All Activity

NWS uppped their official total significantly for my area. The first map had 15 inches and then the second map had 24. .

Well the UK was awful for everyone. Not even in the same zip code.

I know the weekend system rightfully has our attention but it does look like the feb6-8 time frame is holding legitimate potential as well.

true but they are not immediate NYC metro - that's who I am talking about

My notifications keep ringing bc it keeps quoting me lol

This storm

Lol, they are warmer than DCA right now. We toss.

Gotta love this panel from the Canadian. This hobby sucks.

The key is the placement of the 50/50

The legacy of the Boxing Day storm creates false hope for a miraculous comeback just like the 2004 Sox give fan bases false hope about coming back from 3-0 down and the 2016 Pats from coming back 28-3 in the 4th Quarter.

Yep, I bet Atlantic City, Coastal NJ, NYC, LI, etc actually do really well with this in the end while we watch. Seen this story before. Precip will head in from off the coast and will hit a wall somewhere just east of Philly.

Brutal...it was in the days leading into the funeral services for my dad. I remember desperately seeking an escape on my cell while gathered with family to clean out his home, only to find a White Juan redux in NS.

If you live east of I-77 in NC there isn’t much more you can ask for than that

Oh it's coming! Don't you dare lose hope!

I agree we are running out of time, but I’m not quite out on this threat yet when the GFS ensembles look like this. Check out number 5. Close enough to keep the thrill of “the track” alive!

We could be 3 hours from the storm and people would say " it could still trend NorthWest.. we still got 180 minutes " .. With only 3 -4 days left I think this one is another southern storm

.

I mean this could be a major storm for eastern Long Island and SNE

If ("IF") the eventual track is just 20-30 miles to the NW, to which all can agree no model will track exactly. Exclusive to OP runs GFS 12z brings 2"QPF over the elbow of Cape. Butterfly Effect! Watching very closely.

I think someone needs to unplug DTP and plug him back in...

You cursed us, i will never forgive you.

We actually have seen that occurrence here. Let’s go to 2015. A 2 footer followed a week later by an 16 incher followed a week later by a 2 footer followed a week later by a 16 incher. The pattern doesn’t play the probability game but to your point, everything has to go perfectly right and that’s hard.

Gefs finally shifting south

It is also a low probability to even have a major threat less than a week after a biggie. But here we are....whether it hits or not.