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How about no storm thread until 72 hours out... I hate to see yall weenies crash out.

Another storm I felt like locked in a long time out was the big foothills crusher of Dec 18th 2009. Felt like it didn't change much and the Jan 30 2010. Man what a winter that was!

So out of the 10 opportunities for snow in the next 16 days how many will actually pan out?

Normally I’m hype and positive. I feel neither as of now . Honestly . Going into this as depressed as can be. Good luck out east

Let’s not get that here since that means congrats RDU for snow

Ah, crap. Our transmission went out on the old washer. It was more expensive to replace than it was to by a new one. We installed the new one yesterday...modeling was good today. I am not saying it is the new washer, but if we get two new washers in the forum....could be epic. Maytagmegeddon.

Yep that would be something. I think im going out tonight in it. @Bucketheaddid get some Thundersnow the other night.

The NWS is focused on the threat for Saturday with the advisories that have just been issued. Model support for the Saturday event is greater than the potential one for Sunday.

You always do this and then pull something out of your ass.

how do you plan on making that happen?

That’s been the one I’ve been interested in

That Dec 2018 storm was the most relaxed I had ever been ahead of a storm. It was absolutely locked in with zero budging for a week straight and every single model was on board as well as ensembles. Our flow right now is just not slow enough to make that possible.

Yeah it's been some years but I remember that ice storm caused a ton off power outages and downed power lines across a large part of the region.

Unlink the Christmas storm in 2010. That was probably the most fun/twists of any storm I remember.

Nice run now that you brought it up, I never look at the 6z

The writings on the wall. I started sensing it this morning and then Will just cemented it . Something about MLK and snow here. They don’t mix

Mt. Holly has just issued a WWA for their part of northern and western NJ and NE PA for 2-4” of snow.

Let’s get that here.

Call me crazy but if this doesn’t work out and the AI models don’t verify… wouldn’t this be a point for @Typhoon Tip? Hear me out. The AI models are looking at historical data vs current at initialization and running it through (it’s not learning despite what people think), at a very basic level. So 20, 30, yrs ago- whatever, given current ingredients we would be looking at a plowable snow. But fast flow, gradient etc… it ends up weak ( that has been the theme for yrs) and east.

WWA here. I got you all beat. I never seen this before - ever. .

Yup. I don't get why all the focus is on Sunday, when there is a more imminent threat of snow from late tonight thru Saturday?

WWA up for orange Putnam and passaic counties for 2-4" of snow tomorrow I wonder if these will be expanded later

definitely screw holed. after the main bands overnight, this band set up across the northern parts of the city for a couple hours.

That and Dec 18, 2009 were pegged a week+ out. Always a few wiggles in amounts but both events locked in and stayed in modeling.

Just to confirm/clarify, you are speaking of the Sunday(1/18) system?