feb 22-23 thing, it's a high end advisory event That timeframe could hold potential. Seems like CAPE's original storm will track too far north but will bring in some cold air for the follow up wave to ride the boundary. Pretty simple way to score around here. btw since i said all this it's now my storm and not Ji's storm even though his analysis is better. -
The 80s weren't as bad as everyone thinks. 1985-1986 and 1988-1989 were awful but the rest of the decade particularly the first half of the decade was damn good particularly along the south coast. We had several big ones, including some like December 1981 that no one remembers or talks about. Slant sticking is more common today than back then and I believe the statistical snowfall averages are somewhat skewed. I remember catching the school bus and it seemed a lot colder back then compared to the last 20+ years.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Harry Perry replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Outside of a couple decent hitters early on, the majority of them were mood flakes to a dusting. It wasn’t all that active in Michigan despite all the talk about it, especially outside of the lake belts. -
Ahhh... Makes more sense. But he still meant us hanging?!
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I don’t think he was. Im thinking he means in the longer range, not Monday.
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I'm guessing you are being sarcastic
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Can you elaborate a bit Steve?
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks very La Nina-like -
Almost the entire state of NC is now in severe drought and areas around Charlotte have slipped into the rare exceptional drought category
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GFS absolutely slays
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I lived further south during the Feb 2006 storm (and it was a good one even there with 15”), but one specific thing I remember was one of the TWC mets asking a guy in Boston about the upcoming storm (just before it started) and he basically said “It’s not going to be that bad, we’re only getting a foot” and I chuckled. As I recall even the TWC met was a little stunned after hearing that.
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Thought you were all done with below zero? Never know up there
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Seen those on ski slopes pretty often 2017 SR Snownados.mp4
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Very very real. We were at the condo slope side. Over 4 ft fell .This entire Mt lost power and was closed all day but 730 am the next day we knew the lifty and rode up with patrol. Two of us are weather observers. Totally on board 1 hr measure. It was also the day the mega ski shop at the base of the Mt Washington burned down because of down wires. I was incredibly lucky to catch the Feb and March blizzards.
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The AI is all that counts.
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I can tell a lot of normal fellow weenies are broken this year.. we would see a lot more engagement from some in years past over a threat like this.. I wonder what did it? Maybe the cold but minimal snow this year? Previous years were way warmer and way worse and every chance got more excitement. I miss it. Maybe im just extra crazy though. To be on topic.. gfs seemed like it was trying though.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yes, we have had accumulating snows into mid April at PHL airport and even early May. Is it normal to snow in late March? Of course not, but it happens and this would probably be the season we see it. And if Hurricane Schwartz is on board, well, enough said. -
AI GFS better, GFS worse
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Yup…I was a sophomore..so we are only a year apart. Good times though…just very stingy snow lol. When you live through a decade like that….it allows you to appreciate the good times, and not take them for granted. It puts things into a good perspective.
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Cayman Island thread...lol (Wonder how cold they were when Cuba hit freezing last week?)
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Dude just stop posting . This post isnt true at all. -
Ole misrepresentation
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As a young weenie in 3rd grade I remember 2/5/01 coming in like a wall with big rates right off the bat mid afternoon ish
