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still waiting on that to show up and work out for them. at least the carolinas cashed in.

Every single torch all fall and winter disappears. Next week was supposed to be one and now we’ve got 3 snowers

This was exactly my point yesterday and the day before. Folks posting 384 clown maps of temps, and precip, and acting as if that was not going to change at all? And that was gonna be the final outcome. I never get that mentality? But yet if somebody posts a blizzard at 384 hrs, it’s laughed at. But somehow the same clown range 384 hr temp and precip map is somehow more believable, just because folks are upset that we missed the big coastal storm that hammered the SE. that idea is just lost on me. And when one questions it, we’re labeled as ACATT….?? It Beats me?

Yep... Wakefield has us in the "up to 1" category...

Big problem is the labor shortage. People don't talk about it but most of the contractors I know ( including me) have equipment sitting because of the lack of drivers and operators. It's only going to get worse, too.

Light rain to start. 35.4/32.

Usually that happens when the Niña breaks. Though last year it injected steroids instead.

I took some time away from working from home this afternoon to use the snowblower to clear a path to the oil and propane fills. Looking ahead it looks like we will have a decent pack on the ground middle of the month when I am due for both! Snow was still pretty fluffy here and easy to move. About 9 inches still on the ground. Was happy I could cut through a big snow bank to the road though. I do feel bad for the oil men when people don't clear a path. I know it can't be fun searching for the fill.

12z Euro and 6Z GFS loving next weekend. 12z gfs south. Interesting to see what unfolds over the next (gasp) 10 days. But the signal is there.

100% This. Was thinking the same thing…we’ve had such an easy go the last few years, it’s gotten towns/cities soft for sure.

Which is why this weekend will feel so much worse than any "fake" cold Gusts 50-60mph

Kind of a bush league warmup on EPS…keeps washing out the warmest anomalies west and northwest of us. Which is what we’d expect with a rotting NAO block. Maybe we get a cutter to get a couple days of true torch.

It's 33 and thick drizzle in town.

For the 24 hour measurements, the snowboard is only wiped once per day, but the greatest depth during that period is recorded as the snowfall. If the snow on the board reaches a depth of 8" and then settles to 5", the amount of snowfall reported is 8" I am not philosophically opposed to measuring and clearing the board every 6 or 12 hours, but the problem is that there are multiple prescribed standards which give rise to discussions like this. I don't think there are any easy answers.

I knew I had seen that somewhere. There was no way that could have been an original thought on my part!

Yea-pump that east wind

I haven’t seen any +PNA Feb predictions on twitter, even from BAM. Seeing a ton of “look, it’s not a torch posts” which is weird because I also can’t find any reputable post that predicted a torch.

We got soft over the last 4 years.

There will be another relaxation. It makes sense. It would be harder for one not for one to occur... patterns only last so long in our area.

So weird. It was a decent snowfall, but not the meatiest stuff. And there has been over a week to clear it. I wonder why it has been so problmatic

Hires models conceding to King Hires-RGEM and showing very little moisture East of 77

Sure. However that wasn't the context I was going for. 384 hour weenie maps were being posted with doom and gloom comments! While any weather scenario is always on the table, basing an opinion on a forecast outcome on that particular data set was quite silly. That's my point. If we are looking at a 5 day forecast for it to be bone dry, then it's definitely a very possible forecast and weather outcome. Cold air is around. There will be chances that aren't even showing up in the models. They may not work out but there will be trackable systems over the next few weeks.

Ten days after and I drove past an open (no cover) golf course today, and it’s still 100% covered. That’s remarkable for the last 25 years, including some of the big blizzards.

east coast pattern redux?

A single run of the gfs showed an epic storm but was not supported by anything else.