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This makes sense

Heavy sleet, 20 degrees.

Damn like 5 miles more

I use this. https://mesowest.utah.edu

B...b...b...but I thought the Euro never makes big changes from one run to the next! Been sitting here the last 3-4 runs wondering if what the GFS was smoking 24-36 hours ago would be on sale again. Looks like maybe it is.

So when’s the next one? #trendwest

Heavy sleet

WB AI EPS really shifted west with snow mean got the upcoming weekend compared to 12Z.

4.8°, 6.8" total new. Just cleared the board.

1.40" LE so far.

EPS actually supporting the OP Game on? .

Primashine is just across the river.

The snow thus far in the storm has seemed fairly dense, and indeed the 6 PM liquid analysis came in at 11.1% H2O for a 9:1 ratio. Flakes were generally in the 1-3 mm range this afternoon, but with that said, flake size has been increasing over the past hour or two. With that band that’s moved into the area, the snowfall rate has jumped up to the 1-2”/hr. range and I’m seeing flakes up to 10 mm in diameter. That’s more in line with the type of snowfall that would be needed to hit those higher end totals, and if I were to run another liquid analysis right now it would be much higher ratio snow. I’m not convinced that these snowfall rates and ratios would continue to be the norm overnight, but it’s nice to hear that some of the modeling is suggesting the potential is there.

Oh hell. You're a kid. Come over and do some shoveling for me! [emoji23] Just kidding. It's been fun though.

it’s pouring - getting really bad out

My daughter has light pillars down in the Strasburg area. I have never seen them before. Very rare.

Atleast this one is suppressed at this range. We can deal with that.

Agree... had a couple folks send me pics to prove that it was sleet. The pics proved it was actually NOT sleet!

Something tells me we are about to learn more about water droplets and thermodynamics than most college courses teach. I'm all ears. Who is our resident expert?

https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/2015573341990469637?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Precip shut off in Lynchburg, VA - snow/sleet depth measured in multiple locations is 4.3", mostly sleet. Probably got close to 2 inches of snow before the flip and 3-4" of sleet which pulverized the dry snow. Only a trace of freezing rain which is a welcome blessing. Certainly a memorable storm that will stick around for a while.

All I'm hearing is next weekend is the appetizer if we can will it back into place like the 18z Euro showed

They’re right on the edges of ENX (Alb), BOX, and GYX. And GYX is a mes with trees.

Hopefully that means rockland switches back. Sleetfest currently.